Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview
Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays on Tuesday, as they are on the road to face the Orioles in Baltimore. Corbin Burnes will be on the mound for the Orioles, who are 63-44 and they are 1st in the AL East. Baltimore is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -201. The money line odds for a Toronto win are at +169.
The over/under line for this AL East matchup is currently at 8.5 runs, and SNET will be televising this one. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 6:35 PM ET.
Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Toronto Blue Jays odds
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Trends and Key Stats
- The Blue Jays are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
- On the other side, the Orioles have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles have a straight-up record of 5-5, while going 4-6 against the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Blue Jays have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
Toronto cruised to an easy 8-4 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 2nd inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their final two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were at +129 on the money line.
Bowden Francis only went 5 2/3 innings for the Blue Jays but gave up just three hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with two strikeouts and allowed one home run. Cade Povich struggled on the mound for the Orioles, giving up three earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. had a huge game at the plate for the Blue Jays, going 4/5 with a home run. He scored two runs and drove in three. Jordan Westburg hit the game’s other home run while going 2/3 with two RBIs.
Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Toronto is 5th in the AL East, and they trail the Orioles by 13 games for the division lead. Overall, the Blue Jays are 50-57 as they play on the road today vs. the Orioles. Toronto is 14-19 against other AL East teams this year.
The Blue Jays have an even 6-4 record over their last 10 games, and they are 24-29 on the road compared to 26-28 at home. As the underdog, the Blue Jays are 17-33 this season, and they are 13-22 as the road underdog. So far, they have gone 33-24 when favored.
The Blue Jays have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 33-20 against the run line. Their overall run line record is 51-56, and they have a negative run differential of 0.7 runs per game. They have been a better bet as the underdog this season, going 27-23 against the run line.
Despite the Toronto Blue Jays’ over/under record of 58-46, the over has hit in seven straight games for the Blue Jays. The over/under line for today’s game against the Baltimore Orioles is set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than the average over/under line for Blue Jays games this season. The Blue Jays have played in just 10 games this season with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 18-18.
Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 8-9 with a 3.78 ERA. Bassitt’s WHIP for the season is 1.41, and he has turned in nine quality starts. In his last outing, he took the loss, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. Looking back further, Bassitt has lost three straight starts. The right-hander’s last win came on July 10th, where he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire for the Blue Jays of late, going 15/26 in his last seven games with four homers and nine RBIs. Overall, he is batting .311 with 21 homers and 69 RBIs, which is 10th best in the league. George Springer and Daulton Varsho are both tied for 2nd on the team with 13 homers, but Springer is batting just .228, and Varsho is hitting just .199.
As a team, the Blue Jays are 23rd in the league in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a collective batting average of just .240. However, they do come into the game as one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts.
Baltimore is 63-44 overall and leads the AL East by a half-game over the Yankees. The Orioles are 21-10 against other teams in the division. At home, they are 32-25 this year and 31-19 on the road. So far, they have gone 51-35 as the favorite and 12-9 as the underdog.
The Orioles have dropped six of their last ten games, and they are looking to bounce back after losing the series vs. the Tigers. So far, their overall series record is 21-10-2, but they have dropped two straight series.
When betting the Orioles on the run line, it has been profitable overall this season, as they are 57-50. They have been a better bet on the road (30-20) than at home (27-30). Overall, the Orioles have an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game, with a scoring margin of +1.2 runs per game on the road and +0.4 runs per game at home.
The Orioles have been a strong over team this season, with a combined run average of 9.3 and an over/under record of 58-39. Their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total 18 times in 31 games. Baltimore is currently on an eight-game over streak.
Right-hander Corbin Burnes is getting the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Blue Jays at home. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 10-4 with an ERA of 2.46. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.04. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 7 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Burnes has been much better at home this season, coming in with a 2.10 ERA compared to 2.94 on the road.
Not only do the Orioles lead the MLB in home runs this season, but they are also 2nd in the league in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .254 as a team, which is 6th in the league, and they have the top slugging percentage in the league.
Anthony Santander has been a key power bat for the Orioles this season, as his 30 home runs are the best on the team and 4th in the league. Gunnar Henderson has also been a key power bat, as he has 28 homers and is batting .283. Over his last seven games, Santander has gone 7/28 with three homers, while Colton Cowser has gone 10/25 with two homers and nine RBIs.
Our predictions for today’s Blue Jays vs. Orioles matchup is to take the over at 8.5 runs. We see the Orioles coming out on top with a final score of 5-4. However, with the money line payout for the Orioles at -201, we would recommend taking the over, as we see this being a close game.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Bassitt has a higher projected strikeout total than Corbin Burnes, with Burnes being predicted to finish with five K’s. Offensively, we have the Blue Jays finishing with nine hits compared to the Orioles with eight.
Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips
- Take the Orioles on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Blue Jays (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
| Jorge Mateo | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | Out | Calf |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | Out | Knee |
| Jordan Romano | Out | Elbow |
| Orelvis Martinez | Out | Suspension |
| Alek Manoah | Out | Elbow |
