Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Preview
At 7:40 PM ET, the Twins and White Sox will face off in an American League matchup. Monday night’s game is being played at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago and features a Twins club that is 14-13 compared to the White Sox at 6-22. Joe Ryan is starting for the Twins, and he is facing off against Garrett Crochet for Chicago.
Minnesota comes into this one as the favorite, with money line odds of -166, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by FS1.
Check out BetCoco for Chicago White Sox – Minnesota Twins odds
Chicago White Sox Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Twins have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- On the opposing side, the White Sox have a 0-5 (SU) record, along with a 1-4 record in their last five home contests.
- The Twins have a 8-2 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 6-4 against the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the White Sox have a 5-5 record against the runline and a 5-5 straight-up record in their last ten games.
Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
Heading into their last game vs. the Angels, the Twins closed out the series with an impressive 11-5 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -112 on the money line. It was a four-run 4th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Angels could only score one run in the 4th. Minnesota’s offense added another four runs in the 7th to put things out of reach. The Twins went on to win 11-5.
Pablo Lopez put together a good start for the Twins, going five innings and giving up four earned runs, and picking up the win. Minnesota’s offense was carried by Jose Miranda, who went 3/5 with two doubles, a run scored, and two RBIs.
Minnesota is on a seven-game winning streak heading into today’s road matchup vs. the White Sox. The Twins have an overall record of 14-13, and they are 4th in the AL Central, 4.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they are 9-7 in divisional matchups.
As the road team today, the Twins are 7-1 this season as the favorite. They are also 12-5 when favored overall. As for how they have fared as the underdog, Minnesota is just 2-8. The Twins have an overall series record of 3-4-2, and they have won two straight series.
Minnesota has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 10-5, and they have covered the run line in three straight road games. They have an average run margin of +0.5 on the road, compared to +0.1 at home. They have been favored in 17 games this season, going 10-7 against the run line.
The Twins have seen their last two games go over the total, and they have gone over in three of their last four games. On the season, the Twins have gone over the total in 13 of their 26 games, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and the Twins have gone over the total in two of their three games when the line has been set at 7.5 runs.
Joe Ryan is taking the mound for the Twins today on the road against the White Sox. In his first start of the season, Ryan picked up a win against the White Sox, going 6 innings and striking out 8. He has been able to go 6 innings in each of his 3 starts this season but has just 1 win to show for it.
Carlos Santana and Willi Castro have been swinging the bat well for the Twins of late, with Santana hitting .292 and three homers over his last six games, and Castro batting .407 in that stretch. Castro also has one home run in his last six games. Ryan Jeffers is also on a seven-game hitting streak, and his 17 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 11th in the league.
Overall, the Twins offense is averaging 4.6 runs per game and are 6th in the league in home runs. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 14th in the league, and have the 9th best slugging percentage in the league.
The White Sox’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rays, closing out their series with a 4-2 win. After allowing one run to the Rays in the top of the 4th, the White Sox responded with two runs of their own. Chicago went on to add another two runs in the 8th inning, which was the difference in the game. Heading into the game, the White Sox were at +123 on the money line.
Erick Fedde put together a good start for the White Sox, going 8 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out nine Rays batters. Gavin Sheets was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with two runs scored. The White Sox also had three other players with two hits.
Chicago is hosting the Twins today with an overall record of 6-22, which puts them 5th in the AL Central. So far, they are just 2-15 in divisional games and trail the Guardians by 13 games for the division lead. The White Sox have won three straight games, all coming in their most recent series vs. the Rays.
At home, the White Sox are 5-9 compared to 1-13 on the road. This season, they have yet to win a game when favored. As for their record as the underdog, it is also 6-22. So far, they have struggled in day games, going 2-11. At night, their record is 4-11. Chicago’s overall series record is 1-7-1 this year.
Chicago is 12-16 against the run line this season, including an 8-6 mark at home. They have covered the run line in four straight home games and have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog. The White Sox have been outscored by an average of 2.8 runs per game this season, but that number drops to 2.0 runs per game in their wins.
With an average combined run total of 8.2 runs per game, the Chicago White Sox have seen their games go over the 7.5-run line in 3 of their 7 games. Overall, the White Sox have played to a 13-14 over/under record this season, and 67.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 7.5-run total. In their last 10 games, the White Sox have had 6 games go over the total.
Left-hander Garrett Crochet gets the start for the White Sox today vs. the Twins. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-4 with a 6.37 ERA. Crochet’s WHIP for the season is 1.18, and opponents are batting .235 off him this year. Crochet has turned in two quality starts this year, and his ERA on the road is 11.95 compared to 4.14 at home. In his most recent outing, Crochet gave up five earned runs in four innings of work. He has taken the loss in each of his last three outings.
Chicago’s offense has been really struggling this season, as they are dead last in the league in both home runs and OPS. Overall, they are averaging just 2.8 runs per game, and their team batting average of .207 is also near the bottom of the league. One bright spot for the White Sox has been the play of Eloy Jiménez, who is hitting .259 for the season and has three homers in his last eight games, while going 11/32 during that stretch.
Jiménez is currently tied with Paul DeJong and Gavin Sheets for the team lead in home runs. Sheets is batting .269 for the season and has gone deep in three straight games. Andrew Benintendi is also on a three-game hitting streak but is batting just .204 for the season.
Our predictions for this Twins vs. White Sox matchup is to take the White Sox on the money line, with the payout currently at +139. We actually have the White Sox winning this game 6-5, and with the payout, we see this as a great value pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Garrett Crochet finishing with fewer strikeouts than Joe Ryan. However, we do have Crochet finishing with a higher ERA than Ryan. Offensively, we have the White Sox finishing with 10 hits compared to the Twins with nine.
Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips
- We like the White Sox on the moneyline (+139)
- The White Sox are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Yoán Moncada | Out | Groin |
| Luis Robert Jr. | Out | Hip |
| Matt Foster | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Shane Drohan | Out | Shoulder |
Minnesota Twins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | Out | Elbow |
| Carlos Correa | Out | Oblique |
| Zack Weiss | Out | Shoulder |
| Jhoan Duran | Out | Oblique |
| Royce Lewis | Out | Quadricep |
| Justin Topa | Out | Knee |
| Josh Winder | Out | Shoulder |
| Daniel Duarte | Out | Shoulder |
