Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Betting Tips 6/24/2024

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview

The forecast for Monday’s Blue Jays vs. Red Sox game calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the low 80s. This one gets started at 7:10 PM ET from Fenway Park in Boston, and the Red Sox are favored on the money line (-145). The Blue Jays have a money line odds of +120, and they are 5th in the AL East with a record of 35-42.

Tanner Houck will be on the mound for the Red Sox, while the Blue Jays are starting Chris Bassitt. Toronto is currently on a six-game losing streak, and the over/under line for this game is at 8.5 runs. NESN will be televising Monday’s AL East matchup.

Check out BetCoco for Boston Red Sox – Toronto Blue Jays odds

Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats

• The Blue Jays are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
• Conversely, the Red Sox have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Red Sox have a record of 5-5 straight-up, and have gone 3-7 against the runline.
• Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Blue Jays have a 2-8 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Guardians with a 6-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Guardians scored three runs in the bottom of the 9th. Toronto was the -104 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Offensively, the Blue Jays were carried by Spencer Horwitz, who went 2/3 with two homers and three RBIs. The Blue Jays also had a big game from Vladimir Guerrero Jr., going 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs.

Toronto is on the road today to take on the Red Sox, having lost six straight games. The Blue Jays are 35-42 overall, putting them 5th in the AL East, 15.5 games behind the Yankees. Toronto’s record vs. other AL East teams is 9-13 this season.

The Blue Jays have dropped two straight series and are just 2-8 over their last 10 games. So far, they are 18-19 at home compared to 17-23 on the road. As the underdog, the Blue Jays have lost four straight on the road, and they are 6-16 as the road underdog this year.

The Blue Jays have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 35-42 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 22-18. They have been a better bet on the run line in games they have lost, going 12-16.

When the Blue Jays are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8.3 runs per game. Overall, the Blue Jays’ games have gone over the total 33 times and under 41 times this season. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their games have gone over the total 8 times and under 15 times. Only 10.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. So far this season, he has made 15 starts and has a record of 6-6 with an ERA of 3.52. Bassitt’s WHIP for the season is 1.41, and he has turned in seven quality starts. In his last outing, Bassitt finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had turned in three straight starts of at least seven innings and had allowed two earned runs or fewer in each outing. Bassitt has given up a homer in three straight starts.

So far this season, the Blue Jays offense is averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the worst team BABIP in the MLB. Toronto does have a good team OBP and is 6th in the league in drawing walks. Currently, the Blue Jays have three players with double-digit homers, led by Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider, who have 11 and 10 homers, respectively.

Over his last six games, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone 8/21 at the plate, and he is currently on an eight-game hitting streak. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has also homered in two straight games but is just 6/26 in his last six games. Davis Schneider has also homered in two straight games but is just 4/19 in his last five games.

The Red Sox’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Reds, closing out their series with a 7-4 win. After allowing one run to the Reds in the bottom of the first, the Red Sox responded with four runs of their own. Boston went on to add another three runs in the 4th inning.

Zack Kelly got the start for the Red Sox, going 2 2/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out three. Rob Refsnyder had only one hit, but it was a home run, and Connor Wong also had a big game, going 1/5 with a homer.

Boston is nine games behind the Yankees in the AL East but are 3rd in the division and have an overall record of 42-36. The Red Sox have gone 10-9 in divisional games this year and have won two straight games overall. Their two-game winning streak has come at home, where they are 18-20 this year.

So far, the Red Sox have been a good team on the road, putting together a record of 24-16. As the favorite, Boston is 21-15 this year and 21-21 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Red Sox are 12-9-4 and have won four straight series.

The Red Sox have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, with a 37-41 record. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, where they are 23-17. They have covered the run line in their last two home games and have an average run margin of 0.6 runs per game this season.

When the Red Sox play at Fenway Park, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their season average of 8.0 runs per game. Boston’s games have gone over the total in 35 of 73 contests this season, and their over/under record is 35-38 overall. Their games have had an average combined run total of 8.7 runs per game this season.

Through 15 starts, Tanner Houck has a record of 7-5 and an ERA of 2.14. He has made 15 appearances and has a WHIP of .97. This season, opponents are batting .207 off the right-hander. Houck has turned in 12 quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts. So far, Houck has been much better on the road, coming in with a 1.89 ERA compared to 2.55 at home.

So far this season, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .254, which is 6th in the MLB, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. The Red Sox have been tough to strike out this season, but they are just 26th in the league in walks.

Jarren Duran and Tyler O’Neill have been swinging hot bats of late, with Duran going 13/32 in his last seven games, and O’Neill is 7/21 with three homers in his last six games. Duran is also on a 13-game hitting streak. Duran is 3rd on the team in batting average (.288) and has seven homers, while O’Neill’s 15 homers are the most on the team.

Our prediction for this Blue Jays vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line at -145. We have the Red Sox winning this game by a score of 6-5. With the over/under line sitting at 8.5 runs, there isn’t a lot of room on either side of that line, as we have this game going over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Chris Bassitt finishing with five strikeouts compared to Tanner Houck with six. However, we have Houck going longer in this game, as Bassitt is projected to go just five innings.

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips

• Take the Red Sox on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Blue Jays (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Boston Red Sox Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report