Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Tips 6/14/2024

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Preview

First pitch for Friday’s Yankees vs. Red Sox game is set for 6:30 PM ET from Fenway Park in Boston, MA. The Red Sox are 35-34, and they will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak. However, they are +142 underdogs on the money line. The Yankees are 49-22 and they are starting Luis Gil. New York is the -168 favorite.

Brayan Bello is starting for the Red Sox, and the over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs. NESN will be televising this AL East matchup.

Check out BetCoco for Boston Red Sox – New York Yankees odds

Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats

• 4-1 is the record of Yankees in their last five road games. They have also gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Red Sox have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
• The Yankees have a 9-1 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 9-1 against the runline.
• The Red Sox have a 3-7 record vs. the runline and a 4-6 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction

New York is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 4-3 loss to the Royals, Nestor Cortes was excellent on the mound, allowing just two runs while pitching seven innings. They also got a big offensive performance from Anthony Rizzo, going 3/3 with a homer.

Clay Holmes took the loss out of the bullpen for the Yankees, as New York allowed two runs in the bottom of the 9th to blow their lead. Heading into this game, the Yankees were at -163 on the money line.

The Yankees kick off their series vs. the Red Sox with a record of 49-22, which has them leading the AL East by 2.5 games over the Orioles. This season, they are 8-8 in divisional games and have won six straight series on the road. Their overall series record is an impressive 17-3-2 this year.

At home, the Yankees have gone 22-10 this year and have been even better on the road, going 27-12. New York has also been really good as the favorite this season, putting up a mark of 37-17. They are 12-5 as the underdog this year.

The Yankees have been a solid run line bet this season, going 43-28 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 25-14 against the run line. They have been a profitable run line bet as the underdog, going 14-3, and have an average run margin of 1.8 runs per game.

The New York Yankees are on the road against the Boston Red Sox today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. This season, the Yankees’ games have averaged 8.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 33-36. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9.5 runs, their over/under record is 2-2. Only 2.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher.

New York is sending Luis Gil to the mound today, and he has been excellent this season, going 8-1 with a 2.04 ERA. So far, he has made 13 starts and seven of them have been quality starts. Gil’s ERA at home is 1.70, compared to 2.91 on the road. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. The right-hander has allowed a total of five home runs this season.

So far this season, the Yankees have been one of the most dangerous lineups in the league, as they are 2nd in home runs and 3rd in runs scored (5.1 per game). Their team batting average of .254 is also 4th in the league. One of the reasons they have been so good offensively is their ability to get on base, as they are 2nd in the league in walks and have an OBP of .333.

Aaron Judge comes into the game as the league’s leading home run hitter, and he is also 2nd in the league with 62 RBIs. Judge has been hot of late, going 10/27 in his last seven games with four homers. Juan Soto has also been a key part of the lineup, as he is batting .320 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 17 homers.

The Red Sox’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Phillies, closing out their series with a 9-3 win. After allowing three runs to the Phillies in the top of the 4th, the Red Sox responded with four runs of their own. Boston went on to add another four runs in the 2nd inning.

Starting for the Red Sox was Tanner Houck, who picked up the win. He went six innings, giving up three earned runs on eight hits. Houck only had five strikeouts in the outing and issued just one walk. The Red Sox’s bullpen closed things out with three scoreless innings.

Boston will host the Yankees today with an overall record of 35-34, and they are 3rd in the AL East, 13 games behind the Yankees. The Red Sox are 5-8 in the division this year and have gone 5-5 over their last ten games. They have won two straight games, and this came after taking the final two games of their series vs. the Phillies.

At home, the Red Sox are 16-19 compared to 19-15 on the road. Boston’s overall record is right at .500, and they have been the underdog in 36 of their games, where they are 16-20. As the favorite, the Red Sox are 19-14 this year.

When it comes to the run line, the Red Sox have been a better bet on the road this season, going 20-14 compared to 12-23 at home. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.5, while it drops to -3.6 in losses. They have covered the run line in two straight games at home and as an underdog.

The Boston Red Sox are playing at home against the New York Yankees today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 8.6. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 30-34 on the season, and their average over/under line for the year is 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, the Red Sox have gone over the total in just 1 out of 5 games. Overall, only 4.3% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher. The Red Sox have hit the over in their last two games.

Brayan Bello will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the White Sox, as he gets the start for the Red Sox today. In that start, he took the loss, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up five earned runs. Looking back over his last three outings, Bello has finished with a no-decision, a win, and a loss. His ERA for the season is 4.78, along with a record of 6-3. Bello’s WHIP for the season is 1.35, and he has made two quality starts this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.87 strikeouts compared to 3.24 walks.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been a better offense on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .250, which is 6th in the league, and they have the 5th best slugging percentage in the MLB. Boston’s offense has been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as their average of 9 strikeouts per game is 27th in the league.

Over his last 10 games, Jarren Duran is hitting .357 with two homers and seven RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s 5th spot in batting average. Rafael Devers has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/33 with three homers in his last nine games. Devers’ 13 homers this season is the best mark on the team and 8th in the league.

Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line, with a payout of +142. We have the Red Sox winning this game by a score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Luis Gil finishing with an average of six strikeouts, and he ranks 13th among starters in this category. As for Brayan Bello, he is projected to finish with eight strikeouts, which is good for third among all starters.

Offensively, the Yankees are projected to finish with nine hits, compared to the Red Sox, who we have finishing with nine as well. However, the Yankees are projected to finish with more home runs than the Red Sox.

For the Yankees, a payout of -168 isn’t worth the risk, given that we have them losing this game.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Betting Tips

• We like the Red Sox on the moneyline (+142)
• On the run line we like Red Sox (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Boston Red Sox Injury Report

New York Yankees Injury Report