Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Tips 6/16/2024

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Preview

The Red Sox host the Yankees today at Fenway Park in Boston, and they’ll be looking to move above .500 for the season. However, they are the slight underdog on the money line (+127), with the Yankees’ money line odds sitting at -151. The over/under line is at 9 runs.

First pitch for this one is set for 7:10 PM ET, and the forecasted temperature is 71 degrees with broken clouds. Marcus Stroman is starting for the Yankees, and the Red Sox are starting Kutter Crawford. New York is currently 1st in the AL East, while the Red Sox are 3rd.

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Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats

• The Yankees are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Red Sox have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
• Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees are 8-2 straight-up and 8-2 vs. the runline.
• The Red Sox have a 3-7 record vs. the runline and a 4-6 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.

Boston picked up an 8-4 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a three-run 1st inning and added two more in the 2nd, 3rd, and 8th. As for the Yankees, they scored their first run in the 7th and added three more in the 8th.

Cooper Criswell only went four innings for the Red Sox but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Justin Slaten got the win out of the bullpen. Carlos Rodon had a rough outing for the Yankees, going five innings and giving up five runs on seven hits.

Juan Soto hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Ceddanne Rafaela had a three-hit game for the Red Sox, scoring twice and driving in a run.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction

With an overall record of 50-23, the Yankees lead the AL East by 2.5 games over the Orioles. New York is 9-9 in divisional games this season. The Yankees have won six straight series, and their overall series record is 17-3-2, including 6 straight series wins on the road.

At home, the Yankees are 22-10 this season, and they have gone 28-13 on the road. New York has been really good in night games this year, going 34-14. So far, they have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 38-18, and they are 12-5 as the underdog this year.

When the Yankees win, they typically do so by an average of 3.8 runs per game, which has helped them to a 44-29 run line record. They’ve been especially profitable as the underdog, going 14-3 against the run line, and they’ve been even better on the road, where they’re 26-15 against the run line.

Today’s over/under line for the Yankees’ game against the Red Sox is set at 9 runs, which is higher than the average line for Yankees games this season. New York’s games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this year, and their over/under record is 34-37. When the line has been set at 9 runs, the Yankees have gone 1-6-2, and only 9.6% of their games have had higher lines this season.

Marcus Stroman gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. So far this season, he has made 14 starts and has a record of 6-2. Stroman’s ERA is 2.82, along with a WHIP of 1.24. In his 14 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 6.55 strikeouts per nine innings. Stroman’s most recent outing came against the Royals, where he picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are 2nd in the league in runs scored, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.3 runs per contest. Not only do the Yankees have the league’s top home run hitter in Aaron Judge, but they also have the league’s 2nd home run hitter in Juan Soto. Judge’s 63 RBIs are the best in the league, and Soto is 3rd with 55 RBIs. Soto is also hitting .319 for the season, while Judge is batting .300.

Over the team’s last four games, Giancarlo Stanton is 7/17 with two homers and four RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .253. Jose Trevino has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 5/11 with two homers in his last five games. Both Stanton and Soto come into the game on four-game hitting streaks.

Boston is 36-35 overall and trails the Yankees by 13 games in the AL East. So far, they are just 6-9 in divisional games. The Red Sox are hosting the Yankees today and have an overall series record of 9-9-4 this year.

The Red Sox have gone 6-4 across their last ten games, and they are 17-20 at home this year. On the road, Boston is 19-15 this season. As the underdog, the Red Sox are 17-21 compared to a mark of 19-14 as the favorite.

Despite a positive run differential on the season, the Red Sox have struggled to cover the run line at home, going just 13-24. Their overall run line record is 33-38, including a 20-14 mark on the road. They have been the favorite in 33 games and the underdog in 38, going 12-21 against the run line as the favorite and 21-17 as the underdog.

Through 66 games, the Boston Red Sox have played to an average of 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 31-35. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 5-1-2. Only 12.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.

Red Sox starter Kutter Crawford will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Phillies, where he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Crawford has taken the loss in each of his last four starts and has a record of 2-6 this season. Crawford’s ERA is 3.47, and he has a WHIP of 1.18. Opposing batters have a batting average of .228 vs. Crawford this season. Looking at his overall numbers, Crawford has made 14 starts, six of which were quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.85 strikeouts and 2.8 walks.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in team batting average at .250. Boston is also one of the league’s best home run hitting teams, as their 74 homers is 11th in the MLB.

Jarren Duran has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/25 in his last six games. For the season, he is batting .275 with five homers. Rafael Devers has been the team’s top power threat, as his 13 homers is 9th in the league, and he is 2nd on the team with 34 RBIs. Ceddanne Rafaela has a team-high 37 RBIs but is batting just .230 for the season.

With the Red Sox being the underdog at +127, this is a great opportunity to take them on the money line. Our predicted score is 6-5 in favor of the Red Sox, giving you a chance to get them at +127.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Marcus Stroman’s chances of picking up a win as the eighth best among starters today. As for Kutter Crawford, he is 12th in terms of picking up a win, so we like Stroman’s chances more. However, our projections have Stroman finishing with more strikeouts than Crawford.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Betting Tips

• Take the Yankees on the moneyline
• The Red Sox are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Boston Red Sox Injury Report

New York Yankees Injury Report