Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Betting Tips 5/4/2024

Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles Preview

At 6:40 from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, we have an interleague matchup between the Orioles and Reds. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Orioles have a record of 21-11, while the Reds are 16-16 overall. Baltimore is currently favored on the money line (-118).

Andrew Abbott is starting for the Reds, and he is facing off against John Means for the Orioles. The over/under line is at 9.5 runs, and you can catch this one on BSOH.

Check out BetCoco for Cincinnati Reds – Baltimore Orioles odds

Cincinnati Reds Trends and Key Stats

• The Orioles are 4-1 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
• In the Reds’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
• In their previous ten games, Orioles have won 6-4 as favorites and 6-4 as underdogs.
• The Reds have a 9-1 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 1-9.

Thanks to a three-run 7th inning for the Orioles’ offense, they cruised to a 3-0 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +100 on the money line.

The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Cole Irvin for the Orioles, and he went 6 1/3 innings while giving up just two hits and no earned runs. Hunter Greene got the start for the Reds and went 5 2/3 innings, giving up five hits and no earned runs.

Baltimore’s two best hitters in the game were Ryan O’Hearn and Ryan Mountcastle, as they were the only two Orioles hitters to have more than one hit. O’Hearn also hit the game’s only home run.

Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Orioles are on the road today vs. the Reds, and they lead the AL East with a record of 21-11. Currently, they are just 6-4 over their last 10 games, but they have won two straight games. Baltimore’s two-game lead in the division is over the Yankees.

So far, the Orioles have been really good vs. other teams in the AL East, going 6-1 in divisional games. At home, they are 12-7 and have gone 9-4 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 16-10 this year, and they are 5-1 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 7-3, and they have won three straight series as the road team.

When the Baltimore Orioles are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 19-13. They have been especially good against the run line as the favorite, going 14-12. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.8, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.3.

So far this season, the Baltimore Orioles have played in 29 games with over/under lines set by oddsmakers. In those games, the combined run average has been 9.1. The over/under record for the Orioles is 16-13. The average over/under line for their games has been 8 runs. When the line has been set at 9.5 runs, the over/under record is 2-0. However, they have not had a single game where the line was set higher than 9.5 runs.

Coming off a season in which he made four starts and four appearances, John Means will be on the mound for the Orioles against the Reds. Last year, Means went 1-2 with an ERA of 2.66. His WHIP was .72, and he allowed four home runs. Means’ FIP was 5.24, and he averaged 3.8 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he averaged one walk per game.

So far this season, the Orioles offense has been one of the best in the league, as they are 3rd in scoring at 5.2 runs per game. They have also been the league’s top home run hitting team and have the best team slugging percentage in the league. Baltimore also has the top isolated power (ISO) in the league. As a team, they are batting .250, which is the 6th best mark in the league.

Adley Rutschman has been a consistent hitter for the Orioles, batting .308 for the season and .270 over his last nine games, with two homers in that stretch. Gunnar Henderson has been hot of late, going 9/35 with three homers in his last nine games. He is also the league’s top home run hitter, with 10 homers this season.

Cincinnati is looking to get back above .500 today, as they come into the game with a record of 16-16. The Reds are on a three-game losing streak, and they are 4.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they are 1-2 in divisional games this year.

At home, the Reds are 9-8 this year and 7-8 on the road. As the underdog, the Reds are 6-11 this year compared to 10-5 as the favorite. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 4-5-1, and they have lost two straight series.

When the Reds win, they win big, with an average run differential of 4.2 runs per game. However, they are just 17-15 against the run line this season, including a 8-9 mark at home. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two games and are 2-2 in their last four games as the favorite.

So far this season, the Reds have played 31 games, and their over/under record is 17-14. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, and the average over/under line for their games has been 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, the Reds have gone 8-1. This season, only 3.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs. In their last 10 games, the Reds have had a combined run average of 6.8 runs per game.

Cincinnati is sending left-hander Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 3.27. Looking at his overall numbers, Abbott has a WHIP of 1.12 and has issued 3 walks per nine innings compared to 7.36 strikeouts. Abbott’s last outing came vs. the Rangers, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. He has allowed a total of five homers this year. One positive note for Abbott is that he has a batting average allowed of .208.

Elly De La Cruz has been the Reds’ top hitter this season, batting .288 with a team-leading eight home runs. He is also on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 10/36 in his last 10 games with two homers. Spencer Steer has also been a key power bat for the Reds, as he is 7th in the league with four homers and is batting .246.

Overall, the Reds are 11th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, but as a team, they are batting just .214 and have the 21st on-base percentage in the league. Currently, they are 6th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game at home.

Our predicted final score for this Orioles vs. Reds matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Orioles. We are recommending that you take the Orioles on the money line, as they are currently at -118 to win this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Andrew Abbott is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the seventh-best among starters today. However, his projected ERA is the fourth worst among starters, so we would not recommend taking him to pick up the win.

Offensively, the Orioles lineup is projected to have a big day, and they are our top team in terms of projected home runs. As for the Reds, they are projected to finish with nine strikeouts, which is the third most among teams today.

Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips

• We like the Orioles on the moneyline (-118)
• The Orioles are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Cincinnati Reds Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

More Baseball