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Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Betting Tips 7282024

Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Betting Tips 7/28/2024

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Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners 7/28/24
  • Take the Mariners on the moneyline
  • The White Sox are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
  • Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners Preview

There does appear to be a chance of rain in Chicago on Sunday, where the White Sox and Mariners are set to face off at 2:10 PM ET. This AL matchup is taking place at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, and the Mariners are favored on the money line (-108).

Chicago comes into the game on a 13-game losing streak, and their record of 27-80 has them in 5th place in the AL Central. Seattle is 55-51 overall and they have won two straight. NBCS will be televising this game.

Check out BetCoco for Chicago White Sox – Seattle Mariners odds

Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats

  • The Mariners are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
  • On the other side, the White Sox have gone 0-5 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
  • The Mariners are 3-7 in their last ten games as the favorite and 3-7 as the underdog.
  • The White Sox are 4-6 (favorite) and 0-10 (underdog).

Seattle picked up a 6-3 road win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a three-run 4th inning and added two more runs in the 5th. As for the White Sox, they scored their first run in the 3rd and added their final two runs in the 6th.

Jorge Polanco was the difference for the Mariners, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with three RBIs. Cal Raleigh and Victor Robles each had two RBIs for Seattle’s offense.

Bryan Woo only went four innings for the Mariners but didn’t give up a run and struck out three. He picked up a win in the game, while Andrés Muñoz got the save. Erick Fedde had a rough outing for the White Sox, taking the loss.

Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

Seattle is 55-51 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL West, just one game behind the Astros for the division lead. The Mariners have won two straight games, and these two wins have come after dropping seven of their previous eight games. So far, they have gone 19-13 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Mariners are 31-23 this year, and they are just under .500 at 24-28 on the road. Seattle has dropped three straight series, and their overall series record is 14-17-2 this year. As the favorite, the Mariners are 36-32 and 19-19 as the underdog.

Seattle has been a strong bet against the run line on the road this season, as they are 24-28. Their average run margin on the road is just 0.1, but they have covered the run line in two straight games.

Seattle’s over/under record is 44-57 this season, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7 runs, their record is 9-16-4. The over has hit in two straight games for the Mariners, and they have played 71 games with over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, which accounts for 67% of their games this season.

Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today as he faces the White Sox on the road. So far this season, Miller has made 20 starts and has a record of 7-7 with an ERA of 3.41. One of his 10 quality starts came in his most recent outing, where he went seven innings vs. the Angels, giving up no earned runs. In that outing, he allowed three hits and three walks. Miller’s ERA on the road is 6.0 compared to 2.07 at home. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.99 strikeouts and 2.25 walks.

Cal Raleigh has been a bright spot for the Mariners this season, as he leads the team with 21 homers and 63 RBIs. However, he is batting just .213. Julio Rodriguez and Randy Arozarena have also been big home run threats, with 11 and 15 homers, respectively. Rodriguez is batting .263 and Arozarena is hitting just .212.

Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are averaging just 3.8 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. The Mariners do come into the game with a few hitters on solid streaks, as Jorge Polanco and Victor Robles have both gone deep in three straight games.

With an overall record of 27-80, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 36.5 games for the division lead. Chicago is currently on a 13-game losing streak, and they are just 8-28 against other teams in the AL Central. The White Sox have dropped six straight games at home.

So far, the White Sox have really struggled on the road, going just 10-44. At home, they are 17-36 this season. This year, the White Sox have really struggled as the underdog, going 22-77. Chicago’s record in day games is 10-36 compared to 17-44 in night games.

When the White Sox win, they do so by an average of 3.0 runs per game. In losses, they are losing by an average of 3.7 runs. Their run line record is 47-60, and they have lost their last five games against the run line at home. As an underdog, they are 42-57 against the run line.

The White Sox have been playing in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 8.1 runs per game. Their over/under record is 47-56, and when the line is set at 7 runs, they are 4-5-2. The over has hit in 87.9% of their games this season, and they are currently on a two-game over streak.

Left-hander Garrett Crochet gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Mariners at home. Crochet has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 6-7 with a 3.07 ERA. Coming into the game, his WHIP for the season is .97, and opponents are batting .196 off him this year. Crochet’s last outing came on July 23rd vs. the Rangers, where he took the loss, going four innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had put together three straight outings with no more than two earned runs allowed. Crochet has 11 quality starts this year and is averaging 12.69 strikeouts per nine innings.

Chicago’s offense has been struggling this season, as they are averaging just 3.1 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, OBP, and slugging percentage. The White Sox are hoping that Andrew Vaughn can continue his strong season, as he is hitting .234 with 11 home runs and 45 RBIs.

Paul DeJong comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and has one of the worst batting averages on the team at just .227. However, he does lead the team with 17 homers and is 2nd on the team with 38 RBIs. DeJong has gone 6/25 in his last nine games. Luis Robert Jr. is also struggling of late, going just 4/35 in his last nine games.

With the White Sox at -110 to pick up a win at home, that is the direction we would recommend going for today’s Mariners vs. White Sox matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the White Sox.

If you’re looking for a parlay, you could pair a White Sox win with a player prop. One option would be to look at the starting pitchers, as we have Garrett Crochet finishing with eight strikeouts, which is the second-best among today’s starters.

Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips

  • Take the Mariners on the moneyline
  • On the run line we like White Sox (+1.5)
  • Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Chicago White Sox Injury Report

Player Status Injury
Max Stassi Out Hip
Dominic Leone Out Elbow
Mike Clevinger Out Neck
Yoán Moncada Out Groin
Michael Soroka Out Shoulder
Matt Foster Out Elbow
Jimmy Lambert Out Shoulder
Jesse Scholtens Out Elbow
Jordan Leasure Out Shoulder

Seattle Mariners Injury Report

Player Status Injury
J.P. Crawford Out Finger
Sam Haggerty Out Achilles
Julio Rodríguez Out Ankle
Gregory Santos Probable Knee
Jackson Kowar Out Elbow
Matt Brash Out Elbow
Bryan Woo Questionable Hamstring
Dominic Canzone Out Groin

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