Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals Preview
The Orioles head into Tuesday’s interleague matchup vs. the Nationals as the heavy favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -175 compared to the Nationals at +147. On the over/under line, the total is sitting at 9 runs, and the game is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD.
First pitch for this one is set for 6:35 PM ET, and the game can be seen on MASN. Jake Irvin is starting for the Nationals, and they are 4th in the NL East with a record of 54-65. The Orioles are leading the AL East with a record of 70-49.
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats
- 1-4 is the record of Nationals in their last five road games. They have also gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
- In the Orioles’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles have a record of 5-5 straight-up, and have gone 5-5 against the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Nationals have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.
Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals Prediction
Washington is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 6-4 loss to the Angels, Jacob Young went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Nationals also got a good start from Luis Garcia, going four innings and not giving up a run. However, they couldnjson’t close things out, and MacKenzie Gore took the loss out of the bullpen.
Gore was responsible for giving up the lead in the 8th inning, as the Nationals allowed two runs in the top of the 8th to blow their lead. Washington was the -158 favorite at home going into the game.
Washington is on the road today to take on the Orioles, and they are 15.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. Overall, the Nationals are 54-65, and they have gone 16-15 in divisional games this year.
The Nationals have an overall series record of 16-20-2 this year, and they closed out their series vs. the Angels with a win. So far, they have gone 22-30 as the road underdog, and they are 26-33 on the road overall. As the favorite, the Nationals are an even 10-10 this year.
Washington has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 67-52. They have been especially good on the road, going 35-24 against the run line. Their average run differential is -0.5 runs per game, but they have been a good bet as the underdog, going 58-41 against the run line.
The Washington Nationals are on the road against the Baltimore Orioles today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is exactly the average combined run average for Nationals games this season. Washington has played 27 games with an over/under line of 9 runs, and their record in those games is 12-12-3.
Right-hander Jake Irvin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 24 starts this year and has a record of 8-10 with a 3.75 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Irvin has a WHIP of 1.12 and has turned in 13 quality starts. In his 24 outings, opponents are batting .231. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Irvin’s ERA at home is 4.55, compared to 3.79 on the road.
So far this season, the Nationals are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team slugging percentage of just .375. However, they have been good at making contact, as they are 6th in the league in fewest strikeouts.
Over the past seven games, Alex Call has gone 13/32 (.406) with four runs scored and six RBIs. James Wood has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 7/24 with two homers. Call is also on a six-game hitting streak.
The Orioles will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rays with a 2-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Rays tied things up. Tampa Bay added another run in the 7th to pick up the win. Baltimore was the -101 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Albert Suarez put together a good start for the Orioles, going 6 2/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. However, the Orioles couldn’t close things out, and Craig Kimbrel took the loss out of the bullpen. The Orioles also wasted a big game from Anthony Santander, who homered in the 1st inning, going 1/4.
Baltimore currently leads the AL East with a record of 70-49, just a half-game ahead of the Yankees. The Orioles will host the Nationals today, and they are 34-25 at home this season. They have been even better on the road, going 36-24 this season.
As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 58-38 this season, and they are 12-11 as the underdog. Baltimore won two straight as the home favorite, and they are 31-22 in that scenario this season. The Orioles’ overall series record is 23-11-4, and they won their most recent series vs. the Rays.
When the Orioles are favored at home, they are 29-30 against the run line. Their average run margin is 0.6 runs per game at home, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.8 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is higher than the average over/under line for Orioles games this season, which is set at 8 runs. Baltimore has played in 84 games with lower over/under lines than 9 runs, and their over/under record is 66-43 overall. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Orioles have gone 14-12-3 in those games. The combined run average in Orioles games this season is 9.4 runs per game.
The Orioles are starting left-hander Trevor Rogers vs. the Nationals today. Rogers has made 23 starts this year and has a record of 2-10 with an ERA of 4.71. So far, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 7.06 strikeouts per nine innings. Rogers’ last outing came vs. the Blue Jays, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins came on the road. At home, he is 0-5 with a 5.18 ERA.
Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 1st in isolated power. As a team, they are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. This has been even better on the road, where they are averaging 5.3 runs per contest.
Gunnar Henderson has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 14/41 in his last 10 games. He is also having a strong season, batting .290 with 29 homers. Anthony Santander has also been a big power threat for the Orioles, as he is 3rd in the league with 35 homers. However, he is hitting just .243 for the season and has gone 8/41 in his last 10 games.
Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Nationals matchup is to take the Orioles to pick up the win at home. However, with the money line payout sitting at -175, we actually prefer to take the over, with the line currently sitting at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Trevor Rogers finishing with six strikeouts compared to Jake Irvin with five. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, Rogers’ strikeout total is a good option.
Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals Betting Tips
- Take the Orioles on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Nationals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
Jorge Mateo | Out | Elbow |
Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
John Means | Out | Elbow |
Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
Grayson Rodriguez | Out | Lat |
Jacob Webb | Out | Elbow |
Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
Heston Kjerstad | Out | Head |
Jordan Westburg | Out | Hand |
Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
Washington Nationals Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Joey Gallo | Out | Hamstring |
Trevor Williams | Out | Hip Flexor |
Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow |
José Tena | Questionable | Thumb |
CJ Abrams | Questionable | Back |
Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |