Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Preview
Carlos Carrasco and the Cleveland Guardians will host the Baltimore Orioles on Friday, with the game getting started at 7:10 PM ET from Progressive Field in Cleveland. The Guardians are 66-42 and they are on a four-game winning streak. Baltimore is 65-45 and they are leading the AL East.
The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the Orioles are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -125 compared to the Guardians at +106. Dean Kremer is slated to start for the Orioles. MASN will be televising this AL matchup.
Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Guardians – Baltimore Orioles odds
Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Orioles are 1-4. This includes going 1-4 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Guardians have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games, the Orioles have a 5-5 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Guardians have gone 4-6 vs. the runline and 7-3 straight-up.
Cleveland cruised to a 10-3 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 3rd inning, scoring five of their ten runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their only three runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -114 on the money line.
Ben Lively got the win for the Guardians, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. Trevor Rogers had a rough outing for the Orioles, taking the loss after going just 4 1/3 innings and giving up five earned runs.
Offensively, the Guardians were led by a big game from Jose Ramirez, who homered and went 2/3 with three RBIs. Bo Naylor and David Fry also each drove in three for Cleveland’s offense.
Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
The Orioles are currently 1st in the AL East, sharing the division lead with the Yankees. So far, they have gone 23-10 against other teams in the AL East. Overall, the Orioles are 65-45, and they are looking to bounce back today after dropping the first game of their series vs. the Guardians.
At home, the Orioles have gone 34-25 this season, and they have been really good on the road, putting together a record of 31-20. As the favorite, the Orioles are 53-35 this year, and they are 12-10 as the underdog. Currently, they have an overall series record of 22-10-3.
When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a solid bet to cover the run line, going 30-21 this season. Their average run margin in road games is +1.0, and they have covered the run line in two straight games as the favorite.
When the Orioles are on the road, the over/under line is set at 9 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8 runs. The over/under record for Baltimore this season is 60-40, and their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game. When the line is set at 9 runs, the Orioles have a record of 12-11-3. The over has hit in two straight games for Baltimore.
Right-hander Dean Kremer is on the mound for the Orioles today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 4-7 with an ERA of 4.20. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.23. In his last outing, Kremer took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back, he has allowed at least two homers in three of his last four starts. Opponents are batting .220 this season off Kremer, and his ERA at home is 6.07 compared to 3.49 on the road.
As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also the top team in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. They are also 3rd in the league in runs per game at 5.1. Baltimore has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .254 as a team (6th) and have the league’s best isolated power mark.
Anthony Santander has been on a tear for the Orioles, batting .400 over his last five games with three homers. For the season, he is 8th in the league with 74 RBIs and is 2nd in the league with 32 homers. Gunnar Henderson is also having a strong season, batting .287 with 28 homers (4th in the league).
Cleveland is currently 66-42 overall, good for a six-game lead over the Royals for the AL Central lead. The Guardians have won four straight games, and they are 7-3 across their last 10. This season, they have gone 19-15 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Guardians are 34-15 this season, and they have gone 32-27 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland has put together a record of 48-23, and they are 18-19 as the underdog. The Guardians have an overall series record of 22-10-3 and have won two straight series.
The Guardians have been a .500 team against the run line this season, going 54-54. They have been slightly better on the road, going 31-28, compared to 23-26 at home. As the favorite, they are just 32-39 against the run line, while they are 22-15 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4, while it is -3.2 in losing games.
The Cleveland Guardians have an over/under record of 51-51 this season, with an average over/under line of 8 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Baltimore Orioles is set at 9 runs, which is slightly higher than their season average. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs this season, the Guardians have a record of 6-9-2 in those games. Overall, only 5.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Carlos Carrasco gets the start for the Guardians today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Phillies. In that start, he went 3 2/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on six hits. He finished with the loss in the outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Carrasco’s ERA for the season is 5.68, along with a record of 3-9. Opponents are batting .273 off Carrasco this season. Looking back, he has made 19 appearances and four of them have been quality starts.
Jose Ramirez has been on a tear of late, going 8/17 with four homers in his last five games. For the season, he is batting .278 with a team-high 28 homers and 90 RBIs. Josh Naylor is also a power threat in the lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with 23 homers. Naylor is batting .245 for the season.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are 13th in the league in scoring. They have been a good home run hitting team this season, as their 123 homers are 11th in the league. Overall, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the MLB right now.
Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Guardians game is to take the Guardians on the money line at +106. We have the Guardians winning this one by a final score of 6-5. With the over/under sitting at 9 runs, there isn’t a lot of wiggle room, but we would lean towards the over if you’re looking to place a bet on the total.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Carlos Carrasco finishing with five strikeouts compared to Dean Kremer with four. Carrasco is also projected to go longer into the game than Kremer, and he has a better chance of picking up the win.
Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips
- Take the Orioles on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Guardians (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | Out | Hip |
| Matthew Boyd | Out | Elbow |
| Sam Hentges | Out | Shoulder |
| Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
| James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
| Tanner Bibee | Questionable | Knee |
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
| Jorge Mateo | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Jordan Westburg | Out | Hand |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
