Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Preview
Wednesday’s Braves vs. Reds matchup has a first pitch set for 6:40 PM ET from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. The forecast for the game calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. Spencer Schwellenbach is starting for the Braves, and the Reds are going with Jakob Junis. Atlanta is favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
The Braves are on a three-game losing streak and are 81-70 this season, putting them 3rd in the NL East. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central with a record of 74-78.
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Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves Trends and Key Stats
- 1-4 is the record of Braves in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Reds have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Braves have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a runline record of 4-6.
- As the underdog, the Reds have gone 4-6 vs. the runline and 5-5 straight-up.
The most recent game o of this Reds and Braves series came right down to the end, as the Reds rallied late for a 6-5 win. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +120 on the money line.
Cincinnati got off to a fast start in the first game of this series, scoring three runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Braves got on the board with one run in the 4th and added two more in the 6th. Heading into the 7th, the Reds had a 6-5 lead, and both offenses went silent after that.
Brandon Williamson only went 1 1/3 innings for the Reds but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. Brent Suter got the win out of the bullpen, and Alexis Diaz got the save. Grant Holmes had a rough outing for the Braves, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work.
Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
With an overall record of 81-70, the Braves are 10 games behind the Phillies in the NL East and trail the Mets by two games for the second Wild Card spot. Atlanta has dropped three straight games, and they are 4-6 over their last 10. In the NL East, they have gone 24-22 this year.
At home, the Braves are 42-33 and 39-37 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 68-52 and 13-18 as the underdog. Atlanta will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak on the road today, and their overall series record is 26-17-7.
Atlanta’s average run differential on the road is +1.0, and its run-line record is 40-36. The Braves have gone 2-0 against the run line in their last two road games, and their overall run-line record is 71-80. They are 53-67 against the run line as the favorite and 18-13 as the underdog.
Today’s over/under line for the Atlanta Braves game against the Cincinnati Reds is set at 8.5 runs. The Braves have had an over/under record of 57-89 this season, and their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 14-25. The over has hit in four straight games for Atlanta.
Spencer Schwellenbach is looking to build off his last outing, where he faced off against the Dodgers and picked up the win. In that outing, he went six innings, giving up two earned runs on four hits. Looking at his overall numbers, Schwellenbach has made 18 starts and has a record of 6-7. His ERA for the season is 3.73, along with a WHIP of 1.10. Opposing batters are hitting .234 off the right-hander this season. Schwellenbach has turned in nine quality starts this year and is averaging 9.81 strikeouts per nine innings.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .303 with 37 home runs and 98 RBIs. He is also on a 7-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 26 homers but has struggled with a batting average of just .239. The Braves will also be looking for Michael Harris II to keep swinging a hot bat, as he has gone 10/40 with three homers in his last nine games.
Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. Their home run total is 6th best in the league, and they are batting a combined .240. As a team, they are 10th in slugging percentage and 12th in OPS.
Cincinnati is 74-78 overall, and they trail the Brewers by 13.5 games in the NL Central. The Reds are 21-25 against other teams in the NL Central. So far, they have been good at home, going 37-39, and they are also 37-39 on the road this year.
As the home underdog this season, the Reds have gone 16-12, and they are an even 33-33 as the favorite. Cincinnati has won five straight games at home, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.
The Reds have been a solid run line bet this season, going 83-69 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line on the road, going 47-29. They have been even better of late, covering the run line in six straight games. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 56-30 on the run line.
The Cincinnati Reds will be hosting the Atlanta Braves today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 71-74. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Reds have gone over in 19 of 34 games, and the over has hit in their last four games.
Jakob Junis gets the start for the Reds today and has made 22 appearances this season, along with four starts. He has a record of 4-0 and an ERA of 2.73. Looking back at his last outing, Junis went five innings vs. the Cardinals, giving up one earned run on three hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Junis has finished with a no-decision in each of his last four outings. Opponents are batting .207 vs. Junis this season, and his WHIP is .89. So far, he has allowed seven home runs. Per nine innings, Junis has 6.75 strikeouts and just 1.12 walks.
Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ top hitters this season, coming in with a batting average of .257 and a team-leading 24 home runs. His 69 RBIs are also the 2nd best mark on the team. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the team in home runs, but both are batting just .232 and .225, respectively. Steer’s 91 RBIs are the best on the team and 14th in the league.
Over his last five games, TJ Friedl has gone 9/20 with two homers and five RBIs. This has helped him move his season batting average up to .250. Currently, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been pretty consistent at home and on the road, averaging 4.4 runs in both situations.
Getting the Reds at +125 on the money line is a great value pick for today’s Braves vs. Reds matchup. We have the Reds winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving you a chance to get them on the money line.
If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also consider taking the over at 8.5 runs. However, we see this one being a close game, and with the way the payout is set up, we would recommend sticking with the Reds on the money line.
Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips
- We like the Reds on the moneyline (+125)
- The Reds are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Cincinnati Reds Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | Out | Toe |
| Sam Moll | Out | Shoulder |
| Will Benson | Questionable | Finger |
| Nick Lodolo | Out | Finger |
| Austin Wynns | Out | Teres Major |
| Nick Martini | Out | Thumb |
| Stuart Fairchild | Out | Thumb |
| Hunter Greene | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Gibaut | Out | Forearm |
| Matt McLain | Out | Shoulder |
| Graham Ashcraft | Out | Elbow |
| Brandon Williamson | Questionable | Elbow |
| Tejay Antone | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Roa | Out | Shoulder |
| Andrew Abbott | Out | Shoulder |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Out | Wrist |
Atlanta Braves Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Ozzie Albies | Out | Wrist |
| Reynaldo López | Out | Shoulder |
| A.J. Minter | Out | Hip |
| Austin Riley | Out | Hand |
| Huascar Ynoa | Out | Elbow |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | Out | Knee |
| Angel Perdomo | Out | Elbow |
| Ray Kerr | Out | Elbow |
| Spencer Strider | Out | Elbow |
