Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Betting Tips 6/25/2024

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview

Toronto and Boston are set to square off in an AL East matchup at 7:10 PM ET at Fenway Park in Boston, MA. The Red Sox are currently on a three-game winning streak and are 43-36 overall, while the Blue Jays have lost seven straight and are 5th in the AL East with a record of 35-43.

Kevin Gausman will start for the Blue Jays, and he is facing off against Brayan Bello. Boston comes into the game as the slight favorite on the money line, and the over/under line is sitting at 9 runs. SNET will be televising this one.

Check out BetCoco for Boston Red Sox – Toronto Blue Jays odds

Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats

• The Blue Jays are 0-5 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• The Red Sox, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 2-3 record.
• In their previous ten games, Blue Jays have won 5-5 as favorites and 2-8 as underdogs.
• The Red Sox have a 6-4 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 8-2.

Boston rallied for four runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Red Sox vs. Blue Jays series. The Red Sox scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the 8th, picking up a 7-6 win. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were favored at -164 on the money line.

Tanner Houck started for the Red Sox, going 6 2/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out seven. He picked up a win in the game, while Kenley Jansen closed things out. Zach Pop took the loss for the Blue Jays out of the bullpen.

Rafael Devers and David Hamilton each homered for the Red Sox, while Jarren Duran scored twice and drove in two runs while going 3/5. Masataka Yoshida also had a two-hit game at the plate.

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 16 games. Overall, the Blue Jays are 35-43 and have lost seven straight games. Their losing streak includes dropping the first game of this series vs. the Red Sox. In the AL East, they are 9-14 against other teams in the division.

As the road team today, the Blue Jays are 17-24 this season compared to 18-19 at home. Looking at how they have fared as the favorite, the Blue Jays are 29-20 and 6-23 as the underdog. Toronto has dropped two straight games as the favorite, and their overall series record is 9-12-4 this year.

When it comes to betting the run line with the Toronto Blue Jays, it’s been a mixed bag. Overall, they are 36-42 against the run line, but they are 23-18 on the road. They are 13-24 against the run line at home. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and are 23-26 as the favorite.

The Blue Jays are on the road against the Red Sox today, with an over/under line of 9 runs. Toronto’s games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 34-41. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone 2-3-2. Only 1.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, and their games have gone under the line in 89.7% of their contests. The over has hit in their last two games.

Toronto is sending right-hander Kevin Gausman to the mound today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. Gausman has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 5-6 with an ERA of 4.24. In his last outing, he gave up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had pitched well, picking up the win and tossing a shutout in nine innings of work. Gausman has one complete game and one shutout this year, along with six quality starts. His ERA at home is 7.53 compared to 5.55 on the road.

So far this season, the Blue Jays have been one of the worst offensive teams in the league, averaging just 3.9 runs per game. This is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the 2nd most strikeouts in the league. As a team, the Blue Jays are batting just .233, which is 16th in the league.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been the team’s top hitter this season, batting .286 with 10 home runs and 36 RBIs. He has been even better of late, going 8/22 in his last five games with three homers. Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider are also near the top of the team’s home run and RBI charts, but both are batting below .230 for the season.

Boston is 43-36 overall and are 3rd in the AL East, 8.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Red Sox have taken the first game of this series vs. the Blue Jays and have an 11-9 record in AL East matchups. They have won three straight games and have gone 8-2 over their last 10.

At home, the Red Sox are 19-20 this year and 24-16 on the road. As the underdog, the Red Sox have put together a five-game winning streak, and their overall record as the underdog is 21-21. Boston has won four straight series overall and have an overall series record of 12-9-4 this year.

When betting the run line, the Red Sox have been a better option on the road this season, going 23-17 compared to 14-25 at Fenway Park. Boston has been an underdog in 42 games this season, going 25-17 against the run line. The team’s average run differential in wins is +4.3, while it’s -3.7 in losses.

The Boston Red Sox have an over/under record of 36-38 this season, with their games averaging 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 5-2-2, and they have hit the over in their last two games. Overall, 73.4% of their games have had lower lines than today’s 9-run total.

Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces off against the Blue Jays. This year, he has made 13 starts and has a record of 7-4 with an ERA of 4.83. Bello’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.41. In his 13 starts, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 8.09 strikeouts per nine innings. Bello most recently faced the Blue Jays on June 19th, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that outing, he had lost two straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, putting up an average of 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .255, which is the 4th best mark in the MLB right now.

Over his last 10 games, Jarren Duran has been on fire, going 19/45 with two homers and seven RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .293, and he is 2nd on the team with 37 RBIs. Duran’s 7 homers is 3rd on the team, behind Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill, who both have 15 long balls this season. O’Neill has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/35 in his last nine games.

Our prediction for this Blue Jays vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line at -117. We actually have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 6-5, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 9 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Brayan Bello finishing with five strikeouts, which is better than Kevin Gausman, who we have finishing with six. However, Gausman is projected to finish with the better ERA.

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips

• Take the Red Sox on the moneyline
• The Red Sox are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Boston Red Sox Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report