Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Preview
From Fenway Park in Boston, we have the White Sox and Red Sox facing off in an AL matchup. This one gets started at 7:15 PM ET and is being televised by FOX. The money line odds have the Red Sox as the heavy favorite, with their line sitting at -197 compared to the White Sox at +165. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.
Garrett Crochet is starting for the White Sox, and he is facing off against Cooper Criswell. Chicago comes in with a record of 32-110, which has them in 5th place in the AL Central. The Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East with a record of 71-70.
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Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox Trends and Key Stats
- The White Sox are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- On the opposing side, the Red Sox have a 0-5 (SU) record, along with a 1-4 record in their last five home contests.
- The Red Sox have a straight-up record of 4-6 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- The White Sox have a 1-9 straight-up record and a 3-7 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Boston picked up a 3-1 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 7th inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the White Sox, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were favored at -285 on the money line.
Nick Pivetta started for the Red Sox and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued three walks. On the other side, Davis Martin started for the White Sox and took the loss, giving up one earned run in six innings of work.
Rafael Devers went 2/4 with an RBI, while Ceddanne Rafaela also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs for Boston’s offense. Xander Bogaerts scored two runs and stole a base for the Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
Chicago is 32-110 overall this year, and they are 49.5 games out of the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone just 8-38 in divisional games. The White Sox have struggled at home and on the road, as they are 18-54 at home and 14-56 on the road.
The White Sox have dropped nine straight series, and their overall series record is 6-38-2. So far, they have been the underdog in most of their games, and they are just 5-3 when favored. Chicago is also just 11-46 in day games this year.
Chicago is coming off a loss to the Red Sox and are just 1-9 over their last 10 games.
When the White Sox win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.3 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.7 runs per game. As a result, their run line record is 57-85, with a scoring margin of -2.1 runs per game. They are 28-42 vs. the run line on the road, where their scoring margin is -2.4 runs per game.
The White Sox are on the road today against the Red Sox, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Chicago’s games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 61-73. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their record when the line is set at 9 runs is 11-15-3. Only 2.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, with 76.8% of their games having lower lines.
Left-hander Garrett Crochet gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. Crochet has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 6-10 with a 3.61 ERA. Coming into the game, his WHIP is 1.07, and opponents are batting .214 this season. Crochet’s last outing came on September 1st, where he took the loss, going 3 1/3 innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. Before that, he had put together three straight outings without giving up a homer. Crochet has allowed a homer in three of his last five starts.
Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are last in the league in home runs and are averaging just 3 runs per game. Not only are they the worst home run hitting team in the league, but they also have the worst slugging percentage and OPS in the league. The White Sox are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and have the 3rd worst team batting average in the league.
Andrew Vaughn and Andrew Benintendi are the top home run hitters for the White Sox this season, but both are batting under .240 for the season. Vaughn has just one home run in his last five games and has gone 3/16 in that stretch. Nicky Lopez has gone 5/13 in his last four games and is also on a three-game hitting streak.
Boston is 71-70 overall, and they are 10.5 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. Currently, they are in 3rd place in the division but are just a half-game behind the Yankees for the second Wild Card spot. The Red Sox are 18-18 in AL East games this year.
At home, the Red Sox are 32-38 this year compared to 39-32 on the road. Boston has dropped two straight home games and are just 5-5 over their last ten games overall. So far, they have been the favorite in 69 of their games, and they are 38-31 in those games. As the underdog, the Red Sox are 33-39 this year.
Despite a run line record of 25-45 at home, the Red Sox have been a solid bet on the run line overall this season, going 65-76. They have gone 40-31 against the run line on the road, where they have a positive run differential of 0.6 runs per game. As the favorite, they are just 25-44 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 40-32.
The Red Sox have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with their games averaging 9.5 runs per game. Their over/under record is 72-62, and games with an over/under line of 9 runs have gone over 8-5-3. Overall, 41 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 9 runs, accounting for 29.1% of their games this season.
Through 16 starts, Cooper Criswell has a record of 5-4 and an ERA of 4.14 for the Red Sox. He has made 22 appearances this season and has a WHIP of 1.32. Criswell has turned in just one quality start this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Tigers on September 1st, he went four innings and gave up just two hits. Criswell finished with five strikeouts in that outing. The right-hander has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Per nine innings, Criswell is averaging 6.83 strikeouts and 2.59 walks.
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in the MLB. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and are batting a collective .255, which is the 4th best mark in the league. Boston also does a good job of putting the ball in play, as they have the league’s fewest strikeouts.
Over his last six games, Jarren Duran has gone 6/23, and for the season, he is batting .292 with 21 homers. Rafael Devers has been the team’s top power threat, as his 28 homers are the best mark on the team and 14th in the league. Devers also leads the Red Sox with 81 RBIs. Tyler O’Neill has 25 homers this season, which is 2nd on the team, and is batting .253 for the season.
Our prediction for this White Sox vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 9 runs. We have the Red Sox winning this game by a score of 6-4, giving us some wiggle room in case the line moves in either direction.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Cooper Criswell finishing with six strikeouts compared to Garrett Crochet with nine. However, Criswell is projected to finish with a higher ERA compared to Crochet.
Offensively, our projections have the Red Sox finishing with nine hits compared to the White Sox with eight. If you’re looking for a money line pick, the Red Sox are the way to go, but we see the payout being much better if you take the over.
Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Red Sox on the moneyline
- The Red Sox should also cover at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Boston Red Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Kenley Jansen | Questionable | Lat |
| Luis García | Out | Elbow |
| James Paxton | Out | Calf |
| Liam Hendriks | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Story | Out | Shoulder |
| Lucas Giolito | Out | Elbow |
| Lucas Sims | Out | Lat |
| Bryan Mata | Out | Lat |
| Garrett Whitlock | Out | Elbow |
| Chris Murphy | Out | Elbow |
| David Hamilton | Out | Finger |
| Cam Booser | Out | Elbow |
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Dominic Leone | Out | Elbow |
| Mike Clevinger | Out | Neck |
| Yoán Moncada | Out | Groin |
| Michael Soroka | Out | Shoulder |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Korey Lee | Questionable | Back |
| Steven Wilson | Out | Back |
| Miguel Vargas | Questionable | Eye |
| Jordan Leasure | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Thorpe | Out | Forearm |
| Brooks Baldwin | Out | Wrist |
