Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Preview
Carlos Carrasco and the Cleveland Guardians will head to Chicago on Friday to take on the White Sox and Garrett Crochet. This matchup is set for 7:40 PM ET from Guaranteed Rate Field. Cleveland comes in with a record of 24-14 and is currently favored on the money line at -114. As for the White Sox, they are 10-28 overall.
The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and you can catch this one on NBCS. Looking at the Guardians, they are led by Jose Ramirez, who is hitting .275 with 9 home runs and 24 RBI.
Check out BetCoco for Chicago White Sox – Cleveland Guardians odds
Chicago White Sox Trends and Key Stats
- The Guardians are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
- The White Sox, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 record.
- In their previous ten games, the Guardians have recorded a 6-4 record as the favorite, while they have a 5-5 record as the underdog.
- The White Sox have a 5-5 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 4-6.
Chicago picked up a 3-2 win over the Indians in the most recent game of this series. The White Sox had a two-run lead heading into the 8th inning, and the Indians could only muster two runs in the bottom of the 8th and didn’t score another run after that. Heading into the game, the White Sox were at +130 on the money line.
Erick Fedde got the win for the White Sox, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed two hits. Michael Kopech came out of the bullpen for the save. Ben Lively had a rough outing for the Indians, taking the loss after going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
At the plate, Tommy Pham, Bryan Ramos, and Eloy Jimenez each had two hits and an RBI for the White Sox. Josh Naylor was the only Indians hitter to have more than one hit, going 2/4 with a home run.
Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
Cleveland heads into today’s road matchup vs. the White Sox with an overall record of 24-14, which has them leading the AL Central by 1.5 games over the Twins. So far, they have gone 6-3 in divisional games and have dropped the first game of this series vs. the White Sox.
This season, the Guardians have been really good at home, going 12-6, and they have the same record on the road. They have been really good in day games this year, going 11-4 heading into today’s afternoon matchup. As the favorite, the Guardians are 15-8 this year and 9-6 when listed as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Guardians are 9-3 and have won two straight series.
The Guardians have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 23-15 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 13-7 against the run line. They have covered the run line in 12 of 15 games as the underdog, but have failed to cover in their last two games as the road underdog.
When the Cleveland Guardians play on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and their games have gone over that line 80% of the time. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their overall over/under record is 20-16. So far this season, 63.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Right-hander Carlos Carrasco gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the White Sox on the road. He has made seven starts this season and has a record of 2-2 with a 5.67 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .272 off Carrasco this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.62. Carrasco’s last outing came on May 5th, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. This year, he has issued 4.59 walks per nine innings compared to 7.02 strikeouts.
Josh Naylor has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Guardians, going 7/19 in his last six games with three homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .277 with a team-high 10 homers. Jose Ramirez has also been swinging a good bat of late, but his season-long batting average is just .238. However, he does have eight home runs, which is 2nd on the team and 5th in the league.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.8 runs per game and have been a good home run-hitting team this season. So far, they are averaging 5 runs per game on the road and 4.7 at home. Overall, they are 8th in home runs and have the league’s 12th best batting average.
With an overall record of 10-28, the White Sox are 14 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 3-18. Chicago has won two straight games, and their win streak has come as the underdog in each game.
At home, the White Sox are 6-12 compared to 4-16 on the road. This season, they have yet to play a game as the favorite. Chicago is 2-9-1 in series this year, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games overall.
When the White Sox win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.1 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.9 runs per game. They are 18-20 against the run line as the underdog this season, and they have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog.
Chicago White Sox games have gone under the total in three straight games, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is just 3-9 on the season. The White Sox and their opponents have combined to average 8.1 runs per game this year, and their over/under record for the season is 17-20. The over/under line for today’s game against the Cleveland Guardians is set at 7.5 runs.
Coming into the game, Garrett Crochet has a record of 2-4 and an ERA of 5.31. This year, he has made eight starts and three of them have been quality starts. Crochet’s WHIP for the season is 1.01, and opponents are batting .206 off the left-hander. In his most recent outing, Crochet picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last four starts, he has alternated between a win and a loss. Crochet has struggled on the road, with an ERA of 9.34 compared to 4.01 at home.
Paul DeJong has been swinging a hot bat for the White Sox of late, going 10/35 in his last 10 games with two homers and five RBIs. Tommy Pham is also on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 10/34 in his last nine games. During this stretch, Pham has two homers and seven RBIs. DeJong and Pham’s recent success has been much needed for the White Sox, as they are the league’s worst-scoring offense, averaging just 2.9 runs per game.
Chicago’s team batting average of .212 is 23rd in the league, and they also have the worst on-base percentage and OPS in the league. As a team, the White Sox are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage.
Our prediction for today’s Guardians vs. White Sox game is to take the White Sox on the money line, with the payout sitting at -106. We have the White Sox winning this one by a score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Carlos Carrasco finishing with six strikeouts compared to Garrett Crochet with eight. However, we have Crochet going just five innings, and Carrasco lasting six.
Offensively, our projections have the White Sox finishing with nine hits compared to the Guardians with nine. However, the White Sox have a higher projected home run total, and we have them finishing with the better team strikeout numbers.
Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Tips
- Take the White Sox on the moneyline
- On the run line we like White Sox (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Dominic Leone | Out | Back |
| Yoán Moncada | Out | Groin |
| Luis Robert Jr. | Out | Hip |
| Danny Mendick | Out | Back |
| Matt Foster | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Shane Drohan | Out | Shoulder |
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
| James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
| Eli Morgan | Out | Shoulder |
| Steven Kwan | Out | Hamstring |
| Angel Martínez | Out | Hand |
| Gavin Williams | Out | Elbow |
