Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction & Betting Tips 8/14/2024

Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview

Wednesday’s forecast in Cincinnati calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the upper 80s. First pitch for this NL Central matchup is set for 6:40 PM ET from Great American Ball Park. The Reds are 59-61, while the Cardinals are 60-60. St. Louis is currently on a three-game losing streak, and they are the slight favorite on the money line (-113). Cincinnati is 3rd in the NL Central, and they have won three straight. Their money line odds are sitting at -106.

BSOH is carrying Wednesday’s TV coverage for this one, and the over/under line is at 9.5 runs. Kyle Gibson is starting for the Cardinals, while the Reds are going with Emilio Pagan.

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Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats

• The Cardinals are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Reds have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
• The Cardinals are 4-6 in their last ten games as the favorite and 4-6 as the underdog.
• 6-4 is the record of the Reds as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 5-5.

Cincinnati picked up a 4-1 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a two-run lead after the first inning and didn’t look back, as the Cardinals only run came in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -131 on the money line.

Hunter Greene pitched well for the Reds in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued five walks. As for the Cardinals, Erick Fedde got the start and gave up four runs in six innings of work.

At the plate, the Reds were led by Jeimer Candelario and Ty France, as they were the only two Reds hitters to have more than one hit. Candelario, TJ Friedl, and Tyler Naquin each had two RBIs for Cincinnati’s offense.

Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

With an overall record of 60-60, the Cardinals are 2nd in the NL Central, 7.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. The Cardinals have dropped three straight games, and this includes losing the first two games of their series vs. the Reds. So far, they are 17-21 in divisional matchups.

St. Louis has been just above .500 both at home (31-27) and on the road (29-33) this season. As the favorite, the Cardinals have gone 31-30 and 29-30 as the underdog. Their longest road losing streak this year is three, and they are 10-9 as the road favorite. Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals are 18-16-4 in series this year.

When the Cardinals are the favorite, they are just 20-41 against the run line. However, when they are the underdog, they are 38-21. Their overall run line record is 58-62, and their average run margin for the season is -0.5 runs per game.

The St. Louis Cardinals are on the road today against the Cincinnati Reds. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Cardinals and their opponents have combined to average 8.7 runs per game this season. St. Louis has an over/under record of 58-59 on the year. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, the Cardinals have a record of 2-4. Only 1.7% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs. Their last two games have gone under the total.

Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 7-4 with an ERA of 3.99. So far, Gibson has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 8.19 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Gibson finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without giving up a home run. Gibson has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-1 and 3.53 ERA compared to 2-3 with a 4.83 ERA at home.

So far this season, the Cardinals are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. One of the reasons for their struggles is that they have the 18th ranked home run total and are just 17th in slugging percentage. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 10th in the league.

St. Louis has a few players who have been swinging the bat well of late, as Nolan Arenado has gone 11/34 in his last nine games, and Willson Contreras has gone 9/33 in that stretch. Arenado is also on a three-game hitting streak, while Contreras is looking to extend his streak to five games.

Cincinnati is 59-61 overall and trails the Brewers by 8.5 games in the NL Central. The Reds have won three straight games and are 2-0 so far in their series vs. the Cardinals. Currently, they are 17-17 in divisional games.

At home, the Reds are 30-31 this season and 29-30 on the road. As the underdog, the Reds are 28-35 this year, and they are 31-26 when favored. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 14-20-3, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.

When the Reds win, they do so by an average of 3.8 runs per game, while their average margin of defeat is -2.9 runs. Cincinnati is 65-55 against the run line this season, including a 28-33 mark at home. They are 37-22 vs. the run line on the road, and they’ve covered in each of their last two home games. The Reds have been a run line underdog in 63 games this season, going 39-24 in those contests.

The Cincinnati Reds have an over/under record of 54-62 this season, and their games have had an average of 8.5 runs scored per game. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, their record is 18-9. The over/under line for today’s game against the St. Louis Cardinals is set at 9.5 runs. The Reds have had just five games this season with an over/under line set at 9.5 runs, which is only 4.2% of their games. Their current under streak is at four games.

Right-hander Emilio Pagán is getting the start for the Reds today as he faces the Cardinals. He has made 23 appearances out of the bullpen this season and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 4.22. Opposing batters have hit .247 off Pagán this season, and his WHIP is 1.36. Pagán has a BB/9 figure of 3.38 compared to 10.97 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched was on August 11th, where he went one inning, giving up one hit and one walk. He didn’t allow a run in that outing and finished with a no-decision.

Spencer Steer has been on a roll for the Reds of late, going 9/19 in his last six games with three homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .237, but his 18 homers are the 3rd most on the team. Elly De La Cruz is hitting .264 for the season and leads the team with 21 homers. He is also 3rd on the team with 51 RBIs.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. Their team batting average of .230 is just 21st in the MLB, but their collective isolated power of .169 is the 8th best mark in the league. So far, they have been a below-average team in terms of on-base percentage and slugging.

Given that the Reds are at home and we have them winning this game by a score of 6-5, we would recommend taking them on the money line, where the payout is -106.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Kyle Gibson is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and we have him finishing with a final line of 6 hits and two earned runs. As for the Reds, they are projected to finish with nine strikeouts as a team.

Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips

• We like the Reds on the moneyline (-106)
• The Reds are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Cincinnati Reds Injury Report

St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report