Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Preview
At 2:10 PM from Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, we have an American League matchup between the Twins and White Sox. Minnesota comes in with a record of 16-13 and will be sending Bailey Ober to the mound vs. Chris Flexen for the White Sox. Chicago is just 6-24 this season.
The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Twins are the favorite on the money line at -203. Looking at the White Sox, they are at +168. You can catch this one on TV on BSN.
Check out BetCoco for Chicago White Sox – Minnesota Twins odds
Chicago White Sox Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Twins are 5-0. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
- The White Sox, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 0-5 (SU) and 1-4 record.
- The Twins have a straight-up record of 9-1 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 6-4.
- When playing as the underdog, the White Sox have gone 5-5 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 5-5 over their last ten games.
It was a close game in the most recent game of this Twins vs White Sox series. Minnesota went into the matchup as -183 favorites and squeaked out a 6-5 win. Chicago had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 8th and another in the 9th, but Jhoan Duran closed things out for the Twins.
Simeon Woods Richardson got the start for Minnesota, going just 3 2/3 innings while giving up one run and striking out two. Caleb Thielbar got the win out of the bullpen. Michael Soroka only went 4 1/3 innings for the White Sox, giving up two earned runs on three hits.
Trevor Larnach had a two-hit game for the Twins, scoring a run and driving in a run. Danny Mendick did the same for Chicago, hitting a home run and driving in two runs.
Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
Minnesota has won nine straight games, and this winning streak has them at 16-13 overall, which is good for 4th place in the AL Central. Currently, they trail the Guardians by three games for the AL Central lead. The Twins have gone 11-7 against other teams in the AL Central this year.
The Twins have really been rolling at home, having won eight straight as the favorite. Overall, they are 14-5 when favored this year compared to 2-8 as the underdog. As for their time on the road, the Twins are 9-1 when favored. Looking at their overall series record, the Twins are 3-4-2 and have won two straight series.
The Twins have been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, as they have a 14-15 record. They have been better on the run line on the road, going 10-7 compared to 4-8 at home. They have been the favorite in 19 games this season, going 10-9 on the run line, while they are 4-6 as the underdog. In their wins, they have an average run margin of 3.6, while in their losses, they have an average run margin of -3.6.
The Minnesota Twins have had a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season, but their games have gone over the over/under line of 8.5 runs only 2 out of 9 times when the line was set at 8.5 runs. Overall, the Twins’ over/under record is 14-14, and the average over/under line for their games has been 8 runs. Their game against the Chicago White Sox today has an over/under line of 8.5 runs.
Minnesota’s Bailey Ober is on the mound for the Twins in their road matchup with the White Sox. Ober has been very solid in his first two starts, picking up wins in both. He went 6 innings in each of those starts, and in his last outing, he struck out 8 batters over 7 1/3 innings of work.
For the season, the Twins are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .235, which is 15th in the league, and are 9th in home runs. Minnesota’s team isolated power (ISO) of .165 is the 3rd best mark in the league.
Edouard Julien comes into the game with a team-high seven home runs but is batting just .223 for the season. Ryan Jeffers has been a bright spot in terms of batting average, hitting .295 with five homers. Over his last seven games, Carlos Santana is hitting .286 with four home runs, and Willi Castro has gone 13/30 over the same stretch.
With a record of 6-24, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 13.5 games for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 2-17 in divisional matchups. Chicago has dropped two straight games and lost the final six games of their series vs. the Twins.
Chicago has yet to win a series this year, coming in with an overall series record of 1-7-1. As the underdog, the White Sox are 0-0 this year, and they are 5-11 as the home underdog. They have also struggled on the road, going 1-13 compared to 5-11 at home. So far, they have yet to win a game as the underdog.
Chicago has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 14-16 overall. They have been especially good at home, where they are 10-6 against the run line. The White Sox have been an underdog in every game this season, and they have covered the run line in 14 of those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.0, compared to -3.8 in losses.
The Chicago White Sox have played 29 games this season, and their combined run average is 8.2 runs per game. Their over/under record is 14-15, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the White Sox have gone 4-5 on the over/under. So far this season, 7 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which is 23.3% of their games.
Right-hander Chris Flexen is getting the start for the White Sox today vs. the Twins and has made four starts this year. Flexen’s record for the season is 1-3, and he most recently pitched on April 26th, where he picked up the win. In that outing, he went five innings, didn’t give up a run, and only allowed two hits. Flexen’s ERA for the season is 5.11, along with a WHIP of 1.34. This year, he has one quality start and is averaging 4.74 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last 2 outings, Flexen has come out of the bullpen and didn’t give up a run in either appearance.
Heading into today’s game, the White Sox offense is averaging just 2.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have also struggled in terms of power, as their 20 home runs are the worst in the league. As a team, they are batting just .212 and have the league’s worst on-base percentage and OPS. One of the few bright spots for the team has been Gavin Sheets, who is batting .279 with a team-high three homers.
Andrew Benintendi and Eloy Jimenez come into the game with three homers apiece, but Benintendi has just a .208 batting average for the season. However, he has been hot of late, going 10/30 in his last eight games with three homers and 11 RBIs. Jimenez is also swinging the bat well, batting .297 over his last nine games.
There are a few ways you could look to bet on this Twins vs. White Sox matchup, but we are recommending that you take the White Sox on the money line at +168. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the White Sox, and at +168, there is some good value in picking them to win outright.
If you are looking to bet the over/under, we would recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs. However, we see this one being a close game and would stick with the White Sox on the money line.
Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips
- We like the White Sox on the moneyline (+168)
- On the run line we like White Sox (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Yoán Moncada | Out | Groin |
| Luis Robert Jr. | Out | Hip |
| Matt Foster | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Shane Drohan | Out | Shoulder |
Minnesota Twins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | Out | Elbow |
| Zack Weiss | Out | Shoulder |
| Royce Lewis | Out | Quadricep |
| Justin Topa | Out | Knee |
| Josh Winder | Out | Shoulder |
| Daniel Duarte | Out | Shoulder |
