Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Tips 6/15/2024

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Preview

Carlos Rodon is starting for the Yankees on Saturday, and they are facing off against the Red Sox, who have Cooper Criswell on the mound. The Red Sox are +145 on the money line compared to the Yankees at -171. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 7:15 PM ET, and FOX is carrying this one on TV. The Yankees are 50-22 and are in 1st place in the AL East, while the Red Sox are 3rd in the division with an overall record of 35-35.

Check out BetCoco for Boston Red Sox – New York Yankees odds

Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats

• The Yankees are 4-1 across their last five road games. They have gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Red Sox have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
• Over their last ten games, the Yankees have a 9-1 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 9-1 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Red Sox have gone 3-7 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 4-6 over their last ten games.

The Yankees offense exploded for eight runs in the 1st and cruised to an easy 8-1 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -151 on the money line.

New York got to Red Sox starter Brayan Bello, who gave up four earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work and took the loss. As for the Yankees, they got a good outing from Luis Gil, who gave up just one earned run across five innings of work and got the win.

Alex Verdugo was the only Red Sox hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 3/5 with a home run. Jose Trevino drove in the lone Red Sox run and finished the game 1/4.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction

The Yankees are 50-22 overall this season, and they lead the AL East by 3.5 games over the Orioles. New York is playing well heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Red Sox, as they have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games. At home, the Yankees are 22-10 this year, and they have been even better on the road at 28-12.

So far, the Yankees have been really good as the favorite, going 38-17 this year. As the underdog, they are 12-5, and this includes going 17-8 as the road favorite. New York’s overall series record is 17-3-2, and they have won six straight series on the road.

The Yankees have been a solid run line bet this season, covering at a 44-28 clip. They have been especially good on the road, going 26-14 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 14-3 against the run line. In their wins, they have been covering by an average of 3.8 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line for the New York Yankees’ game against the Boston Red Sox is set at 9 runs. The Yankees’ games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 33-37. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone 0-6-2. Only 9.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, and their games have gone under the line in 79.2% of their games this season. The under has hit in their last two games.

Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 9-2. Rodón’s ERA is currently 2.92, and he has pitched well on the road, coming in with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 3.83. The left-hander has won each of his last four starts and is coming off a game in which he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. This season, opponents are batting .211 off Rodón.

Not only are the Yankees the top-scoring offense in the league at 5.1 runs per game, but they are also one of the most powerful lineups in the league, as they are 2nd in home runs and have a collective isolated power figure of .184, which is also 2nd in the MLB. As a team, they are batting .255, which is the 4th best mark in the league. The Yankees are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.

Heading into the game, both Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are near the top of the league in home runs, with Judge leading the league with 25 homers and Stanton’s 17 long balls putting him 5th in the league. Judge has been especially hot of late, going 11/31 in his last eight games with four homers. Juan Soto is also swinging a hot bat for the Yankees, as he is hitting .319 for the season and has gone deep three times in his last three games.

Boston is at an even 35-35 overall heading into today’s home matchup vs. the Yankees. The Red Sox are 14.0 games behind the Yankees in the AL East and are 3rd in the division. So far, they have gone just 5-9 in AL East matchups.

At home, the Red Sox are 16-20 this year compared to 19-15 on the road. As the favorite, Boston has gone 19-14 and 16-21 as the underdog. So far, their overall series record is 9-9-4, and they are looking to even up this series with the Yankees today.

When betting the run line on the Red Sox, it’s important to consider that they have a run differential of +0.4 runs per game this season. They are 32-38 against the run line overall, but just 12-24 at home. They have a run differential of -0.4 runs per game at home and +1.3 on the road. As the favorite, they are just 12-21 vs. the run line, while they are 20-17 as the underdog. In their wins, they are outscoring opponents by an average of 4.5 runs per game, while in their losses, they are being outscored by an average of 3.7 runs per game.

The Red Sox have an over/under record of 30-35 this season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.6 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone over the total in 4 of 7 games. Overall, 77.1% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs.

Through 10 starts, Cooper Criswell has a record of 3-3 and an ERA of 4.12 for the Red Sox. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.21. In his last outing, Criswell took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on seven hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Criswell has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings. For the year, he has given up six homers. The right-hander has a BB/9 figure of 2.06 compared to 8.06 strikeouts per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .249, which is 8th in the league, and are also one of the best hitting teams in terms of slugging percentage and isolated power. Boston’s team batting average is the best in the league.

Rafael Devers has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 13 homers are the best on the team and 8th in the league. He is also 2nd on the team with 32 RBIs and is batting .284. Ceddanne Rafaela has 7 homers this season and is the team’s current leader in RBIs. Jarren Duran has a five-game hitting streak going and is batting .273 for the season.

With the Red Sox being the underdog at +145, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Red Sox, giving you some options if you want to take them on the run line as well.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Carlos Rodón finishing with seven strikeouts, and Cooper Criswell with nine. Criswell is actually projected to finish with more K’s than Rodón, and if you’re looking for a player prop, Criswell’s strikeout total could be a good option.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Betting Tips

• Take the Yankees on the moneyline
• The Red Sox are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Boston Red Sox Injury Report

New York Yankees Injury Report