Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Preview
Thursday’s forecast in Chicago calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. The Orioles are heavily favored on the money line (-239) compared to the White Sox (+197). First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is set for 7:40 PM ET, and NBCS will be televising this AL matchup.
Baltimore comes into the game with a record of 29-18 and is 2nd in the AL East, while the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central with a record of 15-35. Chicago will be looking to extend their three-game win streak. Grayson Rodriguez is starting for the Orioles, and the White Sox are sending Mike Clevinger to the mound.
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Chicago White Sox Trends and Key Stats
- The Orioles are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 0-5 vs. the runline.
- In the White Sox’s five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 1-4 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games, the Orioles have a 5-5 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the White Sox have a 5-5 record against the runline and a 5-5 straight-up record in their last ten games.
Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
The Orioles will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Cardinals scored a run in the bottom of the 9th. Baltimore was the -129 favorite on the money line going into the game.
John Means got the start for the Orioles and didn’t pick up the win. He only lasted three innings, giving up just one hit and striking out one. The Orioles’s offense scored their first three runs in the 3rd inning and added another in the 9th. However, it wasn’t enough, as the Orioles still lost. Cole Irvin took the loss out of the bullpen. The Orioles also wasted a big game from Ryan Mountcastle, who went 3-4 with a double and two RBIs.
Baltimore is 29-18 overall and trails the Yankees by three games in the AL East. The Orioles will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak today, as they dropped the final three games of their series vs. the Cardinals. So far, they have been really good against other AL East teams, going 7-2.
At home, the Orioles are 17-10 and have gone 12-8 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 22-16 and 7-2 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 10-4-2 this year, and they are just 4-6 over their last 10 games.
So far this season, the Orioles have been a solid bet against the run line, with a 24-23 record. They have been especially good as underdogs, going 7-2. Their run line record on the road is 10-10, but they have failed to cover in their last five road games. They have an average run margin of 1.1 runs per game, and they have been outscored by an average of 3.0 runs in their losses.
The Baltimore Orioles are on the road against the Chicago White Sox today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Orioles have an over/under record of 23-19 this season, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 10-7. So far this season, 27.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Grayson Rodriguez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the White Sox on the road. He has made seven starts this season and has a record of 4-1 with an ERA of 3.15. Rodriguez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.30. The right-hander has turned in four quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing against the Mariners, he went six innings, giving up just one hit and three walks. Rodriguez finished with seven strikeouts in that game. For the season, he is averaging 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings.
Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been a strong 1-2 punch for the Orioles this season, as Henderson is 7th in the league with 35 RBIs and Rutschman is right behind him at 3rd on the team with 28 RBIs. Henderson’s 16 homers are the best on the team and 2nd in the league, while Rutschman has 9 homers of his own. Henderson has been especially hot of late, batting .318 over his last six games with four homers and eight RBIs.
Overall, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are one of the better offensive teams in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, and are the top team in the league in isolated power. Currently, they are 7th in team OPS and have the league’s top slugging percentage.
Chicago closed out their series vs. the Blue Jays with a 9-2 loss. Heading into the game, the White Sox were at +202 on the money line. Things really got away from the White Sox in the 2nd inning, as the Blue Jays scored seven runs in the inning. Chicago’s offense scored their only two runs in the 3rd.
Nick Nastrini got the start for the White Sox and took the loss. He only lasted 3 1/3 innings, giving up eight earned runs. Offensively, the White Sox had six hits but only scored two runs. Tommy Pham and Nicky Lopez each had two hits and scored one run apiece.
With a record of 15-35, the White Sox are in 5th place in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 18 games for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 5-19. Chicago is just 5-21 on the road this year but have been a bit better at home, coming in at 10-14.
Chicago has won two straight games at home, and they are 8-14 as home underdogs this season. The White Sox are just 2-0 as the favorite this year, and they are 13-35 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the White Sox are 4-11-1 and lost two straight series.
When the White Sox are the favorite, they are 2-0 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 21-27. Their overall run line record is 23-27, and their average run differential is -2.1 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 15 of their 24 home games, and their average run differential at home is -1.4 runs per game. They are currently on a two-game run line win streak at home.
Chicago White Sox games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 22-27. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 6-6. Overall, 58% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and 18% have had higher lines.
Mike Clevinger and the White Sox are back at home today, taking on the Orioles. Clevinger has had a rough start to the season, as he has taken the loss in both of his outings. He has yet to make it through 5 innings, as he went 4 2/3 in both of his starts.
Chicago’s offense has been really struggling this season, as they are averaging just 2.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. Not only are they the worst home run hitting team in the league, but they also have the league’s worst on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. As a team, they are batting just .216.
Paul DeJong, Andrew Benintendi, and Andrew Vaughn are all tied for the team lead with 15 RBIs, but all three are also near the bottom of the team in terms of batting average. DeJong is the team’s top home run threat right now, with seven homers. Eloy Jiménez is 2nd on the team with five homers but is batting just .231.
Given the payout, we really like the White Sox to pick up a win at home today. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the White Sox. With the money line payout sitting at +197, this is the best way to play this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Mike Clevinger is actually projected to have a better outing than Grayson Rodriguez. We have Clevinger finishing with five strikeouts and Rodriguez with seven.
Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips
- Take the Orioles on the moneyline
- The White Sox are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Eloy Jiménez | Out | Hamstring |
| Yoán Moncada | Out | Groin |
| Luis Robert Jr. | Out | Hip |
| Matt Foster | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Ramos | Out | Quadricep |
| Steven Wilson | Out | Back |
| Shane Drohan | Out | Shoulder |
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Questionable | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
