Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview
At 6:40 PM ET, the Reds and Cardinals will face off in an NL Central matchup. This one is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, and the Reds are favored on the money line (-134). The Cardinals have lost two straight and are 60-59 overall.
The over/under line is at 9 runs, and Erick Fedde will start for the Cardinals, while the Reds are going with Hunter Greene. This game can be seen on BSOH.
Check out BetCoco for Cincinnati Reds – St. Louis Cardinals odds
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Cardinals have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
- On the other side, the Reds have gone 2-3 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Reds have won 5-5 straight-up, and have a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- Looking at the Cardinals’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 5-5 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.
Cincinnati cruised to a 6-1 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 3rd inning, scoring three of their six runs. As for the Cardinals, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +125 on the money line.
Andrew Abbott pitched well for the Reds in this one, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Sonny Gray had a rough outing for the Cardinals, giving up six runs in five innings of work.
Spencer Steer hit the game’s only two home runs while going 2/3 with five RBIs and two runs scored. Elly De La Cruz also had a two-hit game for Cincinnati.
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
St. Louis is 60-59 overall this season, and they are 7.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals have dropped two straight games, and they are 17-20 in divisional matchups this year. So far, they have gone 31-27 at home and are just under .500 at 29-32 on the road.
As the road underdog, the Cardinals have gone 19-23 this year, and they are 31-30 when favored. St. Louis’ overall series record is 18-16-4, and they are losing their current series vs. the Reds. The Cardinals are 4-6 across their last ten games.
When betting the run line, the Cardinals have been a better bet as the underdog, going 38-20 compared to 20-41 as the favorite. They have a losing record against the run line overall at 58-61, and they have lost their last two run line bets on the road.
The St. Louis Cardinals are on the road today against the Cincinnati Reds, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The Cardinals’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 58-58. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 10-9-1. So far this season, only 6.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.
St. Louis is sending right-hander Erick Fedde to the mound today vs. the Reds. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 8-5 with a 3.28 ERA. Fedde’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.15. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had taken the loss in two straight starts. Fedde has given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .226 off Fedde this season.
So far this season, the Cardinals offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 11th in the league, and are also among the league’s best in terms of batting average on balls in play. However, they have been below average in terms of home runs, slugging percentage, and OPS.
Alec Burleson has been the Cardinals’ top power threat this season, as his 20 homers are the most on the team and 13th in the league. He is also batting .277. Brendan Donovan has been a solid run producer this season, with 53 RBIs, which is the 2nd most on the team. In his last six games, Nolan Arenado has gone 8/22, and Willson Contreras has gone 7/23.
Cincinnati is 58-61 overall and is 4th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 9.5 games. The Reds are 16-17 in divisional games this year and have won two straight games heading into today’s matchup with the Cardinals. Cincinnati took the first game of the series, putting their overall series record at 14-20-3 this year.
At home, the Reds are 29-31 this year and 29-30 on the road. As the favorite, the Reds have gone 30-26 and 28-35 as the underdog. So far, they are 19-21 as the favorite at home. Cincinnati’s overall record has been helped by going 6-4 over their last ten games.
When betting the Reds on the run line, it’s best to take them on the road, where they are 37-22 against the run line. They are 27-33 against the run line at home. The Reds have an average scoring margin of 0.7 runs per game on the road, compared to 0.0 runs per game at home.
When the Reds play at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. This season, the Reds’ games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Reds games is 54-61, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Reds’ games have gone under 4 times, over 18 times, and pushed 3 times. This season, the over/under line has been set at 9 runs in 32 of the Reds’ games, which is 26.9% of their games.
Hunter Greene will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work. In that start vs. the Marlins, he gave up two home runs. Greene didn’t factor into the decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts and hadn’t given up a home run in either outing. Greene has a record of 8-4 this season and an ERA of 2.90. Opponents are batting .180 off the right-hander this season. Greene has one complete game and 12 quality starts this year. His ERA at home is 3.90 compared to 2.29 on the road.
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, going 14/38 in his last nine games, including three homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .266 with a team-high 21 homers. Spencer Steer has also been on a good stretch, going 8/28 in his last eight games, also with three homers. Steer comes into the game with 18 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 15th in the MLB.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They are also 10th in the league in home runs. Overall, they are batting just .230 and have the league’s 23rd worst on-base percentage. So far, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per game.
Our prediction for today’s Cardinals vs. Reds matchup is to take the Reds on the money line at -134. We actually have the Reds winning this one by a score of 6-4, which means there is some value on taking the over as well, as the line is sitting at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Hunter Greene finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the third-most among all starters. As for Erick Fedde, we have him finishing with five K’s, which has him in the middle of the pack.
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips
- Take the Reds on the moneyline
- The Reds should also cover at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Cincinnati Reds Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Suter | Out | Shoulder |
| Austin Wynns | Out | Teres Major |
| Nick Martini | Out | Thumb |
| Ian Gibaut | Out | Forearm |
| Matt McLain | Out | Shoulder |
| Graham Ashcraft | Out | Elbow |
| Brandon Williamson | Out | Shoulder |
| Tejay Antone | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Out | Wrist |
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn | Out | Knee |
| Matt Carpenter | Out | Back |
| Steven Matz | Out | Back |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
| Michael Siani | Out | Oblique |
