Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Preview
From Fenway Park in Boston, we have the White Sox and Red Sox facing off in an AL matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 7:10 PM ET, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Nick Pivetta is starting for the Red Sox, and they are 70-70, while the White Sox have Davis Martin on the mound and they are 32-109. Chicago is the heavy underdog on the money line (+226), while the Red Sox are the clear favorite at -273.
Boston is currently on a five-game losing streak, and the over/under line for Friday’s game is at 8.5 runs. This game will be televised on NESN, and the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central.
Check out BetCoco for Boston Red Sox – Chicago White Sox odds
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the White Sox have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- In the Red Sox’s five most recent home games, their record stands at 0-5 (SU) with 1-4 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Red Sox have a straight-up record of 3-7, while going 3-7 against the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the White Sox have a straight-up record of 1-9 and a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
The White Sox pulled off a big upset to close out their series vs. the Orioles, picking up an 8-1 win. Chicago was the +297 underdog on the money line going into this road game. It was a big first inning for the White Sox, as they got on the board with a run and added another three runs in the 4th.
Jonathan Cannon put together a good start for the White Sox, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just one run on five hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Chicago is 32-109 overall, putting them 5th in the AL Central, 48.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 8-38 this year. The White Sox have had a tough time on the road, coming in at 14-55 compared to an 18-54 mark at home.
The White Sox have dropped nine straight games vs. the Red Sox, and they are just 6-38-2 in series this year. This includes having lost 18 straight series. When favored, the White Sox are 5-3 this year and 27-106 as the underdog. In day games, they are 12-45 and 20-64 in night games.
Despite having a losing record on the run line this season, the White Sox have been a better bet on the road, where their average run margin is -2.4. They are 28-41 on the run line away from home, compared to 29-43 at Guaranteed Rate Field.
The Chicago White Sox are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The White Sox have played in 133 games this season, and their combined run average is 8.3. Their O/U record is 61-72, and the average O/U line for their games is 8 runs. When the O/U line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 17-21. This season, 33 of their games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 23.4% of their games.
Right-hander Davis Martin gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. Martin has made six starts this year and has a record of 0-3 with an ERA of 3.62. His WHIP for the season is 1.39. In his last outing, Martin took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, he has given up at least two homers in three of them. Martin’s only quality start of the season came back on August 14th. Per nine innings, he is averaging 3.9 walks compared to 8.91 strikeouts.
Chicago has been one of the worst offensive teams in the league this season, as they are last in home runs and are averaging just 3.1 runs per game, which is also the worst mark in the league. The White Sox’s team batting average of .220 is 22nd in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and slugging.
Andrew Vaughn and Andrew Benintendi have been the White Sox’s top power threats this season, but both are batting under .240 for the season. Benintendi has been swinging the bat well of late, going 9/31 in his last 10 games with two homers. Gavin Sheets is also batting .286 over his last nine games.
Boston closed out their series vs. the Mets with a 8-3 loss on the road. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were the slight favorite at -101 on the money line. Things really got away from the Red Sox in the 1st inning, as the Mets scored four runs in the inning. Boston’s offense scored their only three runs in the 3rd.
Tanner Houck got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up four earned runs. Offensively, the Red Sox had nine hits but only scored three runs. Jarren Duran, Enmanuel Valdez, and Connor Wong each had two hits and scored one run apiece.
Boston is at an even 70-70 this season, and they are looking to snap a five-game losing streak today at home vs. the White Sox. The Red Sox are 10.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East and are 3rd in the division. So far, they have gone just 18-18 in divisional games.
At home, the Red Sox are 31-38 this season compared to 39-32 on the road. As the favorite, Boston has gone 37-31 and 33-39 as the underdog. Today, they are the home favorite. The Red Sox lost the final three games of their series vs. the Mets.
The Red Sox have been a good run line bet on the road this season, going 40-31. They have struggled at home, going just 24-45 against the run line. They have an average run differential of -0.7 at home and 0.6 on the road. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 40-32, compared to 24-44 as the favorite. They have an average run differential of -4.0 in losses and 3.9 in wins.
When the Boston Red Sox play at home this season, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, and their games have gone over that line 24 times and under 14 times. Overall, their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 72-61. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, and 40.7% of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs. The over has hit in their last two games.
Nick Pivetta gets the start for the Red Sox today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Tigers. In that start, which came on August 31st, he took the loss, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Looking back over his last three starts, Pivetta has allowed at least one homer in each outing. His record for the season is 5-10, and his ERA is 4.53. Pivetta’s WHIP for the season is 1.13. Out of his 21 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 10.82 strikeouts per nine innings.
Over the past 10 games, Jarren Duran has been swinging a hot bat for the Red Sox, going 14/39 with three home runs and seven RBIs. He has also scored eight runs during this stretch. Overall, Duran is batting .294 for the season and is 3rd on the team with 21 homers. Rafael Devers is the team’s top power threat, as he is 12th in the league with 28 homers and has driven in a team-high 81 runs.
As a team, the Red Sox are 5th in batting average, and they have been very good at avoiding strikeouts this season. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Boston comes into the game with the league’s best BABIP and are 7th in home runs.
Our prediction for today’s White Sox vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Red Sox to pick up the win at home. However, with their money line odds at -273, we recommend taking the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs.
If you’re looking for a potential parlay, you could pair a Red Sox win with the over. As for the starting pitchers, we have Nick Pivetta finishing with six strikeouts and picking up the win, while Davis Martin is projected to finish with six K’s as well.
Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Red Sox on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the White Sox (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Boston Red Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Luis García | Out | Elbow |
| James Paxton | Out | Calf |
| Liam Hendriks | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Story | Out | Shoulder |
| Lucas Giolito | Out | Elbow |
| Lucas Sims | Out | Lat |
| Bryan Mata | Out | Lat |
| Garrett Whitlock | Out | Elbow |
| Chris Murphy | Out | Elbow |
| David Hamilton | Out | Finger |
| Cam Booser | Out | Elbow |
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Dominic Leone | Out | Elbow |
| Mike Clevinger | Out | Neck |
| Yoán Moncada | Out | Groin |
| Michael Soroka | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis Robert Jr. | Questionable | Hamstring |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Steven Wilson | Out | Back |
| Miguel Vargas | Questionable | Eye |
| Jordan Leasure | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Thorpe | Out | Forearm |
| Brooks Baldwin | Out | Wrist |
