Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants Prediction & Betting Tips 4/30/2024

Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants Preview

From Fenway Park in Boston, we have an interleague matchup between the Giants and Red Sox. First pitch on Tuesday is set for 7:10 PM ET. NBCS is carrying the TV rights for this one, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.

Logan Webb gets the start for the Giants, and he is facing off against Cooper Criswell. Looking at the money line odds, the Giants are at -134 compared to the Red Sox at +113.

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Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats

• 3-2 is the record of Giants in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• In the Red Sox’s five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
• Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Giants are 5-5 straight-up and 4-6 vs. the runline.
• The Red Sox have a 4-6 record vs. the runline and a 7-3 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.

Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants Prediction

The Giants’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Pirates, closing out their series with a 3-2 win. After going 0-2 in the 1st inning, the Giants scored another run in the 3rd to take the lead. The Pirates pulled to within one run after scoring in the 5th, but San Francisco’s bullpen was able to close things out, and the Giants picked up the win.

Keaton Winn put together a good start for the Giants, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. San Francisco’s offense was carried by Mike Yastrzemski, who went 2/3 with a homer and scored a run.

San Francisco will be on the road today vs. the Red Sox with an overall record of 14-15, which has them four games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Giants closed out their series vs. the Pirates with a win and are 4-3-2 in series this year.

At home, the Giants have gone 9-7 this year compared to 5-8 on the road. So far, they are 10-8 as the favorite and 4-7 as the underdog. San Francisco has won two straight series, with both of these series wins coming at home.

When the Giants win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.4 runs per game in their victories. However, when they lose, they tend to lose by a wide margin, with an average run margin of -4.3 runs per game in their defeats. Their overall run line record is 13-16, and they are 7-6 against the run line on the road. They have been the favorite in 18 games and the underdog in 11 games.

The San Francisco Giants have played to the under in three straight games, and they have a 14-14 over/under record on the season. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs this season, the Giants have gone 2-3-1.

Giants starter Logan Webb has been pitching well this season, as he has a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 2.33. In his six starts, Webb has turned in five quality starts and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Mets, he went eight innings, giving up just six hits and one walk. Webb finished with four strikeouts in that outing. So far, he has been much better at home, with an ERA of 0.86 compared to 5.52 on the road. His WHIP for the season is 1.11.

San Francisco’s offense is averaging 4 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road so far, putting up an average of 4.8 runs per game. As a team, the Giants are batting .245, and their team on-base percentage is .311 (both league-average marks). San Francisco’s offense is 11th in home runs, but their isolated power (ISO) of .138 is just 15th in the league.

Michael Conforto and Jorge Soler are tied for the team lead with five home runs apiece. Conforto’s 16 RBIs are the best on the team, while Soler is 5th with eight RBIs. Over his last 10 games, Soler is just 6/35 at the plate (.171). However, he is currently on a three-game hitting streak. Mike Yastrzemski and Patrick Bailey have both gone 9/22 in their last eight games.

The Red Sox’s most recent game was a 5-4 win over the Cubs to close out their series. Boston was the heavy favorite at -151 at home. Things got tense at the end, as the Cubs pulled to within one run in the 9th, but the Red Sox were able to close things out and pick up the win. Boston’s offense scored their five runs on nine hits and didnjson’t hit a home run.

Tanner Houck put together a good start for the Red Sox, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out nine Cubs batters. Rafael Devers was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with two runs scored and two RBIs. The Red Sox also had three players with two hits.

Boston’s overall record is 16-13 heading into today’s matchup vs. the Giants, and they are looking to pick up their first win vs. an AL East opponent (0-3). The Red Sox are 2.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East and have won two straight games, closing out their series with the Cubs with a pair of wins.

At home, the Red Sox are 5-8 this year compared to an 11-5 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Red Sox are 8-4 this year and 8-9 as the underdog. So far, they are 5-3-1 in series this year.

The Red Sox have been a solid run line team overall this season, going 16-13. Their average run margin is +1.1 runs per game, and they have been particularly good against the run line on the road, going 12-4. They have been a poor run line team at home, going just 4-9, and they have been an underdog in most of their games, going 12-5 against the run line in those contests.

Through 26 games, the Boston Red Sox have an over/under record of 13-13, with an average combined run total of 8.4 runs per game. The Red Sox have played in 16 games with over/under lines set above 8 runs, going 6-8-2 in those contests. In games with over/under lines set at 8 runs, the Red Sox are 1-2-2.

Cooper Criswell will be making his second start of the season for the Red Sox, and he is coming off a win in his first outing. He went 5 innings against the Guardians, giving up 3 hits and striking out 3. He also has a bullpen appearance against the Guardians, where he took the loss.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Boston is 3rd in the league in home runs and have the 4th best slugging percentage in the league. One of their biggest strengths has been their ability to avoid strikeouts, as they are 25th in the league in strikeouts per game.

Over his last nine games, Ceddanne Rafaela has gone 9/36 (.250) with two homers and 11 RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in RBIs, despite batting just .194 for the season. Tyler O’Neill is also 2nd in the league with nine homers and comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak.

We really like the Red Sox on the money line in this one, and at +113, they are offering a nice payout. Our predicted final score is 7-6 in favor of the Red Sox, giving you a couple of different ways you could look to bet this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Cooper Criswell going seven innings and finishing with six strikeouts. As for Logan Webb, we have him striking out four and going just five innings.

Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips

• We like the Red Sox on the moneyline (+113)
• The Red Sox are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 13 runs, we like the over

Boston Red Sox Injury Report

San Francisco Giants Injury Report