Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Betting Tips 5/22/2024

Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Preview

Light rain is in the forecast for Wednesday’s Reds vs. Padres matchup in Cincinnati, with the game being played at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is set for 6:40 PM ET. Nick Martinez will start for the Reds, and he is facing a Padres team that is 25-26. San Diego is starting Michael King, and they are 2nd in the NL West.

The money line odds have the Padres at -129 compared to the Reds at +108. The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs, and this game will be televised on BSOH. Cincinnati comes in on a two-game winning streak, while the Padres have lost their last two.

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Cincinnati Reds Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Padres are 3-2. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Reds have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
• The Padres have a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 5-5.
• When playing as the underdog, the Reds have a 7-3 record against the runline and a 7-3 straight-up record in their last ten games.

Cincinnati picked up a 2-0 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Reds offense only had three hits but took advantage of their opportunities, scoring two runs in the 2nd inning and not scoring another run after that. On the other side, the Padres wasted a good outing from Joe Musgrove, as he gave up just three hits and no earned runs in three innings of work.

Andrew Abbott started for the Reds and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just two strikeouts but induced six ground ball outs. As for the Padres, they got a good outing from Musgrove but he took the loss.

Cincinnati’s two runs came on a two-run single from Elly De La Cruz. He was the only Reds hitter to have more than one hit. As for the Padres, Luis Arraez went 2/4.

Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction

San Diego is 25-26 overall, and they are eight games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres lost the first game of this series vs. the Reds and have dropped two straight games overall. So far, they are 12-13 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Padres are just 10-16 this year, but they have been much better on the road at 15-10. As the favorite, the Padres are 14-15 this year and 11-11 as the underdog. San Diego’s overall series record is 9-6-2, and they have won three straight series on the road.

The Padres have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, going 27-24 overall. They are 19-6 vs. the run line on the road, but have failed to cover in their last two road games. They are 15-7 vs. the run line as an underdog.

The Padres are on the road today against the Reds, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. San Diego’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 26-24. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 1-1. This season, only 5.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs, and their games have gone under the line in 90.2% of their games. Currently, their games have gone under the total in two straight contests.

Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Reds on the road. King has made nine starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 4.31. His WHIP for the season is 1.36. In his last outing, King took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up six earned runs, seven hits, and two homers to the Rockies. Before that, he had pitched well, picking up the win and not giving up a run in six innings of work vs. the Diamondbacks. King’s ERA at home is 6.19 compared to 4.38 on the road.

So far this season, the Padres offense has been a very good road team, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are 13th in the league at 4.5 runs per contest. San Diego has been one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, and they also come in with the 5th best team batting average in the league.

Jurickson Profar has been one of the Padres’ top power threats this season, as he is 2nd on the team with seven homers and is batting .339. Profar is also on a 10-game hitting streak. Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. are also tied for the team lead with eight homers. Tatis Jr. is batting just .249 for the season, but has been swinging a better bat of late, going 12/28 in his last six games.

Cincinnati is 20-28 overall and trails the Brewers by eight games in the NL Central. The Reds are 1-2 in divisional games this year and are looking to pick up a game on the Cardinals, who are 4th in the division, 6.5 games ahead of them.

At home, the Reds are 3-4 as the underdog this year and 10-13 overall at home. They are 10-15 on the road this season. So far, they have been favored in 20 games and have gone 10-10 in those games. As for their series record, the Reds are 4-10-1 and have dropped seven straight series.

When betting on the run line, the Reds have been a better bet on the road than at home. They are 16-9 on the run line on the road, compared to 9-14 at home. As an underdog, the Reds are 16-12 on the run line, compared to 9-11 as the favorite. Overall, the Reds’ average run margin is -0.1, and they have a run line record of 25-23.

The Cincinnati Reds are back home today, and the over/under line for their game against the San Diego Padres is set at 9.5 runs. The Reds have a combined run average of 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 22-24. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs this season, the over has hit in 8 of their 9 games. Overall, only 2.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, and their under streak is currently at 3 games.

Cincinnati is giving the ball to Nick Martinez today, and he has made 10 appearances this year, including four starts. Martinez’s record for the season is 1-2, and his ERA is 4.23. So far, he has a WHIP of 1.20 and is coming off a bullpen outing in which he got the win. In that outing vs. the Dodgers, he went five innings and didn’t give up a run. Looking back over his last three outings, Martinez has finished with a no-decision in each one. He has allowed one homer in three of his last four outings.

As a team, the Reds are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They are also one of the worst hitting teams in the league, with a team batting average of just .216. However, they do have a couple of hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, including Tyler Stephenson, who has gone 9/21 in his last seven games.

Elly De La Cruz has been a bright spot for the Reds this season, as he is batting .262 with a team-high nine home runs. Spencer Steer leads the team with 31 RBIs, but he is batting just .224 for the season. Will Benson has also struggled at the plate, hitting just .195, but he does have six home runs.

With the Reds being the underdog at +108, we see this as a great value pick, as we have them winning this game 6-5. With the over/under sitting at 9.5 runs, you could look to take the over, as we have this game going over that total.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Nick Martinez is projected to finish with four strikeouts, while Michael King is projected to finish with five. However, we have Martinez finishing with a better ERA and getting the win.

Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Betting Tips

• Take the Padres on the moneyline
• The Reds are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Cincinnati Reds Injury Report

San Diego Padres Injury Report

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