Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Betting Tips 9/10/2024

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Preview

The forecast from Boston on Tuesday calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 7:10 PM ET. MASN will be televising this AL East matchup.

The Red Sox are 73-71 and are looking to end a three-game losing streak, while the Orioles are 82-63 overall. Baltimore is the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -105 compared to the Red Sox at -113. Kutter Crawford is starting for Boston, and he is facing off against Albert Suarez for the Orioles.

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Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Orioles have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
• In the Red Sox’s five most recent home games, their record stands at 0-5 (SU) with 1-4 against the spread.
• In the past ten games, when playing as the favorite, the Orioles have a record of 5-5, while as the underdog, they have a record of 4-6.
• The Red Sox have a 5-5 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 2-8.

Boston cruised to a 12-3 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 3rd inning, scoring nine of their twelve runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their three runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were favored at -123 on the money line.

Rob Refsnyder and Tyler O’Neill each homered twice for the Red Sox. Refsnyder, Rafael Devers, and Ceddanne Rafaela each had three hits and four RBIs. Devers scored two runs for Boston.

Brayan Bello only went five innings for the Red Sox but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued five walks. Josh Winckowski came out of the bullpen for the save. Cade Povich had a rough outing for the Orioles, taking the loss.

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

With an overall record of 82-63, the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, 1.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Orioles have dropped three straight games, and this losing streak comes after winning four in a row. So far, they have been good against other teams in the AL East, going 29-18.

At home, the Orioles are 42-33 this season and have gone 40-30 on the road. Heading into today’s game, the Orioles have an overall series record of 24-14-7. As the favorite, the Orioles are 67-47 and 15-16 as the underdog. Their most recent loss came as the favorite, and they are 2-2 as the favorite over their last four games.

When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. When they lose, however, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs per game. Their run line record is 78-67, with a run line record of 42-28 on the road and 36-39 at home. They have covered the run line in two straight games as the favorite, but overall, they are 21-10 against the run line as the underdog.

The Orioles have played in just 2.1% of their games this season with an over/under line of 9.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 78-56 on the season. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs, and they are 7-2 in games with a line of 9.5 runs.

Right-hander Albert Suárez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 20 starts this year and has a record of 7-5 with a 3.49 ERA. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is 1.31, and he is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had been pitching well, going 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his previous three starts. Suárez has made five quality starts this year and is averaging 6.91 strikeouts per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are one of the best home run hitting teams in the league, and they have been one of the best offenses in the league this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Not only do they have the league’s 2nd home run hitter in Anthony Santander, but Gunnar Henderson has also gone deep 36 times this season, which is 6th best in the league. Santander also leads the team with 94 RBIs, which is 7th best in the MLB.

Over his last 10 games, Gunnar Henderson has been on fire, batting .341 with three homers and seven RBIs. During this stretch, he has scored seven runs. Emmanuel Rivera comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.

Boston is 73-71 overall, and they are 10 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone 19-18 in divisional games. The Red Sox are at home today, where they are 34-39 and 39-32 on the road.

The Red Sox have dropped five straight as the underdog, and they are 33-39 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, Boston is 40-32 this year. Their overall series record is 22-17-6, and they are 1-0 in this series vs. the Orioles. Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

Despite their run line record being below .500, the Red Sox have been a good bet on the road, going 40-31 on the run line. They have a run line losing streak when they are favored, going 4 straight games without covering the run line. Their average run differential in games they have won is +3.9, while in games they have lost, it is -4.0.

The Red Sox are at home against the Orioles today, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. This season, the Red Sox have played 13 over games and 14 under games when the line has been set at 9.5 runs. Overall, their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 74-63.

Right-hander Kutter Crawford is getting the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Orioles at home. He has made 29 starts this year and has a record of 8-13 with an ERA of 4.08. Crawford’s WHIP for the season is 1.07, and opponents are batting .212 off him this year. In his 29 starts, he has turned in 13 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Crawford took the loss, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on eight hits. He finished with eight strikeouts in the outing. Crawford has taken the loss in each of his last three outings.

Boston comes into today’s game as one of the top offensive teams in the league, as they are 7th in runs per game (4.8) and have the 6th most home runs in the league. The Red Sox have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .257, which is the 5th best mark in the league, and are also one of the toughest teams to strike out in the league.

Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Devers leading the Red Sox with 81 RBIs and O’Neill’s 29 homers pacing the team. Devers is also 2nd on the team with 28 homers. O’Neill has been hot of late, going 10/31 in his last nine games with five homers.

We are predicting the Orioles to pick up a 6-5 road win over the Red Sox. Given that the Orioles are the underdogs, we recommend taking them on the money line, where you can get them at -105.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Albert Suarez finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Kutter Crawford, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which ranks 15th.

Offensively, we have the Orioles finishing with 11 team strikeouts, while the Red Sox are projected to finish with nine. The Orioles are also projected to finish with 11 hits, compared to the Red Sox with nine.

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips

• We like the Orioles on the moneyline (-105)
• The Orioles are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Boston Red Sox Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report