Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees Preview
The forecast from Chicago on Wednesday calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-80s. The Yankees are 71-50 this season, and they are starting Will Warren. The White Sox are 29-92 overall and Davis Martin on the mound.
New York is currently first in the AL East, while the White Sox are fifth in the AL Central. The money line odds have the Yankees at -261 compared to the White Sox at +213. Today’s over/under line is 9.5 runs, and the game will be televised on MLBN.
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Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- 4-1 is the record of Yankees in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the White Sox have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- The Yankees have a 6-4 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 4-6 against the runline.
- Over their last ten games as the underdog, the White Sox have gone 3-7 vs. the runline and 4-6 straight-up.
New York picked up a 4-1 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding two more in the 3rd. As for the White Sox, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -284 on the money line.
Nestor Cortes pitched well for the Yankees in this one, going seven innings and striking out nine without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Jake Cousins got the save. Jonathan Cannon had a rough outing for the White Sox, taking the loss.
Juan Soto was the difference for the Yankees, as he homered three times, scored three runs, and finished with four RBIs. Aaron Judge also had a two-hit game for New York. As for the White Sox, Yoan Moncada went 2/3.
Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction
The Yankees are 71-50 overall this season, putting them in 1st place in the AL East. Currently, they hold a half-game lead over the Orioles for the top spot in the division. New York is looking to keep their series road winning streak alive today, as they have won three straight series on the road.
So far, the Yankees have gone just 22-23 in divisional games this season. They are 53-44 as the favorite, and they have been really good as the underdog, going 18-6. New York is 6-4 over their last 10 games overall, and they are 39-23 on the road compared to 32-27 at home.
The Yankees have been a profitable run line team this season, going 63-58. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 37-25 against the run line. They have an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game overall, but that number jumps to +1.4 on the road. They have been a run line underdog 24 times this season, and they are 20-4 in those games.
The New York Yankees are on the road today against the Chicago White Sox with an over/under line of 9.5 runs. The Yankees have played in 117 games this season, and their combined run average is 9.3 runs per game. They have an over/under record of 67-50 on the season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, the Yankees’ games have gone over the total 9 times this season. Only 4.1% of their games have had an over/under line set higher than 9.5 runs.
Will Warren and the Yankees are on the road to take on the White Sox. Warren has started two games so far this season, and he took the loss in his first start, giving up 6 earned runs over 4 1/3 innings. He did strike out 8 batters, but he also gave up 3 home runs. In his first start, he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up 4 runs.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. New York has the league’s top on-base percentage and OPS, and they are also 2nd in team slugging percentage. The Yankees’ lineup has also been very disciplined at the plate, leading the league in walks.
Yankees’ centerfielder Aaron Judge and right fielder Juan Soto have been two of the league’s top hitters this season, with Judge batting .332 with a league-leading 107 RBIs and 42 homers. Soto is 5th in the league with 33 homers and has driven in 86 runs. Judge is also on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 10/17 in his last five games.
With a record of 29-92, the White Sox are 42.5 games out of the AL Central lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 8-34. Chicago has dropped two straight series and has an overall series record of 6-31-2 this year.
At home, the White Sox are just 18-43 this year, and they are only slightly better on the road at 11-49. Chicago has really struggled in day games this year, going 11-39, and they are 18-53 in night games. As the underdog, the White Sox are 24-89 this year and 5-3 when favored.
When the White Sox win, they win big, with an average run differential of +3.3. But when they lose, they lose by an average of -3.7 runs. That’s why they are just 52-69 against the run line this season. They are 27-34 against the run line at home and 25-35 against the run line on the road. They are 5-3 against the run line as the favorite and 47-66 against the run line as the underdog. Their average run differential this season is -2.0 runs per game.
The Chicago White Sox have an over/under record of 54-62 this season, with their games averaging a combined 8.3 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line is set at 9.5 runs, the over has hit in 3 of their 4 games. Overall, 96.7% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 9.5-run total.
Davis Martin will be making his first start of the season for the White Sox, as he has been used out of the bullpen in his first 3 appearances. Martin has a 0-1 record, but he has not been hit hard, as he has allowed just 3 earned runs in 12 1/3 innings of work. He has 12 strikeouts and 6 walks on the year.
As a team, the White Sox are averaging just 3.1 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and team batting average. Chicago’s team on-base percentage of .278 is the worst in the league, and their slugging percentage of .346 is also near the bottom of the league.
Andrew Vaughn and Andrew Benintendi are the White Sox’s top power hitters, but both are batting below .250 for the season. Benintendi has been hot of late, going 8/26 in his last six games with four homers. Gavin Sheets has also been swinging a hot bat, going 11/23 in his last six games.
Our predicted final score for this one is 6-4 in favor of the Yankees. However, with the Yankees being such heavy favorites on the money line, we recommend taking the over at 9.5 runs, as there is a lot of value there.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, we have Will Warren finishing with five strikeouts compared to Davis Martin with six. Martin is projected to finish with a lower ERA than Warren, but with the Yankees having the better offense, we still like them to pick up the win.
Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- The Yankees should also cover at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Mike Clevinger | Out | Neck |
| Yoán Moncada | Out | Groin |
| Michael Soroka | Out | Shoulder |
| Matt Foster | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Jordan Leasure | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Thorpe | Out | Forearm |
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Trent Grisham | Questionable | Hand |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | Out | Elbow |
| Jose Trevino | Out | Quadricep |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
