Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Betting Tips 6/26/2024

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

At 1:10 PM ET, the Pirates and Reds face off in an NL Central matchup. This one is taking place at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, and the Reds are favored on the money line (-131). The money line odds for the Pirates are sitting at +111, and their overall record is 38-41, while the Reds are 37-42.</

Luis L. Ortiz is starting for the Pirates, while the Reds are giving the ball to Graham Ashcraft. The Reds have won three of their last four games, while the Pirates have gone 5-5 over their last ten. The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs, and BSOH is carrying this game on TV.

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Cincinnati Reds Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Pirates have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
• The Reds, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 2-3 record.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Reds have a straight-up record of 8-2, while going 5-5 against the runline.
• The Pirates have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

Pittsburgh cruised to a 9-5 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their nine runs. As for the Reds, they scored their first run in the 5th and added their final four runs in the 9th.

Mitch Keller only went 5 2/3 innings for the Pirates but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. Hunter Greene struggled on the mound for the Reds, giving up six runs in four innings of work.

At the plate, Bryan Reynolds and Jared Triolo each homered for the Pirates. Reynolds, Nick Gonzales, and Rowdy Tellez each had two hits and two RBIs. Jonathan India went 2/2 with three runs scored for the Reds.

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Pittsburgh is 38-41 overall and is 8.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Pirates are 11-11 in divisional games this year. The Pirates picked up a win in the second game of this series vs. the Reds to snap a three-game losing streak.

At home, the Pirates are 19-20 this season and are just below .500 at 19-21 on the road. So far, they have gone 13-15 as the road underdog. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is 10-11-4 coming into today’s game. They are also 15-18 as the favorite this year.

When betting the run line on the Pirates, it’s best to take them as the underdog. They are 31-15 against the run line in those games. Pittsburgh is 23-17 against the run line on the road this season, compared to 19-20 at home. The Pirates’ average run differential is -0.4 runs per game, but that number jumps to -3.6 runs per game in their losses.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are on the road against the Cincinnati Reds today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Pirates have an average combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 38-40. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs this season, but when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, the over has hit in their only game. This season, only 3.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 1-0. Their games have gone over the total in their last two games.

Luis L. Ortiz is getting the start for the Pirates today as he faces the Reds on the road. So far this season, he has made 21 appearances and has a record of 3-2 with a 3.45 ERA. Ortiz most recently pitched on June 21st out of the bullpen, where he finished with a no-decision. In that outing, he gave up six hits, six earned runs, and three homers in four innings of work. Before that, he had not given up a homer in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .244 off Ortiz this season.

After a slow start to the season, the Pirates offense has been swinging the bats better of late, and they are now averaging 4.1 runs per game. This is still just 24th in the league, but they have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .228 and have the 24th ranked slugging percentage in the league.

Bryan Reynolds has been on a tear of late, going 9/22 in his last six games with four homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .280 with a team-high 13 homers and 46 RBIs. Oneil Cruz is 2nd on the team in RBIs and is also 2nd in homers, but he is batting just .243 for the season.

Cincinnati will take on the Pirates today with an overall record of 37-42, putting them 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 9.5 games in the division. So far, they are just one game below .500 at 10-11 in divisional matchups.

The Reds have lost three straight series and have an overall series record of 8-15-2 this year. They are also just 3-7 across their last ten games. At home, the Reds are 20-22 this year compared to a record of 17-20 on the road. As the favorite, Cincinnati is 20-15 and 17-27 as the underdog.

When the Reds win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6. However, they lose by an average of 2.9 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 42-37, but they are 24-13 on the run line on the road. They are 18-24 on the run line at home and have an average run margin of -0.2 runs per game at home. As the favorite, they are 16-19 on the run line, while they are 26-18 as the underdog.

The Cincinnati Reds are at home today against the Pittsburgh Pirates, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.4, and their over/under record is 34-42. The over/under line for their games has averaged 9 runs, and when the line is set at 9.5, their record is 13-7. Only 6.3% of their games have had lines set higher than 9.5 runs, and their current over streak is at three games.

Cincinnati is giving the ball to right-hander Graham Ashcraft today vs. the Pirates. He has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 4-3 with an ERA of 5.05. Opponents are batting .271 this year off Ashcraft, and his WHIP for the season is 1.46. In his 12 starts, Ashcraft has turned in three quality starts, and his ERA at home is 7.69 compared to 4.22 on the road. Ashcraft’s most recent outing came vs. the Rockies, where he gave up four earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.

Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, going 10/29 in his last seven games, including two home runs. Overall, he is batting .253 with a team-high 14 homers. De La Cruz is also 3rd on the team with 35 RBIs. Jeimer Candelario is also tied for the team lead in homers and has 39 RBIs, but he has struggled of late, going just 5/27 in his last seven games.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game and are 13th in the league in home runs. However, they are batting just .229 and have the 20th ranked on-base percentage in the league. The Reds have several players on a current hitting streak, including Jonathan India, who is batting .520 in his last seven games.

There is a lot of value in taking the Pirates on the money line today, as they are currently sitting at +111. We actually have the Pirates winning this game by a score of 6-5, giving you some additional value on the over as well. However, we are much more confident in the Pirates on the money line.

If you are looking for a player prop bet, Graham Ashcraft is projected to finish with five strikeouts. However, we have him finishing with a 5.40 ERA, so we would recommend looking at his strikeout line.

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Tips

• We like the Pirates on the moneyline (+111)
• The Pirates are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Cincinnati Reds Injury Report

Pittsburgh Pirates Injury Report