Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction & Betting Tips 6/21/2024

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Preview

From Wrigley Field in Chicago, we have the Mets and Cubs facing off in an NL matchup. First pitch is set for 2:20 PM ET, and MARQ is carrying the Cubs on TV. The money line odds have the Cubs as the favorite, with their line sitting at -149. The Mets are at +125, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.

Jose Quintana is starting for the Mets, and he is facing off against Shota Imanaga. The Mets are 35-38 this season, while the Cubs have won two straight and are 36-39. This game will be the 4th NL East and 4th NL Central.

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Chicago Cubs Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Mets are 4-1. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Cubs have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Cubs have a straight-up record of 5-5, while going 2-8 against the runline.
• The Mets have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction

The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 5-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Rangers scored three runs in the 4th to take the lead. New York was the -113 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Sean Manaea had a rough outing, giving up three earned runs on just two hits. He also issued three walks and took the loss. The Mets’s offense scored their only three runs on a homer from Pete Alonso in the 1st inning.

The Mets are 35-38 overall and trail the Phillies by 13.5 games for the NL East lead. New York will be on the road today, taking on the Cubs, and they are 11-10 against other NL East teams. New York took two of three from the Rangers in their most recent series.

At home, the Mets are 18-23 this year, and they have gone 17-15 on the road. As the underdog, the Mets have won three straight, and they are 15-20 as the underdog overall. New York’s overall series record is 11-12-3, and they have won four straight series overall and three straight on the road.

When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.1 runs per game. That’s helped them to a 33-40 run line record on the season. They’ve been a strong bet on the run line on the road, going 19-13, but have struggled at home, going just 14-27. They’ve been a good bet as the underdog, going 20-15 on the run line, compared to just 13-25 as the favorite.

The Mets have played in 31 games this season with an over/under line of 8 runs, going 7-4 in those contests. The combined run average in their games is 9.3 runs, and their overall over/under record on the year is 37-34. Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs.

New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today against the Cubs. So far this season, he has made 14 starts and has a record of 2-5 with a 4.98 ERA. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.37. In his 14 appearances, he has turned in four quality starts. Quintana’s ERA at home is 3.82, compared to 8.27 on the road, where he is 1-2. The most recent outing for Quintana was a good one, as he picked up the win vs. the Padres, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up three earned runs in three straight outings.

So far this season, the Mets have been a much better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per game compared to just 3.8 runs per contest at home. Overall, they are 11th in the league at 4.6 runs per game. New York is also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, coming in 9th in the league and 2nd in the league in team home runs. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 10th in the MLB.

Over his last 10 games, J.D. Martinez is batting .314 with three homers and 11 RBIs. However, the Mets’ top home run hitter is Pete Alonso, who has gone deep 16 times this season while batting .243. Alonso also leads the team with 42 RBIs. Francisco Lindor is 2nd on the team with 12 homers and is batting just .238 for the year.

Dansby Swanson had a big game for the Cubs in their most recent outing, going 2/4 with three RBIs and a homer. The Cubs really needed his offense, as they only scored six runs on json 11 hits and didn’t have more than three runs in an inning. Chicago was the -111 favorite at home going into the game.

Kyle Hendricks got the start for the Cubs, going 5 2/3 innings, and only gave up one earned run, and the Cubs bullpen had to close things out, as Chicago’s offense scored their other five runs in the 4th.

Chicago is 36-39 overall and trails the Brewers by eight games for the NL Central lead. The Cubs are 4th in the division and have gone just 9-17 in divisional games this year. They have won two straight games, and their two-game winning streak came after dropping five of six.

At home, the Cubs are 21-16 compared to 15-23 on the road. The Cubs have won two straight games as the favorite, and they are 19-17 overall as the favorite this year. As for their record as the underdog, the Cubs are 17-22 this season. Chicago’s overall series record is 9-13-2, and they won their most recent series vs. the Giants.

When betting the Cubs on the run line, it’s best to take them as the underdog, as they are 26-13 in those games. They are just 10-26 when favored, and their overall run line record is 36-39. They are 14-23 at home on the run line, and 22-16 on the road. Their average run margin is -0.2, but it’s -0.9 on the road and 0.5 at home.

Chicago Cubs games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 32-40. They’ve had 37 games with O/U lines set higher than 8 runs, which is 49.3% of their games. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 2-9. Today’s O/U line for their game against the New York Mets is set at 8 runs.

Left-hander Shota Imanaga gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Mets at home. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 7-1 with an ERA of 1.90. Imanaga’s WHIP for the season is currently .99. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. Imanaga has won each of his last two outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.24 strikeouts compared to just 1.3 walks.

Chicago’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 18th in runs per game and have a team batting average of just .230. However, they do have three players with nine homers, which is 2nd on the team and 15th in the league. This includes Christopher Morel, who is batting just .197 but does lead the team with 41 RBIs. Cody Bellinger and Ian Happ have also been driving in a lot of runs, as Bellinger has 33 RBIs and Happ is 2nd on the team with 38.

Both Bellinger and Happ have been swinging the bat well of late, with Bellinger batting .300 over his last 10 games and Happ at .367 over his last nine games. Happ also comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. Michael Busch has also been hot of late, as he has an eight-game hitting streak.

Our pick for this Mets vs. Cubs matchup is to take the Mets on the money line, where they are currently at +125. We actually have the Mets winning this one by a score of 5-4. So, you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Shota Imanaga is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for sixth among all starters. As for Jose Quintana, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which is 16th among starters.

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Betting Tips

• We like the Mets on the moneyline (+125)
• The Mets are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Chicago Cubs Injury Report

New York Mets Injury Report