Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox Preview
Brayan Bello is starting for the Red Sox on Saturday, and he is facing off against Nick Nastrini and the White Sox. This one is getting started at 4:10 PM ET from Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, IL. NESN is carrying this game on TV.
The Red Sox are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -203 compared to the White Sox at +172. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East, while the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central.
Check out BetCoco for Chicago White Sox – Boston Red Sox odds
Chicago White Sox Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Red Sox have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- In the White Sox’s five most recent home games, their record stands at 0-5 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
- Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Red Sox are 4-6 straight-up and 3-7 vs. the runline.
- The White Sox have a 5-5 record vs. the runline and a 5-5 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.
Chicago cruised to a 7-2 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The White Sox had a huge 4th inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the White Sox were favored at -113 on the money line.
Garrett Crochet started for the White Sox and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Cooper Criswell got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss, going just 4 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
Andrew Vaughn and Gavin Sheets each homered for the White Sox, while Luis Robert Jr. scored twice and drove in a run while going 1/4. Paul DeJong also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs.
Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Boston is at an even 32-32 overall as they are on the road for today’s game vs. the White Sox. Looking at the AL East, they are 12.5 games behind the Yankees and are 3rd in the division. So far, they have gone just 5-8 in divisional games.
The Red Sox have been good on the road this year, putting together an 18-14 record compared to going 14-18 at home. As the road favorite, Boston has gone 7-1 this season, and they are 18-13 overall as the favorite. Boston has won two straight games as the favorite, and their overall series record is 8-9-3 this year.
When the Red Sox are on the road, they have a run line record of 19-13, and their average scoring margin is +1.5 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 18-15 against the run line as an underdog.
The Red Sox are on the road to face the White Sox in a game with an over/under line of 9 runs. The combined run average for Boston’s games this season is 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 27-32. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, but when the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 3-1-2. In the Red Sox’s games this season, the over has hit in two straight games.
Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the White Sox on the road. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 6-2 with an ERA of 4.36. Bello’s WHIP for the season is 1.25, and opponents are batting .232 this season. In his 10 starts, Bello has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 8.22 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Over his last 10 games, Rafael Devers has gone 13/38 with three homers and eight RBIs. Devers is currently 8th in the league with 13 homers and is batting .286 for the season. Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting just .216 for the season, but his seven homers are 3rd most in the league, and his 37 RBIs are 15th best in the MLB. He is also on a five-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Red Sox are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are one of the league’s top home run-hitting clubs. They are also one of the better slugging teams in the league. Currently, they are 6th in team batting average and have the 3rd best BABIP in the league. So far, they have been a good road team, averaging 5 runs per contest.
With a record of 16-48, the White Sox are 25 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 5-19. Chicago has dropped nine of their last ten games and are just 6-22 in day games this year.
Chicago has dropped six straight series and are 4-15-1 in series overall. As the underdog, the White Sox are 13-48 this year, and they have lost 14 straight as the underdog overall. However, they are a perfect 3-0 as the favorite this year.
When the White Sox win, they do so by an average of 2.6 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.9 runs per game. They are 27-37 against the run line this season, including 16-17 at home. As the underdog, they are 24-37 against the run line, but as the favorite, they are 3-0.
Chicago White Sox games have gone over the total in five straight games, but their over/under record for the season is just 31-30. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, but today’s line is set at 9 runs. The White Sox have played just 4.7% of their games this season with an over/under line of 9 runs or higher, and their games have averaged a combined 8.3 runs per game.
Nick Nastrini and the White Sox are set to face the Red Sox at home today. Nastrini has taken the loss in each of his first 3 starts, and he’s coming off a 4-inning outing against the Brewers in which he gave up 4 runs on 3 hits and 3 walks.
Paul DeJong has been swinging the bat well of late for the White Sox, going 7/29 in his last eight games with three homers and six RBIs. DeJong is currently tied for the team lead in RBIs and is also 1st on the team with 10 homers. DeJong’s 10 homers are 11th in the league. As a team, the White Sox are last in the league in batting average and on-base percentage.
Chicago’s offense is also last in the league in OPS and near the bottom of the league in slugging percentage and isolated power. Overall, they are averaging just 3 runs per game and have been even worse on the road, averaging 3 runs per contest.
With the White Sox as +172 underdogs at home, they are offering great value to pick up a win over the Red Sox. And if you are looking to take this game to the money line, the payout for a White Sox win is much better than the Red Sox at -203.
Looking at the starting pitcher’s projections, Nick Nastrini is predicted to finish with five strikeouts compared to Brayan Bello at seven. However, we see the White Sox coming out on top, and our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the White Sox.
Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Red Sox on the moneyline
- The White Sox are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Dominic Leone | Out | Elbow |
| Tommy Pham | Out | Ankle |
| Mike Clevinger | Out | Elbow |
| Andrew Benintendi | Out | Achilles |
| Eloy Jiménez | Out | Hamstring |
| Yoán Moncada | Out | Groin |
| Matt Foster | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Dominic Fletcher | Out | Shoulder |
| Steven Wilson | Out | Back |
| Shane Drohan | Out | Shoulder |
Boston Red Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Hendriks | Out | Elbow |
| Chris Martin | Out | Anxiety |
| Trevor Story | Out | Shoulder |
| Tyler O’Neill | Questionable | Knee |
| Lucas Giolito | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Mata | Out | Lat |
| Triston Casas | Out | Ribs |
| Garrett Whitlock | Out | Oblique |
| Romy Gonzalez | Out | Hamstring |
| Vaughn Grissom | Out | Hamstring |
| Chris Murphy | Out | Elbow |
| Wilyer Abreu | Out | Ankle |
| Masataka Yoshida | Out | Thumb |
