Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Betting Tips 5/14/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview

There is a chance for rain in Baltimore on Tuesday, where the Orioles and Blue Jays are set to face off at Camden Yards. The forecasted temperature is 66 degrees. Toronto has a record of 19-22, and they are 5th in the AL East, while the Orioles are 26-14 and they have won two straight.

The over/under line for Tuesday’s game is currently 8.5 runs, and the Orioles are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -162 compared to the Blue Jays at +136. Kyle Bradish is starting for the Orioles, while the Blue Jays are sending Chris Bassitt to the mound.

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Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Blue Jays are 3-2. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
• The Orioles, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 2-3 record.
• As the favorite, the Orioles are 6-4 over their last ten games, including going 3-7 vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Blue Jays have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.

Toronto picked up a 3-2 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had to rally late, scoring one run in the 6th and another in the 8th to tie the game. As for the Orioles, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were at +150 on the money line.

Jose Berrios got the start for the Blue Jays, going seven innings and giving up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued one walk. Jordan Romano got the win out of the bullpen, and Jacob Webb took the loss for the Orioles.

At the plate, Toronto was led by Daulton Varsho, Bo Bichette, and Ernie Clement, as they were the only three Blue Jays hitters to have more than one hit. Varsho and Bichette each homered, while Clement scored two runs and drove in a run while going 2/4.

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

The Blue Jays are 19-22 overall and trail the Orioles by 7.5 games in the AL East. So far, they have gone 6-5 against other teams in the division. Toronto is currently 5th in the AL East standings.

At home, the Blue Jays are 9-9 this year and have gone 10-13 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto is 14-10 and 5-12 as the underdog. They have won two straight games on the road, and their overall series record is 4-7-2 this year. Toronto has dropped three straight series at home.

When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.7 runs per game. However, they have lost by an average of 4.5 runs per game in their losses. They have been a better bet on the run line as the favorite, going 12-12, compared to 6-11 as the underdog. Their overall run line record is 18-23, with an even 11-12 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have a run differential of -1.1 runs per game, both at home and on the road.

The Blue Jays have played 40 games this season, and 21 of them have had over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs. In those games, the over has hit 10 times, the under has hit 10 times, and there has been one push. The Blue Jays have played 5 games with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and the over has hit in 6 of their 15 games with lines set at 8 runs or lower.

Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces off against the Orioles on the road. So far this season, he has made eight starts and has a record of 3-5. Bassitt’s ERA is currently 5.06, along with a WHIP of 1.55. In his 42 2/3 innings of work, he has turned in four quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Bassitt picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.

Over the past six games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire for the Blue Jays, going 11/22 (.500) with three runs scored and four RBIs. Bo Bichette is also on a five-game hitting streak, and he has gone 8/24 in his last six games. For the season, Guerrero Jr. is batting .276 with a team-high 19 RBIs.

As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the 3rd most strikeouts in the league. As a team, they are batting .231, which is 18th in the league. Currently, they have three players with four homers, including Daulton Varsho, who is batting just .214 this season.

The Orioles are 26-14 overall and are tied with the Yankees for the AL East lead. Baltimore has dropped two straight games, and these both came after winning six in a row. So far, they have been really good vs. other teams in the AL East, putting up a record of 6-2.

At home, the Orioles are 14-9 this year, and they have gone 12-5 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 19-13 this year and 7-1 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 9-3-1.

The Orioles have been a solid run line team this season, going 22-18 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 10-7, compared to 12-11 at home. They have been favored in 32 games, going 15-17, and have been an underdog in eight games, going 7-1. Their average run differential in wins is +3.7, while it is -3.4 in losses.

So far this season, the Orioles have seen their games average 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 20-17. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 9-7. This season, 27.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.

Kyle Bradish is getting the start for the Orioles at home against the Blue Jays. Bradish has made two starts so far this season, with his most recent outing coming against the Nationals. In that game, he went 5 innings and struck out 9 while allowing 1 earned run. He also gave up 4 hits and 2 walks. In his first start of the year, he went 4 2/3 innings and also gave up 1 earned run.

So far this season, the Orioles have been the top home run hitting team in the league, and they have also been one of the best offenses in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 11th in the league, and they have the top isolated power rating in the league. Baltimore’s team on-base percentage is just 16th in the league, and they have also been one of the worst teams in terms of drawing walks.

Adley Rutschman has been one of the Orioles’ top hitters this season, coming in with a batting average of .309 to go along with 8 home runs. He has been even better of late, batting .308 over his last nine games with four homers. Jordan Westburg and Gunnar Henderson are also near the top of the league in RBIs, as they both have 27 RBIs and have gone deep 6 and 12 times, respectively.

Our prediction for the Blue Jays vs. Orioles game is to take the over at 8.5 runs. We see the Orioles coming out on top by a score of 6-5, giving us some wiggle room with the over/under line.

If you’re looking for a money line pick, the payout for the Orioles at -162 isn’t great, and we would recommend looking at Chris Bassitt’s strikeout line. Our projections have Bassitt finishing with six strikeouts, and you could look to pair that with Kyle Bradish’s projected strikeout total, which is five.

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Blue Jays (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

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