Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction & Betting Tips 6/20/2024

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros Preview

The Astros are the heavy favorite in today’s matchup vs. the White Sox, as Houston’s money line odds are sitting at -177 compared to the White Sox at +148. This AL matchup is set for 2:10 PM ET from Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago. The forecast calls for temperatures in the low 80s with partly cloudy skies.

Thursday’s starting pitching matchup features Spencer Arrighetti for the Astros and Chris Flexen for the White Sox. Houston is currently 2nd in the AL West, while the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central. The over/under line is at 9 runs.

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Chicago White Sox Trends and Key Stats

• The Astros are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• In the White Sox’s five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
• The Astros have a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 5-5.
• When playing as the underdog, the White Sox have gone 5-5 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 6-4 over their last ten games.

Houston picked up a 4-1 road win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a big 2nd inning, scoring three of their four runs. As for the White Sox, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -116 on the money line.

Both teams finished with 12 hits in the game, but the Astros were much more efficient with their scoring opportunities. Houston had four doubles and scored two of their four runs on White Sox errors. On the other side, the White Sox had just one extra-base hit and left nine runners on base.

Hunter Brown pitched well for the Astros in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued five walks. As for the White Sox, Garrett Crochet got the start and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work.

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction

Houston is 34-40 overall and trails the Mariners by nine games in the AL West. The Astros are 15-12 against other teams in the division. So far, they are 19-19 at home and a similar 15-21 on the road.

As the favorite, the Astros have gone 27-32 this year and 7-8 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 11-11-1, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.

When the Astros are on the road, they have a run line record of 15-21, compared to 17-21 at home. Their average run margin in all games is +0.1, but they have a run line record of 32-42. They have been favored in 59 games, going 24-35 on the run line. In games they have won, their average run margin is +4.0, and in games they have lost, it is -3.3.

The Astros are on the road today against the White Sox, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average in Astros games this season is 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 26-45. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 9-6-2. The over/under line has been set at 9 runs in 18.9% of their games this season. Their under streak is at 3 games.

Houston is sending Spencer Arrighetti to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 3-6 and an ERA of 6.37. So far, he has made 12 starts and 12 appearances. Arrighetti’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.71. In his last outing, he got the start and took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in just 1 1/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, he has finished with a no-decision in two straight starts. The right-hander has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings.

Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the league’s top-hitting team, averaging 4.4 runs per game. They are also the league’s top home run hitting team, and have the league’s best team batting average. As a team, they are also the league’s toughest team to strike out. Currently, they are 10th in the league in home runs and have the 6th best OPS in the league.

Jose Altuve has been hot of late, going 13/36 in his last nine games with two homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .297 with 11 homers. Kyle Tucker leads the team with 19 homers and is batting .266 overall. He is also on a three-game hitting streak.

With a record of 20-55, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 27 games for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 5-19. Chicago will be at home today, where they are 13-24 and just 7-31 on the road.

Chicago has dropped two straight series and are 4-17-2 in series this year. As the underdog, the White Sox are 17-55 compared to 3-0 as the favorite. They are also just 7-24 in day games this year and 13-31 in night games.

When it comes to betting the run line, the White Sox have been a better play on the road this season, going 18-19 compared to 15-23 at home. As the underdog, they’ve been a solid play, going 30-42 on the run line. In games they’ve won, they’ve done so by an average of 2.8 runs, while in losses, they’ve been outscored by an average of 3.9 runs.

Chicago White Sox games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 35-37. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 3-8-1. The over/under line for today’s game against the Houston Astros is set at 9 runs, and the White Sox have gone under in their last two games.

Chris Flexen gets the start for the White Sox today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Diamondbacks. In that start, he took the loss, going just 3 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Flexen is 2-6 with a 5.35 ERA. Opponents are batting .257 off the right-hander this season. Flexen has made 13 starts, and his ERA at home is 6.61 compared to 5.42 on the road. So far, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 6.82 strikeouts per nine innings.

Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are dead last in team batting average and on-base percentage. Their 3.1 runs per game is also the worst in the league. The White Sox have also struggled in terms of power, as they are just 16th in home runs and have the league’s worst slugging percentage.

Paul DeJong and Andrew Vaughn have been the team’s top power threats this season, with DeJong’s 14 homers leading the team and Vaughn’s nine homers coming in as the 2nd most on the team. DeJong is 2nd on the team with 29 RBIs, while Vaughn’s 33 RBIs are the best on the team. Vaughn has been hot of late, going 14/43 in his last 10 games, with three homers and 11 RBIs.

There are a few ways you could look to bet on this Astros vs. White Sox matchup, but we are going to stick with the over/under, with the line being set at 9 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Astros, giving us plenty of wiggle room with the line sitting at 9 runs.

Offensively, the Astros are our top team in terms of projected hits, and they also have the most home runs in our projections. As for the White Sox, they are predicted to finish with the ninth most strikeouts, and their starting pitcher, Chris Flexen, is also projected to finish with the third fewest strikeouts among today’s starters.

Another reason we like the over in this one is that the payout for an Astros win is sitting at -177, and while we do have them winning, we don’t think the payout is worth it.

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros Betting Tips

• Take the Astros on the moneyline
• The Astros should also cover at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

Chicago White Sox Injury Report

Houston Astros Injury Report