Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers Prediction & Betting Tips 6/27/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers Preview

Thursday’s matchup between the Rangers and Orioles has a first pitch set for 6:35 PM ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore. The Orioles are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -215 compared to the Rangers at +180. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

Texas will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak, as they are 37-43 overall and 3rd in the AL West. Baltimore comes in with a record of 50-30 and is 2nd in the AL East. Jon Gray will start for the Rangers, while the Orioles are set to go with Corbin Burnes. BSSW is televising this game.

Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Texas Rangers odds

Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

• 0-5 is the record of Rangers in their last five road games. They have also gone 0-5 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Orioles have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
• As the favorite, the Orioles are 5-5 over their last ten games, including going 5-5 vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Rangers have won 3-7 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 5-5 against the runline.

Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers Prediction

The Rangers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with a 6-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Brewers scored four runs in the inning. Texas was the -118 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Nathan Eovaldi had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on nine hits and issuing a walk. The Rangers also wasted a big game from Nathaniel Lowe, who homered and went 2/5.

Texas opens their series on the road vs. the Orioles having dropped three straight games, and they are 37-43 overall. The Rangers are 3rd in the AL West, trailing the Mariners by 7.5 games. So far, they are just 9-14 in divisional games this year.

At home, the Rangers are above .500 at 20-19 and are 17-24 on the road. As the underdog, the Rangers are 14-23 this season, and they have dropped two straight as the underdog. Texas’ overall series record is 11-14-1 this year.

While the Rangers have been a solid bet on the run line overall this season, they have struggled on the road, where they are 17-24 against the run line. They have also failed to cover the run line in five straight road games and are just 2-7 against the run line in their last nine games overall. They are 19-18 against the run line as an underdog this season.

When the Rangers are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9 runs per game. So far this season, the over/under record for Texas is 30-47, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 4-8-2. Overall, the combined run average in Rangers games is 8.6 runs per game, and 68.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.

Texas is sending Jon Gray to the mound today vs. the Orioles, and he comes in with a record of 3-3 and an ERA of 3.03. So far, Gray has made 13 starts and six of them have been quality starts. In his last outing, he didn’t allow a run, picking up the win vs. the Royals. Looking back, he had allowed at least one homer in three straight starts before that outing. Gray’s ERA at home is 4.9, compared to 2.03 on the road. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.58 strikeouts and 2.4 walks.

Adolis Garcia and Corey Seager are both tied for the team lead in home runs this season, with 14 apiece. However, Garcia is batting just .218, while Seager has a batting average of .255. Marcus Semien is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 44 runs batted in is 15th in the MLB. He has also gone deep 11 times this season.

As a team, the Rangers are 17th in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. This is a bit better than their home mark of 4.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting just .237, which is 14th in the league, and their collective on-base percentage of .306 is also below the league average.

Gunnar Henderson had a big game at the plate for the Orioles in their most recent game vs. the Guardians, going 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Orioles really needed his offense, as they only scored four runs on nine hits and left eight men on base. Cedric Mullins was also hot, going 2/3 with a run scored and an RBI.

Grayson Rodriguez started for the Orioles, going seven innings and giving up just two runs on five hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Baltimore is 50-30 overall this season, putting them just one game behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. The Orioles are heading into today’s game vs. the Rangers with an overall record of 19-7 in AL East matchups. The Orioles lost two of three in their series vs. the Guardians.

At home, the Orioles are 26-16 this season while going 24-14 on the road. So far, they have really taken advantage of being the favorite, going 40-24 in those games. As the underdog, the Orioles are 10-6 this year, and their overall series record is 17-6-3.

When the Orioles win, they win by an average of 3.9 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 2.9 runs per game. Baltimore’s run line record is 47-33, and they have been a good bet to cover on the run line this season, especially on the road (24-14) and as an underdog (12-4).

Today’s over/under line for the Baltimore Orioles’ game against the Texas Rangers is set at 8 runs. The Orioles have played 70 games this season, with an average of 9.0 runs scored per game. Their over/under record is 40-30, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone 9-5-3. So far this season, 42 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 52.5% of their games.

Corbin Burnes is looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Astros, as he gets the start for the Orioles today. In that game, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had picked up the win in three straight starts. Burnes has been excellent at home, coming in with a record of 4-1 and an ERA of 1.92. Overall, he is 8-3 with a 2.35 ERA and WHIP of 1.01. Opposing batters are hitting .193 off Burnes this season.

Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been two of the Orioles’ most consistent hitters this season, with Rutschman batting .297 and Henderson hitting .288. Henderson is also 2nd in the league with 26 home runs, while Rutschman is 11th in the league with 14 homers. Henderson has been hot of late, going 6/17 in his last five games with two homers and four RBIs. Jordan Westburg and Henderson are both on three-game hitting streaks.

As a team, the Orioles are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They also lead the league in home runs and have the top slugging percentage and OPS in the league. Baltimore has been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per game.

Our prediction for today’s Rangers vs. Orioles matchup is to take the Orioles to get the win at home. However, with the money line payout for the Orioles being -215, we recommend taking the over on the game line, with the over/under sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitcher’s projections, Corbin Burnes is predicted to finish with six strikeouts, compared to Jon Gray, who is projected to finish with six as well. As for the offenses, we have the Orioles finishing with 10 team strikeouts compared to the Rangers with seven.

Offensively, we have the Orioles finishing with 10 hits compared to the Rangers with eight. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could look at the Orioles’ home run total, as we have them finishing with two compared to the Rangers with one.

Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Rangers (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

Texas Rangers Injury Report