Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
Brandon Pfaadt will start for the Diamondbacks on Wednesday, as they are looking to extend their two-game winning streak. The Guardians, who are 67-45, will be starting Ben Lively. Cleveland comes into the game having lost three straight, and they are +101 on the money line compared to the Diamondbacks at -118.
The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and BSGL will be televising this interleague matchup. First pitch from Progressive Field is set for 1:10 PM ET. Arizona is currently 3rd in the NL West, while the Guardians are leading the AL Central.
Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Guardians – Arizona Diamondbacks odds
Cleveland Guardians vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Trends and Key Stats
- The Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- On the opposing side, the Guardians have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
- In the past ten games, when playing as the favorite, the Diamondbacks have a record of 9-1, while as the underdog, they have a record of 5-5.
- 7-3 is the record of the Guardians as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 4-6.
It was a back-and-forth game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs. Guardians series. Arizona went into the matchup as slight favorites at -120 and squeaked out a 7-6 win. The Diamondbacks had to rally late, scoring two runs in the 8th and another run in the 9th to pick up the win.
Cleveland wasted a good outing from Logan Allen, as he gave up just two earned runs in five innings of work for the Guardians. Emmanuel Clase took the loss. Ryan Thompson got the win out of the bullpen for the Diamondbacks as Zac Gallen went seven innings, giving up five earned runs.
Offensively, the Diamondbacks actually had fewer hits than the Guardians in the game 10 to 6. Arizona’s lineup was led by Gabriel Moreno, who went 2/2 with a home run. Joc Pederson, Ketel Marte, Josh Bell, and Eugenio Suarez each had two hits and drove in two runs.
Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
Arizona is 61-52 overall this season, and they trail the Dodgers by 4.5 games in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the division, just a half-game behind the Padres for the 2nd spot in the division. Arizona has won two straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Giants with a win before taking the series opener vs. the Guardians.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 31-25 this season, and they are just above .500 at 30-27 on the road. Arizona has won five straight games as the favorite, and their overall record as the favorite is 33-20. As for playing as the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 28-32 this season. Arizona’s overall series record is 19-13-4, and they have won six straight series overall and five straight on the road.
When betting the run line with the Arizona Diamondbacks, it’s been a coin flip proposition this season, as they are 57-56 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 32-25 against the run line. When they win, they tend to win by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in victories is +4.1 runs. However, when they lose, they tend to lose big, with an average run differential of -3.9 runs.
Arizona has been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.9 runs per game. Their over/under record is 62-48, and their games have averaged a total of 9 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over in 7 out of 11 games. Overall, 85% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. Their last two games have gone over the total.
Right-hander Brandon Pfaadt is starting for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 5-6 with a 3.98 ERA. Pfaadt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13, and he has turned in 11 quality starts. In his last outing, Pfaadt finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One positive note for Pfaadt is that he has not allowed a homer in his last three outings.
Arizona’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have been even better at home, also averaging 5.2 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been a good power-hitting team this season and have a team batting average of .258, which is the 4th best in the league.
Ketel Marte has been one of the best hitters in the league this season, as his 28 home runs is 5th in the league and his 78 RBIs is 7th. Marte also comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak and has gone 4/23 with four homers over his last five games. Christian Walker is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has 23 homers this season, which is 8th in the league.
Cleveland is 67-45 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL Central. Currently, they lead the Twins by four games. The Guardians have dropped three straight games, and this includes losing the series opener vs. the Diamondbacks. So far, they are 19-15 in AL Central play.
At home, the Guardians are 35-18 this season, and they are 32-27 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland has gone 48-23 this season, and they are 19-22 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Guardians are 22-10-4 and have won two straight series on the road.
When playing at home, the Cleveland Guardians have a run line record of 25-28, with an average run margin of 0.8 runs per game. They have a run line record of 56-56 overall this season, with an average run margin of 0.8 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 24-17 vs. the run line.
Today’s game between the Cleveland Guardians and the Arizona Diamondbacks has an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The Guardians have been involved in a lot of high-scoring games this season, as their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 55-51, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, they are 16-16. Cleveland’s games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs this season, and 65.2% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs. The over has hit in their last five games.
Ben Lively will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. In that start, which came against the Orioles on August 1st, he went six innings and gave up just two earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Lively has made 19 starts and has a record of 10-6. His ERA for the season is 3.42, along with a WHIP of 1.15. Opposing batters have hit .226 off Lively this season. The right-hander has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 7.69 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 17 home runs.
Jose Ramirez has been on a tear of late for the Guardians, going 14/37 in his last 10 games with five homers and 12 RBIs. He is currently 2nd in the league with 94 RBIs and 4th with 29 home runs. Josh Naylor is also having a solid season for the Guardians, as he is 5th in the league with 81 RBIs and has gone deep 24 times.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.7 runs per game and have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They are also among the league leaders in terms of avoiding strikeouts and have the 11th best team batting average in the league.
Our predicted final score for this Diamondbacks vs. Guardians matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Guardians. With the Guardians’ money line sitting at -101, we see this as a great payout for a team that we also have winning.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher’s projections, Ben Lively is projected to go 17th in terms of strikeout totals, and we have him finishing with five K’s. As for Brandon Pfaadt, he is projected to finish with just four strikeouts, which is third worst among today’s starters.
Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips
- We like the Guardians on the moneyline (-101)
- On the run line we like Guardians (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | Out | Hip |
| Matthew Boyd | Out | Elbow |
| Sam Hentges | Out | Shoulder |
| Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
| James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
| Tanner Bibee | Questionable | Knee |
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker | Out | Oblique |
| Merrill Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Gabriel Moreno | Out | Groin |
| Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
| Blake Walston | Out | Elbow |
| Bryce Jarvis | Out | Elbow |
| Andrew Saalfrank | Out | Suspension |
