Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Tips 7/28/2024

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Preview

At 7:10 PM ET, the Yankees and Red Sox face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Fenway Park in Boston, and the Yankees are currently favored on the money line, with their payout sitting at -108. The Red Sox’ money line odds are at -110, and the over/under line is at 9.5 runs.

New York will be sending Carlos Rodon to the mound, while the Red Sox are starting Tanner Houck. The Yankees are 61-45 this season, while the Red Sox are 55-48, and these two teams are 2nd and 3rd in the AL East, respectively. ESPN is carrying this one on TV.

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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats

• The Yankees are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
• On the other side, the Red Sox have gone 1-4 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
• Over the last ten games, Yankees has a record of 4-6 when playing as favorites and 5-5 when playing as underdogs.
• In their last ten games, the Red Sox have a record of 6-4 as the favorite and 5-5 as the underdog.

It was all New York in the last game of this series, as the Yankees took down the Red Sox by a score of 11-8. The Yankees offense only had two more hits than the Red Sox and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -101 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Marcus Stroman for the Yankees and Kutter Crawford for the Red Sox. Stroman only went 3 1/3 innings but gave up just three hits and zero earned runs. On the other side, Crawford was tagged for five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work.

At the plate, Aaron Judge and Juan Soto each homered for the Yankees. Judge, Tyler O’Neill, and Wilyer Abreu were the only three players in the game to have multiple RBIs.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction

The Yankees are on the road today vs. the Red Sox, and they are 61-45 overall, putting them just one game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they have gone just 19-22 in AL East matchups. New York has dropped three of their last four games overall.

At home, the Yankees are 27-23 this year and have gone 34-22 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 46-39 this year and 15-6 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 18-10-4, and they are 1-1 in this series vs. the Red Sox.

The Yankees have been a solid bet on the run line this season, posting a record of 55-51. They have been especially profitable on the road, going 32-24 against the run line. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 17-4 against the run line, but have struggled as the favorite, going 38-47.

The Yankees are on the road against the Red Sox today, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 56-46. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 7-3. The over has hit in three straight games for the Yankees.

Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. So far this season, he has made 21 starts and has a record of 10-7 with an ERA of 4.42. Looking at his overall numbers, Rodón has a WHIP of 1.24 and has turned in 11 quality starts. In his last outing, Rodón picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without a win. Rodón’s ERA on the road is 5.49 compared to 4.42 at home.

Not only are the Yankees the top-scoring team in the league this season, but they are also the top home run-hitting team in the league. As a team, they are averaging 5 runs per game on the road and 4.6 runs per contest at home. New York has the league’s top two home run hitters in Aaron Judge and Juan Soto, who are also 1-2 in the league in RBIs. Judge is batting .314 for the season and has gone deep 37 times, while Soto is hitting .309 with 27 home runs.

Not only are the Yankees the top-scoring team in the league this season, but they are also the top home run-hitting team in the league. As a team, they are averaging 5 runs per game on the road and 4.6 runs per contest at home. New York has the league’s top two home run hitters in Aaron Judge and Juan Soto, who are also 1-2 in the league in RBIs. Judge is batting .314 for the season and has gone deep 37 times, while Soto is hitting .309 with 27 home runs.

Boston is 55-48 overall and trail the Orioles by 5.5 games in the AL East. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and are 14-12 against other teams in the AL East. The Red Sox will host the Yankees today, and New York is in 2nd place in the AL East, one game ahead of the Red Sox.

So far, the Red Sox have gone 25-26 at home compared to 30-22 on the road. As the favorite, Boston is 31-22 this year and 24-26 as the underdog. They have dropped two straight series and have an overall series record of 15-12-5.

When betting the run line on the Red Sox this season, it’s been a better proposition to take them on the road, where they are 29-23 compared to 19-32 at home. Their overall run line record is 48-55, with an average scoring margin of +0.3 runs per game. They’ve been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 29-21, compared to 19-34 as the favorite.

When the Boston Red Sox play at home, the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs just 9.7% of the time this season. Their combined run average in home games is 9.4, and their over/under record is 50-47. The over has hit in three straight games for the Red Sox.

Right-hander Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Yankees at home. Houck has made 20 starts this year and has a record of 8-6 with an ERA of 2.71. Looking at his overall numbers, Houck has a WHIP of 1.09 and has pitched one complete game shutout this year. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Houck has a total of 14 quality starts this year.

The Red Sox offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are 8th in runs per game (4.8), and are 2nd in team batting average at .258. They have also been one of the best power-hitting teams in the league, as they are 7th in home runs and have the 3rd best slugging percentage in the league. Boston’s offense has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game.

Both Jarren Duran and Tyler O’Neill have been swinging hot bats of late, with Duran hitting .345 over his last six games with two homers, and O’Neill has gone 9/21 in his last five games with four homers. Duran is also on a 10-game hitting streak. For the season, Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 23 homers and is 11th in the league with 64 RBIs.

Getting the Red Sox at -110 on the money line is a great value, with our predicted score being 6-5 in favor of the Red Sox. With this predicted score, you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 9.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Carlos Rodón is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the fourth-best among today’s starters. As for Tanner Houck, he is predicted to finish with five strikeouts, and he has the third-worst projected ERA among today’s starters.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Betting Tips

• We like the Red Sox on the moneyline (-110)
• The Red Sox are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Boston Red Sox Injury Report

New York Yankees Injury Report