Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Betting Tips 6/13/2024

Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Phillies and Red Sox face off in an interleague matchup at 7:10 PM ET at Fenway Park in Boston, MA. The money line odds have the Phillies at -118 compared to the Red Sox at -101. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and tonight’s forecast is 84 degrees with scattered clouds.

Phillies starter Aaron Nola is facing off against Tanner Houck for the Red Sox. Nola is 46-21, and the Phillies are 1st in the NL East. The Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East and have an overall record of 34-34. NESN will be televising tonight’s game.

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Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Phillies have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
• On the other side, the Red Sox have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
• In their previous ten games, Phillies have won 7-3 as favorites and 5-5 as underdogs.
• 4-6 is the record of the Red Sox as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 6-4.

It was a high-scoring game in the most recent game of this Red Sox vs Phillies series. Boston went into the matchup as +106 underdogs and picked up an 8-6 win. Both teams scored two runs in the first inning, and the Phillies could only muster one more run until scoring four in the 9th, which came in a losing effort.

Nick Pivetta only went four innings for the Red Sox but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Cam Booser got the win out of the bullpen, and Kenley Jansen got the save. Cristopher Sánchez struggled on the mound for the Phillies, giving up four runs in four innings of work.

At the plate, David Hamilton and Jarren Duran each had two hits and scored two runs for Boston. Rafael Devers drove in three runs while going 2/4. For the Phillies, Nick Castellanos went 2/4 with two RBIs.

Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

With an overall record of 46-21, the Phillies lead the NL East by ten games over the Braves. The Phillies are 12-6 against other teams in the NL East. Philadelphia has been strong at home this year, going 27-10, and they have gone 19-11 on the road.

The Phillies have been really good in night games, going 31-10 this season. As the favorite, the Phillies are 41-17 and 15-9 as the favorite on the road. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 14-5-4 this year.

Philadelphia is coming off a win over the Red Sox and are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall.

When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. In their losses, they lose by an average of 3.0 runs. On the run line, they are 37-30 overall, with a 20-17 mark at home and a 17-13 record on the road. As the favorite, they are 32-26 vs. the run line, while as the underdog, they are 5-4.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is right in line with the Phillies’ season average, as their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. Philadelphia has played in 63 games this season, with 28 going over the total and 35 going under. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Phillies have gone over the total in 4 out of 12 games, which is a 33.3% over percentage. Overall, 17.9% of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs.

Right-hander Aaron Nola is getting the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. Nola has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 8-2 with a 2.77 ERA. So far, he has turned in one complete game shutout and has nine quality starts. Per nine innings, Nola is averaging 8.11 strikeouts and just 2.35 walks. In his last outing, he didn’t allow a run and picked up the win, going seven innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 2nd in runs per game at 5.1 and have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. They also have one of the league’s top home run hitting lineups, as they are 6th in the league in homers. As a team, the Phillies are batting .254, which is 5th in the league.

Over his last five games, Kyle Schwarber has two homers and is hitting .350. This has helped him move into 2nd on the team with 13 homers. Schwarber’s 38 RBIs is also 3rd on the team. Bryce Harper has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 15 homers is 6th in the league, and he is 7th in RBIs (46). Harper is also on a four-game hitting streak.

Boston is at an even 34-34 as they get set to host the Phillies today. The Red Sox are 14.0 games behind the Yankees in the AL East and have gone just 5-8 in divisional games. This year, they are 19-15 on the road compared to 15-19 at home.

So far, the Red Sox have an overall series record of 8-9-4, and they are 19-14 as the favorite. As the underdog, Boston has gone 15-20 and is 4-7 as the home underdog. The Red Sox are 5-5 in their last 10 games and are trying to take the series from the Phillies with a win today.

When the Red Sox win, they do so by an average of 4.5 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.6. On the run line, they are 31-37 overall, with a 20-14 mark on the road. They are 11-23 at home on the run line, and 12-21 as the favorite.

The Boston Red Sox are playing at home against the Philadelphia Phillies today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Red Sox have had an over/under record of 29-34 this season, with an average combined run average of 8.5 runs per game. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 12-11. So far this season, 22.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, while 44.1% have had lines set below that number.

Tanner Houck has been impressive this season, coming into the game with a record of 6-5 and an ERA of 1.91. He has made 13 starts and one complete game shutout. Houck has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.89 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had given up just one earned run in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .196 off the right-hander this season.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 8th in team batting average and are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. Boston has been a good home run hitting team this season and have been very good at avoiding strikeouts. Boston’s team OPS of .726 is also 8th in the league. The Red Sox are led by Rafael Devers, who is 8th in the league with 13 homers and is batting .282.

Over his last eight games, Jarren Duran has gone 11/35 with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .269 with five homers. Rafael Devers has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/25 with two homers in his last seven games. David Hamilton is also on a nice stretch, going 11/30 in his last eight games.

Given the payout, we really like the Red Sox to pick up a win at home over the Phillies. We have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 6-5, which gives us a lot of value taking them on the money line at -101.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Tanner Houck picking up six strikeouts compared to Aaron Nola with six. Houck also has a better chance of picking up a win and is projected to give up fewer runs than Nola.

Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips

• We like the Red Sox on the moneyline (-101)
• The Red Sox are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Boston Red Sox Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report