Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction & Betting Tips 9/20/2024

Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Preview

David Festa gets the start for the Twins on Friday, and he is facing off against Richard Fitts for the Red Sox. The money line odds have the Twins at -115 compared to the Red Sox at -104. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the game will be televised on BSN.

First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 7:10 PM ET, and the forecast for Friday’s matchup calls for light rain and temperatures in the low 60s. The Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East, while the Twins are 4th in the AL Central.

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Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Trends and Key Stats

• 1-4 is the record of Twins in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Red Sox have gone 2-3 (SU) and 1-4 in their previous five home contests.
• The Twins are 4-6 in their last ten games as the favorite and 3-7 as the underdog.
• The Red Sox hold a 5-5 record as the favorite and a 3-7 record as the underdog.

Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

The Twins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Guardians with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 10th inning before the Guardians scored a run in the bottom of the 10th to pick up the win. Minnesota was the -111 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Simeon Woods Richardson got the start for the Twins and took the loss. He pitched well, going 4 2/3 innings, and giving up just one earned run while striking out six. However, the Twins’ bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and Caleb Thielbar took the loss out of the bullpen. The Twins also wasted a big game from Jorge Polanco, who went 3-4 with two doubles and a run scored.

Minnesota is 80-73 overall this season, and they are 8.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Twins have dropped two straight games, losing the final two games of their series vs. the Guardians. So far, they have gone 29-23 in divisional games.

At home, the Twins are 42-33 this season, and they are just below .500 at 38-40 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins are 63-43 this season, and they are 17-30 as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 26-19-4, and they have dropped two straight series.

The Twins are 39-39 on the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in their last two games as the favorite. They have an average run margin of 0.1 on the road, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.7.

The Minnesota Twins are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season. The Twins have gone over the total in 77 of their 147 games this season, and they are 10-2 when the over/under line is set at 9 runs.

Right-hander David Festa gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 2-6 with an ERA of 5.07. Festa’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in just one quality start and is averaging 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Festa’s last outing came on September 15th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.

Carlos Santana comes into the game as the Twins’ leader in home runs this season, but he is batting just .238. Santana has gone 7/28 in his last seven games, with one home run and two RBIs. Willi Castro is batting .250 for the season and has gone 8/24 in his last eight games, including one home run and five RBIs.

As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They are also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Minnesota comes into the game with a team batting average of .248.

The Red Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rays with a 2-0 loss. Boston was the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but couldn’t get anything going offensively, as they only had one hit. The Red Sox also wasted a good outing from starter Brayan Bello, who took the loss and only gave up one run in json5 5 2/3 innings of work.

Bello issued just two walks and struck out seven Rays batters. Despite pitching well, he was still tagged with the loss. The Red Sox’s bullpen also allowed a run in the 7th inning. Boston was hoping to get a spark from their offense after the Rays closed out the series with a 2-0 win. However, the Red Sox’s offense was still quiet in the loss.

Boston is 76-77 overall this season, and they are 3rd in the AL East, 13 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. So far, they have gone 22-24 in AL East matchups. The Red Sox kick off their series vs. the Twins having gone 4-6 across their last ten games.

At home, the Red Sox are 35-40 this year and 41-37 on the road. As the favorite, Boston has gone 41-35 and 35-42 as the underdog. They will be the home underdog, where they are 9-12 this season. Boston’s overall series record is 23-20-6, but they have dropped two straight series.

When betting the run line on the Red Sox this season, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road, where they are 44-34 vs. the run line. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 44-33 vs. the run line, compared to 28-48 as the favorite. Their average run differential in all games is right at zero, and they’ve been outscored by 0.5 runs per game at home and outscored opponents by 0.5 runs per game on the road.

The Red Sox have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.4 runs per game. Their over/under record is 75-70, and when the line is set at 9 runs, they are 8-7-4. The over/under line for today’s game against the Twins is set at 9 runs, and the under has hit in their last two games.

Richard Fitts will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Red Sox, and it will be his first start at home. He has a no-decision in each of his first two starts, with his most recent outing coming against the Yankees, where he went 5 innings and struck out 2.

For the season, the Red Sox are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been a good home run hitting team and are also near the top of the league in terms of team batting average. Boston is also one of the best teams in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. One of the reasons for their strong offensive numbers is that they have the league’s best BABIP at .32.

Over his last five games, Rafael Devers has gone 5/16 with a home run and two RBIs. For the season, he leads the Red Sox with 83 RBIs and is 2nd on the team with 28 homers. Tyler O’Neill has a team-high 31 homers but is just 1/17 in his last five games. O’Neill also has two RBIs during this stretch. Jarren Duran is batting .284 for the season and is on a seven-game hitting streak.

With the Red Sox at -104 to pick up a win at home, this is where we see the best value in this Twins vs. Red Sox matchup. We actually have the Red Sox taking this one by a score of 6-5, giving you some good value on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Richard Fitts finishing with five strikeouts, which has him towards the bottom of the league in terms of K’s. As for David Festa, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which has him in the bottom third of starters.

Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips

• Take the Twins on the moneyline
• The Red Sox should also cover at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Boston Red Sox Injury Report

Minnesota Twins Injury Report