Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets Prediction & Betting Tips 8/31/2024

Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets Preview

Jose Quintana will start for the Mets on Saturday, and he will be facing off against Davis Martin for the White Sox. The Mets are favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 9 runs. WPIX will be televising this interleague matchup.

The forecast for Saturday’s game between the Mets and White Sox calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-80s. The game is at 7:10 PM ET from Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago. The Mets are 71-64, and they have won two straight, while the White Sox are 31-105 and have lost eight in a row.

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Chicago White Sox vs. New York Mets Trends and Key Stats

• 3-2 is the record of Mets in their last five road games. They have also gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the White Sox have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
• Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Mets are 7-3 straight-up and 5-5 vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the White Sox have gone 3-7 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 4-6 over their last ten games.

New York cruised to a 5-1 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a big 3rd inning, scoring three of their five runs. As for the White Sox, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -220 on the money line.

Tylor Megill got the win for the Mets, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. Jonathan Cannon struggled on the mound for the White Sox, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. He did finish the game with three strikeouts.

J.D. Martinez and Jesse Winker each had two hits and two RBIs for the Mets’ offense. Andrew Benintendi was the only White Sox hitter to have more than one hit.

Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets Prediction

The Mets are 71-64 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by eight games in the division. New York has gone 22-17 in divisional play this season. They come into today’s game having won two straight games and are 6-4 across their last 10.

At home, the Mets are 35-33 this season and have gone 36-31 on the road. New York’s series record is 22-16-8 this year. As the favorite, the Mets are 44-35 and 27-29 as the underdog. New York has won two straight games as the road favorite.

On the road, the Mets have been a solid bet against the run line, going 37-30. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have a run differential of +0.4 runs per game away from home. They have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 33-23, compared to 32-47 as a favorite. Their average run differential in wins is +3.7 runs per game, while it is -3.5 runs per game in losses.

When the Mets are on the road, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 68-63. The Mets have played in 16 games with an over/under line of 9 runs, and their record in those games is 5-9-4. Overall, 74.8% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs, and their current streak of games going under the line is at 2.

Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the White Sox on the road. So far this season, he has made 26 starts and has a record of 6-9 with an ERA of 4.36. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.30. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 6 1/3 innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. The left-hander has a BB/9 figure of 3.46 compared to 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings.

So far this season, the Mets have been a good offensive team, averaging 4.8 runs per game (11th) and are 6th in the league in home runs. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting .249, which is 9th in the league, and have the 6th best isolated power figure in the league.

Francisco Lindor has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/35 in his last eight games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .269 with 28 homers and 79 RBIs. Pete Alonso has also been a big power threat, as his 29 homers is 7th in the league, and he is 2nd on the team with 74 RBIs.

With a record of 31-105, the White Sox are in 5th place in the AL Central, 46.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. They have really struggled against other teams in the AL Central, going 8-38 this year. Chicago is currently on an eight-game losing streak, and they lost the first game of this series vs. the Mets.

At home, the White Sox are just 18-52 this year, and they are 13-53 on the road. This season, the White Sox have gone 5-3 as the favorite but are only 26-102 as the underdog. So far, they have really struggled in day games, going 11-43, and they are 20-62 in night games. Chicago’s overall series record is 6-36-2, and they have dropped 16 straight series.

Chicago has been a poor run line bet overall this season, going 56-80, and that trend has continued at home, where they are 29-41 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 51-77 against the run line, and their average run margin in losses is -3.7.

The White Sox have played in 77.2% of games this season with an over/under line set at less than 9 runs, including their last four games. Their combined run average this season is 8.2, and they have an over/under record of 59-70 on the year. The over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 11-14-2, and they have had just 2.9% of their games with a line set at 9 runs.

Through five starts, Davis Martin has yet to pick up a win, as he is 0-2 with an ERA of 2.96. Martin has made one quality start this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in five innings of work. In that outing vs. the Tigers, he allowed seven hits, one walk, and one homer. Martin has a WHIP of 1.43 and is averaging 8.56 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .243 off Martin this year. The right-hander has made three starts at home and three on the road.

So far this season, the White Sox offense has been the worst in the league, averaging just 3.1 runs per game. Not only are they the worst home run hitting team in the league, but they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS. The team’s current collective batting average is .220.

Andrew Vaughn and Andrew Benintendi are tied for the team lead with 15 home runs apiece, but Vaughn is batting .237 for the season, while Benintendi is hitting just .217. Benintendi has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/16 in his last five games with two homers. The White Sox will also be looking for Luis Robert Jr. to get going, as he is batting just .218 this season.

With the White Sox sitting at +173 on the money line, that is the direction we recommend going for today’s Mets vs. White Sox matchup. We have the White Sox winning this one by a final score of 6-5.

If you’re looking for a potential parlay, you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 9 runs. However, we see this one being a close game and would stick with the White Sox on the money line.

Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets Betting Tips

• Take the Mets on the moneyline
• On the run line we like White Sox (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Chicago White Sox Injury Report

New York Mets Injury Report