Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox Preview
Wednesday’s Cubs vs. White Sox interleague matchup has a first pitch set for 8:05 PM ET from Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL. The Cubs are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -188 compared to the White Sox at +158. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Chicago comes into the game on a 12-game losing streak, and they are 15-46 overall. The Cubs (30-31) are in 2nd place in the NL Central. Jameson Taillon will be on the mound for the Cubs, while the White Sox are starting Erick Fedde. MARQ will be televising this one.
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Chicago Cubs Trends and Key Stats
- The White Sox are 0-5 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Cubs have gone 1-4 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
- The Cubs have a straight-up record of 3-7 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 1-9 record vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the White Sox have a 0-10 straight-up record and a 2-8 record vs. the runline.
Chicago picked up a 7-6 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this crosstown series. The Cubs had a huge 6th inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the White Sox, they scored five of their six runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Cubs were favored at -289 on the money line.
Shota Imanaga got the start for the Cubs, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up one run and striking out six. Luke Little got the win out of the bullpen, and Hector Neris got the save. Jordan Leasure took the loss for the White Sox out of the bullpen.
Christopher Morel and Patrick Wisdom each homered for the Cubs, while Lenyn Sosa hit a home run for the White Sox. Morel, Ian Happ, and Andrew Vaughn each had two hits and two RBIs for Chicago’s offense.
Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
With a record of 15-46, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 25.5 games for the division lead. The White Sox have dropped 12 straight games, and they are just 5-19 in AL Central games this year.
At home, the White Sox are only 10-21, and they have gone just 5-25 on the road. This season, the White Sox have really struggled in day games, going 5-22. So far, they are 2-0 as the favorite and 13-46 as the underdog. Chicago’s overall series record is 4-14-1, and they have dropped five straight series.
When the White Sox win, they do so by an average of 2.5 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs per game. As a result, their run line record is 25-36, and they are 10-20 against the run line on the road. As the underdog, they are 23-36 against the run line, but as the favorite, they are 2-0.
The Chicago White Sox are on the road today against the Chicago Cubs. The Over/Under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 8.1. The White Sox have an Over/Under record of 28-30 this season, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 6-6. So far this season, 62.3% of their games have had lower Over/Under lines than today’s line of 8.5 runs. Chicago’s games have gone Over in their last two contests.
Right-hander Erick Fedde gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Cubs on the road. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 4-1 with a 3.12 ERA. Fedde’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18, and opponents are batting .224 off him this year. In his last outing, Fedde finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone 6 1/3 innings without giving up an earned run. Fedde has allowed at least one homer in three of his last four outings.
Chicago comes into today’s game as the worst hitting team in the league, averaging just 2.9 runs per game. This is also the worst mark in the league. They are also the league’s worst home run hitting team and have a team batting average of just .215. The White Sox do have three players with at least five homers, led by Paul DeJong, who is 11th in the league with nine homers.
Corey Julks has been hot for the White Sox of late, going 9/29 in his last seven games. However, Gavin Sheets and Paul DeJong have both struggled in this stretch, with Sheets batting just .200 and DeJong at .154. Sheets and DeJong are the team’s top two run producers, with Sheets leading the team with 22 RBIs and DeJong at 20.
With a record of 30-31, the Cubs are 2nd in the NL Central, six games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 7-12 in divisional games. Chicago was able to pick up the win in the series opener vs. the White Sox and are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
Chicago has dropped four straight series and are 7-10-2 in series this year. The Cubs have really struggled as the underdog this year, going 16-18, compared to 14-13 as the favorite. At home, they are 10-9 when favored and 17-13 overall at home. On the road, the Cubs are 13-18.
When the Cubs win, they win big. They have an average run margin of +3.0 runs in their victories. However, when they lose, they tend to lose big, with an average run margin of -3.3 runs in their defeats. Their overall run line record is 30-31, with a run line record of 12-18 at home and 18-13 on the road. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 23-11 against the run line in those games, compared to 7-20 as the favorite.
The Chicago Cubs are playing at home against the Chicago White Sox today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Cubs games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 28-30. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Cubs have gone 9-4, and 23.0% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.
Right-hander Jameson Taillon gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the White Sox at home. He has made eight starts this season and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 2.84. Taillon’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.26. Looking back at his last outing, Taillon finished with a no-decision against the Brewers, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Taillon has allowed at least one home run in four straight starts.
Christopher Morel has been the Cubs’ most dangerous hitter this season in terms of home runs, as his 11 homers are 1st on the team and 9th in the league. However, he is batting just .201 for the season and has gone 5/22 over his last seven games. Cody Bellinger and Michael Busch are both batting over .260 for the season and have combined for 16 homers.
Over their last seven games, Ian Happ and Cody Bellinger have both been swinging the bat well, with Happ going 8/26 and Bellinger going 9/29. Bellinger has one homer in this stretch, while Happ has gone deep twice. Seiya Suzuki is also on a bit of a hot streak, going 8/28 with two homers in his last seven games.
Our prediction for the Cubs vs. White Sox matchup is that the Cubs will pick up a 5-4 win. However, with the Cubs having a -188 money line, we would recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs, as we see this being a high-scoring game.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Erick Fedde finishing with five strikeouts, while Jameson Taillon is projected to finish with five as well. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could take the over on either of these, as we have both pitchers finishing with five.
Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Cubs on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the White Sox (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Chicago Cubs Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yency Almonte | Out | Shoulder |
| Colten Brewer | Out | Back |
| Keegan Thompson | Out | Illness |
| Adbert Alzolay | Out | Forearm |
| Julian Merryweather | Out | Ribs |
| Caleb Kilian | Out | Teres Major |
| Jordan Wicks | Out | Forearm |
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Dominic Leone | Out | Elbow |
| Tommy Pham | Out | Ankle |
| Mike Clevinger | Out | Elbow |
| Andrew Benintendi | Out | Achilles |
| Eloy Jiménez | Out | Hamstring |
| Yoán Moncada | Out | Groin |
| Matt Foster | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Dominic Fletcher | Out | Shoulder |
| Steven Wilson | Out | Back |
| Shane Drohan | Out | Shoulder |
