Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Betting Tips 7/31/2024

Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Preview

Wednesday’s matchup between the Mariners and Red Sox is set to get started at 4:10 PM ET from Fenway Park in Boston, MA. The Red Sox are 56-50 this season, while the Mariners have an overall record of 57-52. Brayan Bello is slated to start for the Red Sox, while the Mariners are going with George Kirby.

Seattle is currently favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -120 compared to the Red Sox at +102. The over/under line is at 9.5 runs, and RSNW will be televising this game.

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Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats

• The Mariners are 4-1 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
• Conversely, the Red Sox have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
• The Mariners have a 4-6 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 4-6 against the runline.
• The Red Sox have a 5-5 record vs. the runline and a 6-4 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.

Seattle cruised to a 10-6 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 5th inning, scoring five of their ten runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored three of their six runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -116.

Luis Castillo started for the Mariners and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued just one walk. On the other side, James Paxton got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss, going just 4 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.

Jorge Polanco and Dylan Moore each homered for the Mariners, while Rafael Devers went deep for the Red Sox. Polanco, Moore, and Victor Robles each scored three times for Seattle’s offense.

Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

Seattle leads the AL West by one game over the Astros as they are currently 57-52 overall. The Mariners will be on the road today vs. the Red Sox, and they are 26-29 on the road this year. They have been good at home, going 31-23.

The Mariners have an overall series record of 15-17-2 this year, and they have dropped five straight series at home. As the road favorite, the Mariners are 14-14 this year, and their overall record as the favorite is 38-32. Seattle has won four straight games as the favorite, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games overall.

Seattle has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 49-60 overall. The Mariners have been a slightly better bet on the road, going 26-29 against the run line. They have covered the run line in four straight games and have a run line record of 21-18 when listed as the underdog.

Seattle has been on a hot streak of hitting the over, with five straight games going over the total. However, the Mariners have only had three games this season with an over/under line of 9.5 runs, and they are 0-1 in those games. On the season, Seattle has a 47-57 over/under record, and their games have averaged 7.7 runs per game.

Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Red Sox. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.03 ERA. Kirby’s WHIP for the season is currently .98, and opponents are batting .222 off him this year. In his 22 appearances, Kirby has turned in 15 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Kirby didn’t allow a run vs. the White Sox, picking up the win in 7 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Kirby’s ERA at home is 3.3, compared to 3.78 on the road.

Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league so far this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 28th in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.4 runs per game. However, they have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. The Mariners are also the worst team in the league in terms of strikeouts.

Cal Raleigh has been a bright spot for the Mariners this season, as he leads the team with 23 homers and is 11th in the league with 67 RBIs. Julio Rodriguez has also been a solid run producer, as his 37 RBIs are 4th on the team. Randy Arozarena has 16 homers for the Mariners, but he is batting just .219 this season.

Boston is 3rd in the AL East this season, and they trail the Orioles by seven games for the division lead. Overall, the Red Sox are 56-50 heading into today’s game vs. the Mariners. The Red Sox are 26-28 at home this season and 30-22 on the road.

The Red Sox really need to get back on track, as they have dropped seven of their last ten games. So far, they have gone 14-13 against other teams in the AL East. Boston has an overall series record of 16-13-5, but they have dropped three straight series.

The Red Sox are 20-34 against the run line at home this season, while their overall run line record is 49-57. Boston has a run line losing streak when favored in two straight games, and their average run margin in winning games is 4.2.

The Boston Red Sox will host the Seattle Mariners today with the over/under line set at 9.5 runs. The Red Sox have a combined run average of 9.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 53-47. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 7-7. Boston’s games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs this season, but their current over streak is at six games.

Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Mariners at home. So far this season, he has made 19 starts and has a record of 10-5 with an ERA of 5.28. Bello’s WHIP for the season is 1.44, and opponents are batting .268 off the right-hander this year. In his 19 starts, Bello has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 8.58 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 5th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 3rd in batting average and 2nd in slugging percentage. Boston also has the league’s best team BABIP and are 4th in team OPS. As a team, the Red Sox are also near the top of the league in home runs, and their top three hitters in terms of RBIs are also in the top 10 in the league.

Rafael Devers has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/23 in his last six games with a home run and five RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .301, and he leads the team with 68 RBIs and is 7th in the league with 24 homers. Devers is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Tyler O’Neill has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 6/21 in his last five games with two homers.

With the Red Sox getting +102 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick for today’s Red Sox and Mariners matchup. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Red Sox, giving you another option to take the Red Sox on the run line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Brayan Bello finishing with seven strikeouts compared to George Kirby with six. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, these are two options. As for the Mariners’ hitters, they are projected to finish with just eight hits, which is the lowest of any team in action today.

Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips

• We like the Red Sox on the moneyline (+102)
• On the run line we like Red Sox (+1.5)
• Our MLB model projects 9 runs, and we suggest taking the under

Boston Red Sox Injury Report

Seattle Mariners Injury Report