Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
At 1:10 from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, we have an NL matchup between the Diamondbacks and Reds. The forecast doesn’t look great in Cincinnati, as there figures to be light rain and temperatures in the mid-60s. Slade Cecconi gets the start for the Diamondbacks, and he is facing off against Hunter Greene for the Reds.
Arizona comes in with a record of 17-20, and they are the slight underdog on the money line today at +105. As for the Reds, they are 16-20 and have a money line payout of -125. The over/under line is at 9 runs.
Check out BetCoco for Cincinnati Reds – Arizona Diamondbacks odds
Cincinnati Reds Trends and Key Stats
- The Diamondbacks are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Reds have gone 2-3 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Reds have won 9-1 straight-up, and have a 9-1 record vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Diamondbacks have a straight-up record of 6-4 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Reds series. Arizona went into the matchup as slight underdogs at -107 and squeaked out a 4-3 win. The Diamondbacks had a two-run lead heading into the 9th inning, and the Reds could only muster one run in the bottom half of the inning.
Cincinnati wasted a good outing from Graham Ashcraft, as he gave up just three earned runs in five innings of work. Jordan Montgomery got the win for Arizona, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs.
Eugenio Suarez was the only player in the game to homer, going 2/3 with three RBIs. Gabriel Moreno also had a two-hit game for the Diamondbacks.
Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
Arizona has won three straight games, and they are 17-20 overall as they take on the Reds today. The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West, eight games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they have gone 9-8 in divisional matchups.
The Diamondbacks have won three straight on the road and are 8-10 overall on the road. As the underdog, Arizona is 8-12 this year and 9-8 as the favorite. Arizona’s overall series record is 3-7-1, and they have dropped four straight series.
Arizona is 18-19 on the run line this season, with a 9-10 mark at home and 9-9 on the road. The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 11-9 as underdogs. In their wins, they are outscoring opponents by an average of 5.1 runs per game, while in losses, they are being outscored by an average of 3.7 runs per game.
The Diamondbacks have had a combined run average of 9.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 15-21. In their last two games, the combined run total has been 7 and 8 runs, respectively, both going under the over/under line. The over/under line for today’s game against the Reds is set at 9 runs.
Slade Cecconi will be making his 4th start of the season for the Diamondbacks, and this one will come on the road against the Reds. Cecconi is coming off of a loss in his last outing, where he went 4 1/3 innings and gave up 6 runs on 5 hits. He started the year with a win against the Giants, and in his 2nd start, he struck out 8 batters in 6 innings but took the loss.
Arizona’s offense has been one of the best in the league so far this season, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been tough to strike out this season and are among the league leaders in walks.
Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the team’s most consistent power threats, as they are both tied for the team lead with 7 homers. Walker has gone 7/25 in his last eight games, with two homers and seven RBIs, while Marte is also coming off a stretch in which he went 9/32 with two homers.
Cincinnati is looking to snap a seven-game losing streak today, and they are hoping to avoid losing their third straight game of this series vs. the Diamondbacks. Overall, the Reds are 16-20, putting them five games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they are 1-2 in divisional games.
The Reds have dropped four straight games as the favorite, and they are 10-8 overall when favored this year. As for their time as the underdog, Cincinnati is 6-12. At home, the Reds have lost six straight, and they are 7-8 as the favorite at home. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 4-6-1, and they have lost three straight series.
The Reds have been a tough team to bet on this season, as they have an even run differential and a run line record of 17-19. They have been slightly better on the road, going 9-6 against the run line, compared to 8-13 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 8-10 against the run line, compared to 9-9 as the favorite. Their average run differential in winning games is +4.2, compared to -3.4 in losing games.
When the Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks met on Tuesday, the over/under line was set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 18-17. The over/under line for Reds games has been set at 9 runs in 27.8% of their games this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 1-6-1. The Reds’ last two games have gone under the total.
Hunter Greene will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Orioles on May 3rd, he went 5 2/3 innings and gave up just five hits. Greene finished with a no-decision in that outing. So far, he has made seven starts and has a record of 1-2. Greene’s ERA is 3.12, and he has a WHIP of 1.17. Opposing batters are hitting .211 this season off Greene. Out of his seven starts, he has turned in two quality starts and one complete game. For the year, Greene has 47 strikeouts, and his strikeouts per nine innings figure is 10.49.
Heading into today’s game, the Reds offense is batting just .209, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. Cincinnati is averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. This is a slight improvement over their home mark of 4.2 runs per contest.
Elly De La Cruz comes into the game with a team-high eight home runs, but he has really struggled of late, going just 5/30 in his last eight games. Overall, he is batting .254. Spencer Steer and Tyler Stephenson are also tied for 2nd on the team with four homers apiece. Steer is batting .234 for the season, while Stephenson is at .228. Steer is also on a recent cold streak, going 5/29 in his last eight games.
Our prediction for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Reds game is to take the Reds on the money line at -125. We have the Reds winning this one by a score of 6-5. At home, the Reds are a good pick to win straight up, and there is some solid value on their money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Hunter Greene finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among today’s starters. As for Slade Cecconi, his five projected strikeouts are good for eighth among starters.
Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips
- Take the Reds on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Diamondbacks (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Cincinnati Reds Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Young | Out | Back |
| Ian Gibaut | Out | Forearm |
| Matt McLain | Out | Shoulder |
| Noelvi Marte | Out | Suspension |
| Brandon Williamson | Out | Shoulder |
| Tejay Antone | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Out | Wrist |
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Out | Shoulder |
| Miguel Castro | Out | Shoulder |
| Alek Thomas | Out | Hamstring |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Out | Knee |
| Merrill Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis Frías | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
