Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
There appears to be a chance for light rain in Cleveland on Tuesday, where the Guardians and Diamondbacks will face off at Progressive Field. The game is set to start at 6:40 PM ET. Ben Lively is starting for the Guardians, and they are the slight money line favorite (-116). Arizona is starting Eduardo Rodriguez, and they are 61-52, 2nd in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are on a 2-game winning streak.
The over/under line for Tuesday’s interleague matchup is at 8 runs, and the game will be televised on BSGL. Arizona comes in with a money line payout of -103. Cleveland is currently on a 3-game losing streak.
Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Guardians – Arizona Diamondbacks odds
Cleveland Guardians vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Trends and Key Stats
- The Diamondbacks are 4-1 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Guardians have gone 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 in their previous five home contests.
- The Diamondbacks are 9-1 in their last ten games as the favorite and 5-5 as the underdog.
- In their last ten games, the Guardians have a record of 7-3 as the favorite and 4-6 as the underdog.
It was a back-and-forth game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Guardians series. Arizona went into the matchup as slight favorites at -120 and squeaked out a 7-6 win. The Diamondbacks had to rally late, as they scored the game’s final run in the 10th inning.
Cleveland wasted a good outing from Logan Allen, as he gave up just two earned runs in five innings of work for the Guardians. Emmanuel Clase took the loss. Ryan Thompson got the win out of the bullpen for the Diamondbacks as Zac Gallen went seven innings, giving up five earned runs.
Offensively, the Diamondbacks actually had two fewer hits than the Guardians in the game (10 to 8). Arizona’s lineup was led by Gabriel Moreno, who went 2/2 with a home run and three RBIs.
Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
Arizona is 61-52 overall and is 2nd in the NL West, five games behind the Dodgers. They have won two straight games and have gone 8-2 over their last 10. The Diamondbacks took the first game of this series vs. the Guardians, and they have an overall series record of 19-13-4 this year.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 31-25 this season, and they are right at .500 at 30-27 on the road. Arizona has won five straight games as the favorite and are 33-20 as the favorite this year. As the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 28-32 this season.
Arizona has been a strong bet on the run line this season, going 57-56 overall. They have been particularly profitable on the road, where they are 32-25 against the run line. The Diamondbacks have an average run margin of +0.4 runs per game this season, and they have been a better bet against the run line as an underdog (36-24) than as a favorite (21-32).
The Diamondbacks have played to a 62-48 over/under record this season, with an average combined run average of 9.9 runs per game. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 10-4-1. Overall, 71.7% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8 runs this season. Their over streak is at two games.
Coming off a season in which he went 13-9, Eduardo Rodriguez will be making his first start of the season against the Guardians. Last year, Rodriguez faced the Guardians four times, going 4-0 with an ERA of 0.38. In terms of his overall numbers, Rodriguez made 26 starts and finished with an ERA of 3.30. His WHIP for the season was 1.15, and he allowed a batting average of .225. Rodriguez finished the season with 14 quality starts and gave up a total of 15 home runs.
Arizona’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are 2nd in the MLB in runs per game at 5.2. They are also near the top of the league in batting average and have the 6th best slugging percentage in the league. The Diamondbacks are also one of the best home run hitting teams in the league, with their 131 homers ranking 9th in the league.
Ketel Marte has been one of the league’s top offensive players this season, as his 78 RBIs are 6th in the MLB, and his 28 homers are 5th best. He is also batting .300 for the season and has gone 4/23 with four homers in his last five games. Marte also comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak. Christian Walker is also a power threat in the lineup, as his 23 homers is 8th best in the league.
Cleveland is currently 67-45 overall and leads the AL Central by 3.5 games over the Twins. The Guardians will take on the Diamondbacks today at home, and they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes dropping the series opener vs. Arizona. In divisional games this year, the Guardians are 19-15.
At home, the Guardians are 35-18 this season and 32-27 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland has gone 48-23 this year and 19-22 as the underdog. For the season, their series record is 22-10-4, and they have won two straight series on the road.
When the Guardians win, they win by an average of 3.4 runs per game, and when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.2 runs per game. Their overall run line record is .500, but they are 25-28 against the run line at home. They are 32-39 against the run line as the favorite and 24-17 against the run line as the underdog.
The Cleveland Guardians are hosting the Arizona Diamondbacks today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Guardians have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 55-51. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs this season, their record is 9-9-2. The over has hit in five straight games for Cleveland.
Ben Lively gets the start for the Guardians today vs. the Diamondbacks, and he is coming off a solid outing vs. the Orioles. In that August 1st start, he went six innings, giving up just two earned runs and picking up the win. Looking back over his last three starts, Lively has gone at least six innings in each outing. His record for the season is 10-6, and he has an ERA of 3.42. Opponents are batting .226 off the right-hander this season. Lively has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 7.69 strikeouts per nine innings.
Jose Ramirez has been red hot for the Guardians of late, going 13/30 with five homers and 12 RBIs over his last eight games. This has helped him move into the top spot on the team’s home run leaderboard and 2nd in RBIs. Overall, he is batting .282 with 29 homers. Josh Naylor is also a big power threat for the Guardians, as he is 7th in the league with 24 homers.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.7 runs per game and are one of the league’s best at avoiding strikeouts. They are also among the league leaders in terms of home runs. So far, they have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest.
Our pick for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Guardians game is to take the Guardians on the money line, with the payout being -116. We have the Guardians winning this one by a final score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Ben Lively is projected to go 16th in terms of innings pitched, and he is also projected to pick up the win 16th among starters. As for his strikeout numbers, we have him finishing with four K’s, which would have him ranked sixth worst for today’s starters.
Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips
- We like the Guardians on the moneyline (-116)
- The Guardians should also cover at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | Out | Hip |
| Matthew Boyd | Out | Elbow |
| Sam Hentges | Out | Shoulder |
| Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
| James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
| Tanner Bibee | Questionable | Knee |
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Probable | Shoulder |
| Christian Walker | Out | Oblique |
| Merrill Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Gabriel Moreno | Doubtful | Groin |
| Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
| Blake Walston | Out | Elbow |
| Bryce Jarvis | Out | Elbow |
| Andrew Saalfrank | Out | Suspension |
