Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction & Betting Tips 8/10/2024

Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Preview

From Fenway Park in Boston, the Astros and Red Sox face off in an AL matchup. This one gets started at 4:10 PM ET, and the Red Sox are favored on the money line (-122). The Astros have odds of +102, and they are 1st in the AL West with a record of 60-55. Boston is 3rd in the AL East, at 61-53.

Josh Winckowski is starting for the Red Sox, while the Astros are starting Spencer Arrighetti. Houston comes into the game on a 3 game winning streak, while the Red Sox have lost 2 straight. The over/under line is currently 10.5 runs.

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Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Astros are 4-1. This includes going 4-1 vs. the runline.
• In the Red Sox’s five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Red Sox have a straight-up record of 5-5, while going 4-6 against the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Astros have a straight-up record of 6-4 and a 8-2 record vs. the runline.

Houston picked up an 8-4 road win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a huge 7th inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their only four runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Astros were at +112 on the money line.

Ronel Blanco only went four innings for the Astros but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Kaleb Ort got the win out of the bullpen. Tanner Houck went six innings for the Red Sox, giving up one earned run on four hits.

Yainer Diaz and Jose Altuve each homered for the Astros, while Alex Bregman went 3/4 with an RBI. Yordan Alvarez also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.

Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction

The Astros are on a three-game winning streak, and they are currently tied with the Mariners for the AL West lead at 60-55. Houston took the first game of their series vs. the Red Sox, and their record in the AL West is 21-18 this season. At home, the Astros are 32-26 and have gone 28-29 on the road.

So far, the Astros have been the favorite in 84 of their games, and they are 45-39 in those matchups. As for their games as the underdog, they are 15-16 this season. Houston has won three straight games on the road, and their overall series record is 20-16-1. At the moment, they have dropped two straight series at home.

Even though the Astros have a positive run differential on the season, they are just 58-57 against the run line. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 31-26 against the run line, including covering in five straight games. They are 20-11 against the run line as an underdog and 38-46 as a favorite.

The Houston Astros are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox. The Over/Under line for the game is set at 10.5 runs, which is higher than their average combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. The Astros have an Over/Under record of 46-65 this season, and their games have had an average O/U line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 10.5 runs, their games have gone under in all three instances. This season, only 1.7% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 10.5 runs, with 110 games having lower lines. Their games have gone over the total in their last two contests.

Right-hander Spencer Arrighetti gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. This year, he has made 20 starts and has a record of 4-10 with an ERA of 5.33. Arrighetti’s WHIP for the season is 1.52, and he has a batting average allowed of .251. In his 20 starts, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 10.65 strikeouts per nine innings. Arrighetti’s last outing came on August 4th, where he took the loss, going six innings and giving up one earned run on five hits. He has taken the loss in each of his last three outings.

Yordan Alvarez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/18 in his last five games with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .302 with a team-high 22 home runs and 59 RBIs. Alvarez’s 22 homers are 12th in the majors. The Astros also have Yainer Diaz and Jose Altuve hitting over .300, with Diaz leading the team with 61 RBIs.

Altuve comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak, as does Alex Bregman. Kyle Tucker is also on a three-game streak and is 2nd on the team with 19 homers. As a team, the Astros are 3rd in batting average and are averaging 4.6 runs per game.

Boston is 3rd in the AL East, and they trail the Orioles by 6.5 games. Overall, the Red Sox are 61-53, and they have gone just 14-13 in AL East matchups. The Red Sox have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Astros 0-1.

At home, the Red Sox are 27-29 this year while going 34-24 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 55 games, going 32-23 in those matchups. As the underdog, Boston is 29-30 this season. The Red Sox have won three straight series and have an overall series record of 19-13-5.

When betting the run line, the Red Sox have been a much better bet on the road than at home. Boston is 33-25 vs. the run line on the road, compared to 21-35 at home. The Red Sox are 20-35 vs. the run line as the favorite and 34-25 as the underdog. Boston’s average run margin is +0.3 runs per game, but that number is +0.9 on the road and -0.4 at home. The Red Sox have an average run margin of +4.1 in wins and -4.1 in losses.

The Boston Red Sox are playing at home against the Houston Astros, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 10.5 runs. The Red Sox have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.7 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 60-48, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 10.5 runs, the over/under record is 3-1. This is only the second game this season where the over/under line has been set at 10.5 runs, and the Red Sox have hit the over in their last seven games.

Josh Winckowski is getting the start for the Red Sox today and has made five starts this year. He has pitched well out of the bullpen, most recently going 2 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run against the Royals. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Winckowski has a record of 2-1 this year and an ERA of 3.44. Opponents are batting .260 off the right-hander this year. Per nine innings, he has 6.7 strikeouts and 3.62 walks. Winckowski’s ERA at home is 6.09 compared to 3.74 on the road.

Wilyer Abreu has been swinging a hot bat for the Red Sox, going 7/25 in his last nine games, including three home runs. Overall, he is batting .280. As a team, the Red Sox are 2nd in batting average, averaging 5 runs per game, and are the league’s top-scoring offense.

Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Devers leading the team with 25 homers and O’Neill right behind him at 22. Devers also leads the team with 71 RBIs. Jarren Duran is batting .293 and has 14 homers of his own.

Looking at the money line, we see the Red Sox taking this one at home with a predicted final score of 6-5. We would take the Red Sox on the money line at -122, as we see this as a good payout for a team that we have winning.

Looking at some potential player props, we have Josh Winckowski finishing with five strikeouts, while Spencer Arrighetti is projected to finish with six.

Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Betting Tips

• Take the Red Sox on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Astros (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Boston Red Sox Injury Report

Houston Astros Injury Report