Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Preview
From Wrigley Field in Chicago, we have the Yankees and Cubs facing off in an interleague matchup. The money line odds have the Yankees as the favorites, with their line sitting at -144 compared to the Cubs at +122. Today’s over/under line is at 7 runs.
First pitch for this one is set for 2:20 PM ET, and MARQ will be televising it. Luis Gil is starting for the Yankees, while the Cubs are going with Jordan Wicks. New York is 80-60, while the Cubs are 72-68 and are 2nd in the AL Central.
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Chicago Cubs vs. New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- The Yankees are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Cubs have achieved a 5-0 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
- Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees are 4-6 straight-up and 4-6 vs. the runline.
- As the underdog, the Cubs have gone 7-3 vs. the runline and 8-2 straight-up.
Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Prediction
The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 10-6 loss. New York was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Rangers scored three times in the 2nd and added another three runs in the 4th.
Marcus Stroman took the loss for the Yankees, going just 3 2/3 innings, and giving up five earned runs on nine hits. Juan Soto was hot at the plate, going 3/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
The Yankees come into today’s road matchup vs. the Cubs having dropped two straight games, and they trail the Orioles by just a half-game in the AL East. So far, the Yankees are 22-23 in divisional games and 80-60 overall. New York is coming off a series loss, dropping two of three to the Rangers.
At home, the Yankees are 37-31 this season and have gone 43-29 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 62-53 this season and 18-7 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 25-16-4, but they have dropped three straight series.
The Yankees have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 73-67 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line on the road, going 42-30. They have been a much better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 21-4. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.2, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.6.
The Yankees have been on a roll when it comes to the over, as they have hit the over in six straight games. Their games have averaged a combined 9.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 78-58. The over/under line for today’s game against the Cubs is set at 7 runs, and the average over/under line for their games this season is 9 runs.
New York is sending Luis Gil to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 12-6 and an ERA of 3.39. So far, he has made 24 starts and nine of them have been quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Gil finished with a no-decision after giving up three earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of the keys for Gil today will be to limit the walks, as he is averaging 4.76 per nine innings compared to 10.4 strikeouts.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .252 (7th) and have the league’s top OPS at .774. New York also leads the league in walks and is 2nd in on-base percentage.
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the team’s top two hitters this season, with Judge leading the team with a .323 batting average and Soto right behind him at .295. Judge also leads the team with 51 homers and 124 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been hot of late, going 13/30 in his last eight games.
The Cubs’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Pirates, closing out their series with a 12-0 win. After allowing one run in the top of the first, the Cubs responded with three runs of their own. Chicago went on to add another three runs in the 2nd inning.
Starting for the Cubs was Shota Imanaga, who picked up the win while tossing seven scoreless innings. He also finished with seven K’s and issued just two walks. Dansby Swanson went 3/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
With a record of 72-68, the Cubs are nine games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. Chicago will host the Yankees today, and they are 37-31 at home this season. The Cubs have gone 35-37 on the road.
Chicago has an overall division record of 21-28, and they dropped two of three games vs. the Pirates in their most recent series. The Cubs have won three straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 20-22-3.
The Cubs have been a tough team to bet on this season, as they have a run line record of 69-71. They have been slightly better on the road, going 43-29 against the run line, compared to 26-42 at home. They have been a profitable team to bet on as the underdog, going 46-23 against the run line, compared to just 23-48 as the favorite.
Chicago Cubs games have had an average of 8.8 runs scored per game this season, and their over/under record is 65-70. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, their record is 4-5-1. Overall, 91.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 7-run total.
Left-hander Jordan Wicks gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Yankees at home. Wicks has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with a 3.82 ERA. So far, he has turned in one quality start and is coming off a game in which he allowed just one earned run in five innings of work. Wicks’ ERA at home is 2.29 compared to 4.43 on the road. Looking at his walk numbers, Wicks is averaging 2.73 per nine innings compared to 8.73 strikeouts.
Chicago’s offense has been good on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are 12th in the league at 4.6 runs per contest. The Cubs have been swinging the bats well of late, with both Ian Happ and Dansby Swanson hitting over .400 in their last 10 games. Happ is the team’s leading home run hitter this season, while Seiya Suzuki and Isaac Paredes are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard.
For the season, the Cubs are 16th in home runs and have a team batting average of .241. One thing they have done well is draw walks, as they are currently 5th in the league in that category. Chicago’s top run producer this season has been Ian Happ, who has 81 RBIs and is also the team’s top home run hitter.
For this Yankees vs. Cubs matchup, we really like the Cubs to pick up the win at +122. With the money line payout, we see this as a great value pick, as we have the Cubs winning this one by a score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Gil is predicted to finish with six strikeouts, while Jordan Wicks is projected to finish with seven. However, Wicks is projected to finish with a better ERA, as we have him finishing with a 3.78 ERA compared to Gil at 4.18.
Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Cubs (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Chicago Cubs Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge López | Out | Groin |
| Yency Almonte | Out | Shoulder |
| Colten Brewer | Out | Hand |
| Justin Steele | Out | Elbow |
| Adbert Alzolay | Out | Forearm |
| Julian Merryweather | Out | Knee |
| Nick Madrigal | Out | Finger |
| Ben Brown | Out | Neck |
| Hayden Wesneski | Out | Forearm |
| Luke Little | Out | Shoulder |
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | Probable | Calf |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Austin Wells | Questionable | Hand |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
