Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction & Betting Tips 6/19/2024

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros Preview

The forecast for Wednesday’s Astros vs. White Sox matchup calls for temperatures in the low 90s and partly cloudy skies in Chicago. The game is being played at 8:10 PM ET from Guaranteed Rate Field. Houston is 2nd in the AL West, while the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central.

The money line odds have the Astros at -120 compared to the White Sox at +101, and the over/under line is currently 7.5 runs. Hunter Brown is starting for the Astros, while the White Sox are going with Garrett Crochet.

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Chicago White Sox Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Astros have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
• On the opposing side, the White Sox have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Astros have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a runline record of 5-5.
• When playing as the underdog, the White Sox have a 5-5 record against the runline and a 6-4 straight-up record in their last ten games.

Thanks to a dominant outing from Jonathan Cannon, the White Sox picked up a 2-0 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. Chicago was the +149 underdogs on the road.

Cannon went eight and two-thirds innings for the White Sox, giving up just two hits and striking out four. He didn’t give up a run in the game and picked up a win. John Brebbia closed things out for Chicago.

Houston wasted a good outing from Framber Valdez, as he gave up just two earned runs in six innings of work. Valdez finished the game with five strikeouts but took the loss.

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction

Houston is 33-40 overall and trails the Mariners by 10 games in the AL West. So far, they have gone 15-12 against other teams in the division. The Astros are on the road today, and they are 14-21 on the road this year.

As the favorite, the Astros have gone just 26-32 this year. When they are the underdog, they are 7-8. Looking at their overall series record, the Astros are 11-11-1 and are 5-5 over their last 10 games overall.

When betting the run line, the Astros have been a losing proposition this season, going 31-42 overall. They have been slightly better at home, going 17-21, compared to 14-21 on the road. Their average run margin is exactly 0.0, but they have been outscored by 0.7 runs per game on the road.

Despite the fact that the Houston Astros have a combined run average of 8.7, their over/under record for the season is just 26-44. Their games have averaged a total of 9 runs per game, but when the line is set at 7.5, they are just 5-7. The under has hit in their last two games, but overall, 80.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Hunter Brown gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the White Sox on the road. So far this season, he has made 13 starts and six of them have been quality starts. Brown’s ERA for the season is 5.00, along with a record of 3-5. In his last outing, he didn’t give up a run, going seven innings for the win. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in four straight outings. Brown has been much better at home, with an ERA of 4.0 compared to 24.42 on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the top-hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .258. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the fewest strikeouts per game in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.4 runs per contest, which is 15th in the league. At home, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th best in the league.

Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez have been swinging the bat well of late. Altuve has gone 14/41 in his last 10 games, while Alvarez is 11/33 in his last nine games. For the season, Altuve is batting .295 with 11 homers, and Alvarez is hitting .290 with 14 homers. Kyle Tucker has been the team’s best power hitter this season, as his 19 homers are the best on the team and 4th in the league.

With a record of 20-54, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 26 games for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 5-19 this year. Chicago has lost two straight series and has an overall series record of 4-17-2 this year.

Chicago has really struggled on the road, putting up a mark of just 7-31. At home, they are 13-23 this year. So far, they have been the underdog in most of their games, and they are 17-54 as the underdog this year. As for how they have fared in day games, the White Sox are 7-23 and 13-31 in night games.

Chicago has been a solid run line bet at home this season, going 18-18. The White Sox have an average run margin of -1.5 at home, compared to -2.6 on the road. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 30-41 on the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.8, while it’s -3.9 in losses.

When the Chicago White Sox play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs for their game against the Houston Astros. The White Sox have a combined run average of 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 35-36. The average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 8-13. In total, 60.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, with 45 games having higher lines and only 8 games having lower lines.

Left-hander Garrett Crochet gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Astros at home. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 6-5 with a 3.16 ERA. Crochet’s WHIP for the season is currently 0.90. In his 15 starts, he has turned in nine quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Mariners on June 13th, Crochet went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and striking out 13. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Per nine innings, Crochet is averaging 12.63 strikeouts.

Chicago’s offense has been struggling this season, as they are last in the league in batting average and on-base percentage. As a team, they are averaging just 3.1 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. Not only are the White Sox near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, but they are also one of the most strikeout-prone teams in the league.

Andrew Vaughn has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/30 in his last seven games, with three homers and 11 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .235 with a team-high 33 RBIs. Paul DeJong is also near the top of the White Sox’s home run leaderboard, with 14 homers, and has driven in 29 runs so far this season.

With the White Sox at +101 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the White Sox, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Hunter Brown is projected to finish with six strikeouts, compared to Garrett Crochet at five. However, we have Crochet finishing with fewer earned runs and hits allowed than Brown. In terms of team projections, the Astros are predicted to finish with more home runs, but the White Sox are projected to finish with more hits.

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros Betting Tips

• We like the White Sox on the moneyline (+101)
• The White Sox are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Chicago White Sox Injury Report

Houston Astros Injury Report