Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Preview
At 2:20 PM ET, the Yankees and Cubs face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Wrigley Field in Chicago, and the Yankees are the betting favorite on the money line (-143). The Cubs have a record of 72-69, while the Yankees are 81-60.
New York will start Clarke Schmidt, while the Cubs are sending Javier Assad to the mound. This game will be televised on YES, and the over/under line is currently 7 runs. In the AL East, the Yankees are in 2nd place, while the Cubs are 2nd in the NL Central.
Check out BetCoco for Chicago Cubs – New York Yankees odds
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Yankees have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Cubs have a 5-0 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
- The Yankees have a 4-6 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 4-6 against the runline.
- Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Cubs have gone 7-3 vs. the runline and 8-2 straight-up.
New York picked up a 3-0 win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a three-run 3rd inning and that was all the scoring in the game. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -122 on the money line.
Luis Gil started for the Yankees and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Cubs, Jordan Wicks got the start and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work.
Austin Wells was the only Yankees hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 1/3 with two RBIs. Chicago’s offense was held in check, as they finished the game with just one hit.
Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Prediction
The Yankees are 81-60 overall, putting them just a half-game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. New York is 2-0 on their current road trip and took the series opener vs. the Cubs. So far, they are 25-16-4 in series this year.
At home, the Yankees are 37-31 this season, and they have gone 44-29 on the road. This year, they have been the favorite in 116 games, going 63-53 as the favorite. As for their time as the underdog, they are 18-7 this year, which includes a 27-24 record as the road favorite.
When the Yankees are on the road, they have been a good bet to cover the run line this season, going 43-30. Their average run margin on the road is +1.2, compared to +0.5 at home. They have been a better bet to cover the run line as an underdog, going 21-4, compared to 53-63 as the favorite.
The New York Yankees are on the road today against the Chicago Cubs. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs, which is below the Yankees’ season average of 9.3 runs per game. The Yankees have gone over the total in 78 of their 137 games this season, and their average over/under line for the season is 9 runs.
New York is sending right-hander Clarke Schmidt to the mound today as he faces the Cubs on the road. Schmidt has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 5-3 with a 2.52 ERA. In his 11 appearances, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 9.94 strikeouts per nine innings. Schmidt’s last outing came against the Padres, where he took the loss, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. The Yankees have also been the best home run-hitting team in the league this season and have the league’s top on-base percentage.
Aaron Judge has been the league’s top run producer this season, with 125 RBIs to go along with his 51 home runs. Judge also comes into the game with a batting average of .323. Juan Soto is also having a great season, batting .295 with 38 homers. However, Soto has just one homer in his last eight games.
Chicago is 72-69 overall, putting them nine games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they have gone just 21-28 against other teams in the NL Central. The Cubs have dropped the first game of their series vs. the Yankees and are 20-22-3 in series this year, including having won three straight series on the road.
At home, the Cubs are 37-32 this year compared to 35-37 on the road. Chicago has been playing well of late, going 7-3 over their last ten games. As the underdog, the Cubs are 34-36 this year, and they are 13-9 as the underdog at home. When favored, the Cubs have gone 38-33 this year.
Chicago Cubs have a run line record of 69-72 this season, with a run line record of 26-43 at home. Their average run margin this season is +0.4 runs per game. They have a run line record of 23-48 as the favorite and 46-24 as the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +3.8 runs per game, while their average run differential in losses is -3.2 runs per game. They have a run line losing streak when favored of two games.
Chicago Cubs games have had an average combined run total of 8.7 this season, and their over/under record is 65-71. The average over/under line for their games has been 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 7 runs, their over/under record is 4-5-1. Overall, 91.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7 runs.
Javier Assad will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in 6 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Nationals, he picked up the win. Looking at his overall numbers, Assad has made 25 starts and has a record of 7-4. His ERA for the season is 3.21, along with a WHIP of 1.36. Opposing batters are hitting .244 off the right-hander this season. Assad has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 7.57 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 16 homers and is averaging 3.79 walks per nine innings.
Over his last nine games, Dansby Swanson has been on a tear for the Cubs, going 13/34 with three homers and 11 RBIs. Swanson has also scored 11 runs over this stretch. Currently, Cody Bellinger is on a five-game hitting streak for the Cubs.
So far this season, the Cubs have been led in home runs by Ian Happ and Isaac Paredes, who are both near the top of the league leaderboard. Happ’s 81 RBIs are also the best on the team, and Paredes is right behind him at 69. Seiya Suzuki is 3rd on the team in RBIs and has a batting average of .275.
With the Cubs coming in as the underdogs at +122, that is the way we recommend playing this one. We have the Cubs winning this game 6-5, and with the money line payout, we see this as a great value pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Javier Assad finishing with more strikeouts than Clarke Schmidt. However, we do have Schmidt finishing with a better ERA. Offensively, we have the Yankees finishing with more home runs, but the Cubs with more hits.
Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- The Cubs are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Chicago Cubs Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge López | Out | Groin |
| Yency Almonte | Out | Shoulder |
| Colten Brewer | Out | Hand |
| Justin Steele | Out | Elbow |
| Adbert Alzolay | Out | Forearm |
| Julian Merryweather | Out | Knee |
| Nick Madrigal | Out | Finger |
| Ben Brown | Out | Neck |
| Hayden Wesneski | Out | Forearm |
| Luke Little | Out | Shoulder |
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | Probable | Calf |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Clarke Schmidt | Probable | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
