Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Betting Tips 5/13/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview

At 6:35 PM from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, we have an American League matchup between the Blue Jays and Orioles. Heading into Monday’s game, the Blue Jays are 18-22, while the Orioles have an overall record of 26-13. Toronto will be sending Jose Berrios to the mound vs. Corbin Burnes for the Orioles.

The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, with the Orioles being the favorite at -168 on the money line. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by SNET.

Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Toronto Blue Jays odds

Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

• 2-3 is the record of Blue Jays in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• In the Orioles’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles have a record of 6-4 straight-up, and have gone 3-7 against the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Blue Jays have a straight-up record of 4-6 and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Twins with a 5-1 loss. This was especially tough, as it was the Blue Jays’ 3rd straight loss. Alek Manoah was excellent on the mound, going seven innings and not giving up a run. However, the Blue Jays couldn’t close things out, and the Twins scored three runs in the top of the 8th to pick up the win. Toronto was the +102 underdog at home going into the game.

Offensively, the Blue Jays only had two fewer hits than the Twins but scored just one run. Their lone run came in the 3rd inning. Bo Bichette led off the inning with a double and scored on a single by Vladimir Guerrero Jr. The Blue Jays didn’t have another hit until the 8th, and by then, it was too late.

Toronto is 18-22 overall, and they are 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 8.5 games. The Blue Jays lost two straight games to the Twins to close out the series, losing the series 2-1. So far, they are 5-5 in AL East games this year.

As the road team today, the Blue Jays are 9-13 this year compared to 9-9 at home. Toronto has gone 14-10 as the favorite but just 4-12 as the underdog. They have also struggled to win as the road underdog, going 4-9 this year. The Blue Jays’ overall series record is 4-7-2, and they have dropped three straight series at home.

When the Blue Jays win, they do so by an average of 2.8 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 4.5 runs per game. As a result, their run line record is 17-23, including a 10-12 mark on the road and a 7-11 record at home. They are 12-12 against the run line as the favorite and 5-11 as the underdog.

When the Blue Jays have played games with an over/under line of 8 runs, they have gone 5-5-1 in those contests. The combined run average in those games has been 8.5 runs per game. Overall, the Blue Jays have played in 20 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 17-22.

José Berríos will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing, as he gets the start for the Blue Jays today. The right-hander is coming off a start in which he gave up 8 earned runs and 2 homers in just 3 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he also gave up 7 hits and issued 2 walks. Before that start, Berríos had put together three straight quality starts. For the season, he has a record of 4-3, an ERA of 2.85, and has issued 2.85 walks per nine innings compared to 7.23 strikeouts.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team batting average of just .231. However, their offense has been better of late, as Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone 10/20 in his last five games, and Danny Jansen is hitting .353 during that stretch.

Guerrero Jr. and Justin Turner are both tied for 2nd on the team with four homers, and Guerrero Jr. is also the team’s current leader in RBIs (19). Davis Schneider has also been a solid run producer for the Blue Jays, as he has 15 RBIs to go along with a season-long batting average of .278.

Baltimore closed out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with a 9-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Orioles were the slight favorite at -128 on the money line. Things really got away from the Orioles in the 6th inning, as the Diamondbacks scored six runs in the inning. Baltimore’s offense scored their only two runs in the 4th.

Dean Kremer got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and issued four walks. Adley Rutschman had only one hit, but it was a home run, and the Orioles scored their other run on a single by Ryan Mountcastle.

With an overall record of 26-13, the Orioles lead the AL East by a half-game over the Yankees. So far, they have gone 6-1 against other teams in the AL East. The Orioles kick off their series vs. the Blue Jays at home, and they are 14-8 at home this season.

So far, the Orioles have been really good on the road, putting together a record of 12-5. As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 19-12 this year and 7-1 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 9-3-1, and they took their most recent series vs. the Diamondbacks.

The Orioles have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 22-17 overall. They have been even better at home, going 12-10, compared to 10-7 on the road. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 7-1 on the run line, but as a favorite, they are just 15-16. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while in losing games, it is -3.5.

With an average combined run total of 8.9 runs per game, the Orioles have seen a lot of high-scoring games this season. Their over/under record is 20-16, and the over has hit in four of their last five games. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 4-2-1, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. Overall, 69.2% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Through eight starts, Corbin Burnes has a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 2.83. He has made five quality starts this year and is averaging 8.87 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Burnes took the loss, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Burnes has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 1-1 and an ERA of 2.56 compared to 2-1 with a 3.44 ERA on the road.

As a team, the Orioles are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league and have the best isolated power rating in the league. So far, they have been one of the league’s top slugging teams, as they are 1st in slugging percentage and 5th in OPS. Baltimore’s team batting average is .246, which is 8th best in the league.

Adley Rutschman and Jordan Westburg are both batting .304 this season, and they are also tied for 3rd on the team with six homers. Westburg has gone 9/24 in his last six games, while Anthony Santander has also been hot of late, going 7/22 with three homers in his last six games. Santander is batting just .218 for the season.

Our prediction for the Blue Jays vs. Orioles game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8 runs. We actually have the Orioles winning this one 5-4, but with the payout for a money line bet on the Orioles at -168, we are recommending the over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Corbin Burnes finishing with six strikeouts compared to José Berríos with five. Burnes is also projected to go longer in the game, and if you’re looking for a player prop bet, Burnes over/under for strikeouts could be a good option.

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Blue Jays (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report