Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants Preview
Thursday’s interleague matchup between the Giants and Red Sox is set for 1:35 from Fenway Park in Boston. The Giants are sending Kyle Harrison to the mound up against Josh Winckowski for the Red Sox. Coming into the game, the Giants are 14-17, while the Red Sox are 18-13.
Currently, the over/under line is at 9.5 runs, and the Red Sox are the slight favorite on the money line at -113. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by NBCS.
Check out BetCoco for Boston Red Sox – San Francisco Giants odds
Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats
- 2-3 is the record of Giants in their last five road games. They have also gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
- In the Red Sox’s five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
- Over the last ten games, Giants has a record of 5-5 when playing as favorites and 4-6 when playing as underdogs.
- 7-3 is the record of the Red Sox as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 6-4.
It was all Boston in the last game of this series, as the Red Sox took down the Giants by a score of 6-2. The Red Sox offense only had two more hits than the Giants and struck out seven times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -160 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Kutter Crawford for the Red Sox and Erik Miller for the Giants. Crawford went seven innings and gave up just two hits and two earned runs. On the other side, Miller only lasted one inning and gave up two hits and two earned runs.
Boston’s top hitter in this game was Connor Wong, who went 3/4 with two doubles and an RBI. Both J.D. Martinez and Rafael Devers each drove in two runs for the Red Sox’ offense.
Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
San Francisco is on the road today vs. the Red Sox, and they are looking to get back to .500, as they are currently 14-17. The Giants have dropped two straight games, and they trail the Dodgers by five games in the NL West. So far, they are 6-8 in divisional games.
As the favorite, the Giants have gone 10-9 this year and 4-8 as the underdog. San Francisco is coming off a series win and has an overall series record of 4-3-2 this year. Their overall record is a result of going 5-5 over their last 10 games.
When it comes to the run line, the Giants have been a tough team to predict this season. They are 13-18 overall against the run line, and they are 6-10 at home. On the road, they are 7-8 against the run line, and they have failed to cover in their last two road games. They are 6-13 against the run line as the favorite, but they are 7-5 as the underdog. Their average run differential is -0.8 runs per game, but they are 3.4 runs better in their wins and 4.3 runs worse in their losses.
The San Francisco Giants have played in 31 games with over/under lines set below 9.5 runs, and the under has hit in all of them. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game, and their over/under record is 14-16. Their games have gone under in five straight, and their average over/under line is 8 runs per game.
Left-hander Kyle Harrison gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. In his six starts, Harrison has a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 4.09. Looking at his overall numbers, Harrison has a WHIP of 1.24 and has issued just 1.36 walks per nine innings compared to 8.45 strikeouts. Harrison has made four quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Pirates, he went six innings, giving up five hits and issuing zero walks. He finished with seven strikeouts in that outing.
San Francisco’s offense has been struggling so far this season, averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been even worse at home, putting up just 3.4 runs per contest. As a team, the Giants are batting .239, which is 13th in the league, and have the 12th home run total in the league.
Michael Conforto and Jorge Soler are tied for the team lead with five home runs apiece, with Conforto’s 16 RBIs leading the team and Soler coming in 6th with eight RBIs. Conforto is also batting .259 this season, which is the same mark as Soler. Chapman has four homers this season but is batting just .223.
Boston is hosting the Giants today, having won four straight games. The Red Sox are 18-13 overall and trail the Orioles by 1.5 games in the AL East. So far, they are 0-3 in the division, and they are looking for their fifth straight win today.
The Red Sox have been good on the road this year, putting together an 11-5 record. At home, they are just under .500 at 7-8. Boston has an overall series record of 5-3-1 and is coming off a series win over the Rangers. As the home underdog, the Red Sox are 3-4 this year, and they are 9-4 as the favorite.
When looking at the Boston Red Sox run line record, they have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 18-13 overall. They have been even better on the run line on the road, going 12-4. They have been an underdog in 18 of their 31 games and have covered the run line in 13 of those games. Their average run margin in their wins is 4.7, while their average run margin in their losses is -3.4.
The Red Sox have had just two games this season with an over/under line of 9.5 runs. They have gone under in both of those games. Their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 13-15. Their current under streak is at two games.
Josh Winckowski will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced off against the Cubs and didn’t allow a run in three innings of work. He finished with a no decision in the outing. Winckowski has made two starts and nine appearances this year and has a record of 1-1 with a 3.50 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .297 off the right-hander this season. Per nine innings, he has 9.5 strikeouts and 4 walks. Looking at his home/road splits, Winckowski is 1-0 on the road with a 0.68 ERA compared to 0-1 at home with a 7.42 ERA.
As a team, the Red Sox are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. Boston has been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .251, which is the 6th best mark in the league.
Over his last six games, Rafael Devers is hitting .409, and he comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak. Tyler O’Neill has gone deep in two of his last five games and is batting .304 for the season. O’Neill’s nine homers is 2nd in the league.
Our prediction for today’s Giants vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line, with the payout being -113. We actually have the Red Sox winning this game by a score of 6-5, meaning there is some value on the over, as the line is currently sitting at 9.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Josh Winckowski finishing with just four strikeouts, which is good for fourth among today’s starters. As for Kyle Harrison, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which has him in sixth. However, we have Harrison going six innings, compared to Winckowski, who is projected to go just five.
Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- Take the Red Sox on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Red Sox (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Boston Red Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Hendriks | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Story | Out | Shoulder |
| Tyler Heineman | Out | Hamstring |
| Lucas Giolito | Out | Elbow |
| Garrett Cooper | Questionable | Wrist |
| Nick Pivetta | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Mata | Out | Hamstring |
| Triston Casas | Out | Ribs |
| Garrett Whitlock | Out | Oblique |
| Romy Gonzalez | Out | Wrist |
| Brayan Bello | Out | Lat |
| Isaiah Campbell | Out | Shoulder |
| Vaughn Grissom | Out | Hamstring |
| Chris Murphy | Out | Elbow |
| Masataka Yoshida | Out | Thumb |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Out | Elbow |
| Alex Cobb | Out | Hip |
| Blake Snell | Out | Thigh |
| Jordan Hicks | Questionable | Side |
| Tristan Beck | Out | Vascular |
| Ethan Small | Out | Oblique |
| Austin Warren | Out | Elbow |
