Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies Prediction & Betting Tips 7/9/2024

Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies Preview

At 7:10 PM ET, the Rockies and Reds square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, and the Reds are the heavy favorites on the money line at -176. The money line odds for a Rockies win are sitting at +149, and they are 5th in the NL West with a record of 32-59. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central at 43-48.

BSOH is carrying this game on TV, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. Nick Lodolo is starting for the Reds, while the Rockies are going with Cal Quantrill.

Check out BetCoco for Cincinnati Reds – Colorado Rockies odds

Cincinnati Reds Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Rockies have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
• In the Reds’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
• As the favorite, the Reds are 5-5 over their last ten games, including going 2-8 vs. the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Rockies have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.

Cincinnati cruised to an easy 6-0 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 8th inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Rockies, they had their best chance to score in the 4th, but could only muster two runs. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -167 on the money line.

Andrew Abbott pitched well for the Reds in this one, going seven innings and striking out eight without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Ryan Feltner took the loss for the Rockies. Feltner only gave up one earned run in seven innings of work.

Rece Hinds provided the big blow for the Reds’ offense, as he homered and went 2/3 with three RBIs. Jeimer Candelario and Elly De La Cruz each had two hits and two RBIs.

Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

Colorado is 32-59 overall, and they are 23 games out of the lead in the NL West. So far, they have gone just 10-17 in divisional games. The Rockies have dropped two straight games and lost the first game of this series vs. the Reds.

At home, the Rockies are 20-27 this year, and they are just 12-32 on the road. So far, they are 10-24 in day games. As the underdog, the Rockies are 32-59 this year, and they have lost two straight as the underdog. Colorado’s overall series record is 5-21-3 this year, and they are losing the series vs. the Reds 0-1.

When the Rockies are the underdog, they are 44-47 on the run line this season. Their average run differential in those games is -1.7 runs per game. They are 20-24 on the run line on the road, where their average run differential is -2.2 runs per game. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two games as the underdog.

The Rockies have played in 54 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 59.3% of their games. Their games have averaged 9.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 45-44. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 4-7.

Cal Quantrill gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 6-6 with an ERA of 3.77. Quantrill’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.33. Looking back at his last outing, Quantrill finished with a no-decision against the Brewers, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Quantrill has allowed a total of 12 home runs this season.

Ryan McMahon has been swinging a hot bat for the Rockies of late, going 8/19 in his last five games. For the season, he is hitting .274 with a team-high 14 home runs and 45 RBIs. Ezequiel Tovar is 2nd on the team in RBIs (37) and has 12 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 15th in the league. Tovar is batting .263 for the season.

As a team, the Rockies are averaging 4.1 runs per game and are 11th in the league in home batting average. However, they have been one of the worst road teams in the league, averaging just 3.6 runs per contest. The Rockies are also near the bottom of the league in strikeouts and walks.

Cincinnati is 43-48 overall and 4th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 10 games. The Reds are 12-14 against other teams in the NL Central this year. Cincinnati took the first game of their series vs. the Rockies and will look to build on their lead in the series today.

At home, the Reds are 21-26 this season while going 22-22 on the road. So far, they have been a bit better than average as the favorite, going 21-18. As the underdog, the Reds are 22-30 this year. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 9-17-3, and they have dropped three straight series at home.

The Reds are a team that has been involved in a lot of close games this season, as their average run differential is just 0.2 runs per game. Their run line record is 49-42, with a 30-14 mark on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 32-20 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential in wins is 3.6 runs, while it is -2.8 runs in losses.

When the Reds play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season. Cincinnati has an over/under record of 38-49 on the year, and their games have averaged a line of 9 runs. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the Reds have a record of 7-8. This season, 50.5% of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs, and their games have gone under the line in three straight contests.

Cincinnati is sending left-hander Nick Lodolo to the mound today vs. the Rockies. Lodolo has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 8-3 with a 2.96 ERA. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 4 2/3 innings vs. the Red Sox and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Lodolo has been much better on the road, coming in with a 4-2 record and 3.71 ERA at home compared to 4-1 with a 2.31 ERA on the road.

Elly De La Cruz has been a bright spot in the Reds lineup this season, as he is batting .251 with a team-high 15 home runs. His 40 RBIs are also 3rd best in the league. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the league in home runs, as Steer has 13 and Candelario has 14. Steer comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak, but he and Candelario have both hit just .250 over their last seven games.

Overall, the Reds are 17th in scoring at 4.3 runs per game. They have been a better team on the road this season, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. As a team, the Reds are batting just .226, which is 20th in the league.

Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Reds, so if you’re looking for a money line pick, the Reds at -176 is a solid option. However, we actually like the over in this matchup, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs.

If you’re looking for some player props, Nick Lodolo is projected to finish with eight strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters today. As for Cal Quantrill, we have him finishing with five K’s, which is tied for the fifth-worst.

Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies Betting Tips

• Take the Reds on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Rockies (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Cincinnati Reds Injury Report

Colorado Rockies Injury Report