Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Orioles and Reds are set to face off in an interleague matchup at 4:10 PM ET on Sunday. This one is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, where the forecast calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the low 70s. Baltimore is sending Dean Kremer to the mound, and he is facing off against Nick Lodolo for the Reds.
Overall, the Orioles are 22-11 this season, and they are the slight favorite on the money line today at -106. As for the Reds, they are 16-17 and have an over/under line of 9 runs. You can catch this one on TV on MASN.
Check out BetCoco for Cincinnati Reds – Baltimore Orioles odds
Cincinnati Reds Trends and Key Stats
- The Orioles are 4-1 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- The Reds, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 3-2 record.
- Over the last ten games, Orioles has a record of 6-4 when playing as favorites and 6-4 when playing as underdogs.
- In their last ten games, the Reds have a record of 9-1 as the favorite and 1-9 as the underdog.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Orioles vs Reds series. Baltimore went into the matchup as +101 underdogs and squeaked out a 2-1 win. The Orioles only had two more hits than the Reds and struck out 13 times, but still picked up the win.
Cincinnati had a chance to tie or win the game in the 9th inning, but Yennier Cano closed things out for the Orioles. John Means put together a good outing for Baltimore, going seven innings and striking out eight without giving up a run.
Offensively, the Orioles were led by Adley Rutschman, who homered and went 3/4 at the plate. Jorge Mateo also had a two-hit game for Baltimore. Jonathan India did the most damage for the Reds, going 2/3 with a run scored.
Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
Baltimore is on the road today vs. the Reds, and they lead the AL East by one game over the Yankees. The Orioles are 22-11 overall and have won three straight games, all of which have come on the road. In AL East matchups, they have gone 6-1 this year.
At home, the Orioles have gone 12-7 this year, and they have been really good on the road at 10-4. So far, they have been really good in day games, going 12-5 this year. As the favorite, the Orioles are 16-10 and 6-1 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 7-3, and they have won three straight series on the road.
The Orioles have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 20-13 overall. They are 9-5 against the run line on the road and have covered in their last two road games. They have an average run differential of +1.4 runs per game this season.
The Orioles have played in 30 games this season, and the over has hit in 16 of them. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and the combined run average in their games is 8.9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, the over has gone 2-5-1. Their last two games have gone under the total, and they are 2-5-1 to the over when the line is set at 9 runs.
Through six starts, Dean Kremer has a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 4.19 for the Orioles. He has made two quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Yankees, Kremer pitched seven innings, giving up just two hits and two walks. Looking back at his last three outings, Kremer has gone 7, 5 1/3, and 5 2/3 innings. He has allowed at least one home run in three of his last four starts. Kremer’s ERA at home is 7.04 compared to 2.71 on the road.
Adley Rutschman has been a big part of the Orioles offense this season, batting .321 with five homers and 20 RBIs. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/20 in his last five games with one home run and three RBIs. Gunnar Henderson has been the league’s top power threat so far, as his 10 homers are the best in the league. He also comes into the game with a team-high 24 RBIs.
As a team, the Orioles have been the league’s top home run hitting team and are also 4th in the league in runs scored at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, their team batting average of .249 is 7th in the league, and they are 2nd in slugging percentage.
Cincinnati is looking to get back to .500 today, as they come in with a record of 16-17, having dropped four straight games. The Reds are 4.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead, and they are 3rd in the division. So far, they have gone just 1-2 in divisional games.
The Reds have dropped two straight games as the underdog, and they are 6-11 as the underdog this year. As for their record as the favorite, the Reds are 10-6. At home, the Reds have dropped three straight, and they are 2-3 as the home underdog. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 4-5-1, and they have lost two straight series.
The Reds have a run differential of +0.4 runs per game this season, and their run line record is 17-16. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 9-6 compared to 8-10 at home. Their average run differential in wins is +4.2 runs per game, while it’s -3.2 runs per game in losses.
When the Reds play at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 17-15. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 0-5-1. The over has hit in 30.3% of their games this season, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Coming into today’s game against the Orioles, Nick Lodolo has been on a tear to start the season. He has picked up wins in each of his first 3 starts, and in his last outing, he struck out 11 Padres hitters over 7 innings. Lodolo has yet to give up a home run this season.
Elly De La Cruz comes into today’s game as the Reds’ top hitter for the season, batting .278 with a team-high eight home runs. However, he has struggled of late, going just 6/30 in his last eight games. Overall, the Reds are batting just .213, and their team on-base percentage of .292 is 23rd in the league.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been pretty consistent in terms of runs scored at home and on the road. Currently, the Reds have three players with at least four homers, with Spencer Steer and Will Benson each having four homers and batting .246 and .200 for the season, respectively.
Our prediction for today’s Orioles vs. Reds matchup is to take the Reds on the money line at -114. We have the Reds winning this one by a score of 6-5, giving us some room to take the Reds on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Nick Lodolo is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Dean Kremer, he is projected to finish with just four strikeouts, which is the fifth worst among all starters.
Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips
- Take the Reds on the moneyline
- The Reds are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Cincinnati Reds Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Frankie Montas | Out | Forearm |
| Alex Young | Out | Back |
| TJ Friedl | Out | Wrist |
| Ian Gibaut | Out | Forearm |
| Matt McLain | Out | Shoulder |
| Noelvi Marte | Out | Suspension |
| Brandon Williamson | Out | Shoulder |
| Tejay Antone | Out | Elbow |
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hays | Out | Calf |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Out | Shoulder |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
