Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals Prediction & Betting Tips 8/14/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals Preview

At 6:35 PM ET, the Nationals and Orioles face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are the heavy favorite on the money line at -182. The Nationals have a record of 55-65 and they are 4th in the NL East, while the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, but they are riding a two-game losing streak.

The over/under line for Wednesday’s matchup is at 9 runs, and the game can be seen on MASN. DJ Herz is starting for the Nationals, while the Orioles are going with Dean Kremer.

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats

• The Nationals are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
• In the Orioles’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Orioles have won 5-5 straight-up, and have a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Nationals have won 6-4 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.

It was all Washington in the last game of this series, as the Nationals took down the Orioles by a score of 9-3. The Nationals offense only had two more hits than the Orioles and struck out five more times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +162 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Jake Irvin for the Nationals and Trevor Rogers for the Orioles. Irvin went six innings and gave up just two hits and two earned runs, picking up a win in the game. On the other side, Rogers was tagged for five runs in five innings of work and took the loss.

Washington’s two-through-five hitters did the most damage, as James Wood, CJ Abrams, Andres Chaparro, and Jacob Young each had two or more hits and combined for seven RBIs. Wood, Abrams, and Ildemaro Vargas each scored three times for the Nationals’ offense.

Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals Prediction

Washington is 55-65 overall and trail the Phillies by 14.5 games in the NL East. Currently, they are 4th in the division and are 16-15 in games against other NL East teams. The Nationals picked up an 8-7 win over the Orioles in the first game of the series.

As the underdog, the Nationals have gone 45-55 this season, and they are 27-33 as the road underdog. Washington has won three straight games as the underdog overall. So far, they are 10-10 when favored this year, and they are just below .500 at 28-32 at home.

The Nationals have been a solid bet against the run line this season, posting a 68-52 record. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 36-24 against the run line. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and are 3-0 against the run line as the underdog in their last three games.

The Nationals have been playing in high-scoring games recently, with their combined run average sitting at 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 61-54, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 13-12-3. Today’s over/under line is set at 9 runs, and the over has hit in their last two games.

Washington is sending DJ Herz to the mound today, and he comes into the game with a record of 2-4 and an ERA of 4.41. Herz has made 11 starts this year and has only turned in one quality start. So far, he has a WHIP of 1.35 and is averaging 11.57 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Herz went 2 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, four hits, and four walks. He didn’t give up a homer in that outing, but in the three starts before that, he had given up a homer in each.

Washington’s offense has been one of the worst home run hitting teams in the league this season, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of isolated power. As a team, they are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. This is also the 24th ranked scoring offense in terms of home runs.

CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. have been the Nationals’ top power threats this season, as Abrams leads the team with 17 homers and Garcia Jr. is right behind him with 14. Both players are also at the top of the team’s RBI leaderboard. In his last five games, Alex Call is hitting .375, and James Wood has gone 8/19 in his last five games.

The Orioles are 70-50 overall and trail the Yankees by just a half-game for the AL East lead. They have gone 26-13 against other teams in the division. Baltimore has dropped two straight games, and this comes after winning three in a row. In the first game of this series, the Nationals took down the Orioles.

At home, the Orioles are 34-26 this season, and they have been really good on the road, going 36-24. So far, they have really taken care of business as the favorite, going 58-39. As the underdog, the Orioles are 12-11 this year. This season, they have an overall series record of 23-11-4.

When the Orioles are at home, they have a run line record of 29-31, and their average run margin is +0.5 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 65-55, and their average run margin per game is +0.7 runs.

In 110 games this season, the Baltimore Orioles have a combined run average of 9.4 runs per game. Their over/under record is 67-43, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 15-12-3. So far this season, only 5.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.

Through 16 starts, Dean Kremer has a record of 4-9 and an ERA of 4.70. This year, he has made four quality starts and is averaging 8.64 strikeouts per nine innings. Kremer has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 3-5 and an ERA of 4.67. At home, he is 1-4 with a 6.07 ERA. In his most recent outing, Kremer gave up five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. He took the loss in that outing. Before that, he had given up four earned runs in back-to-back outings. The right-hander has allowed at least one homer in four straight starts.

As a team, the Orioles are the league’s top home run-hitting team and are also 3rd in the league in runs scored at 5 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .256, which is the 4th best mark in the league. Baltimore has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per contest.

Anthony Santander has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 36 home runs are the best mark on the team and 3rd in the league. However, he has struggled of late, hitting just .182 over his last eight games. Gunnar Henderson comes into the game with a team-best batting average of .287 and is 2nd on the team with 29 homers.

Our prediction for today’s Nationals vs. Orioles matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 9 runs. We see the Orioles coming out on top by a score of 6-5, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the over/under line.

If you are looking for a money line pick, we would side with the Orioles, but at -182, we think there is more value on the over. Looking at some potential player props, you could look to DJ Herz, who we have finishing with seven strikeouts. As for Dean Kremer, his strikeout total is four.

Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Nationals (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

Washington Nationals Injury Report