Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview
The Orioles will look to extend their winning streak to three games on Sunday, as they face off against the Rays, who are 28-31. This AL East matchup has a first pitch set for 1:35 PM ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore. The Orioles are the money line favorites, with their odds sitting at -142, while the Rays are at +121. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 70s.
Cole Irvin will start for the Orioles, and he is facing off against Zack Littell for the Rays. Tampa Bay comes into the game with the fifth-best record in the AL East, while the Orioles are 2nd, with an overall record of 37-19.
Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Tampa Bay Rays odds
Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Rays are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Orioles have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
- As the favorite, the Orioles are 8-2 over their last ten games, including going 8-2 vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Rays have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
The Orioles offense only had four more hits than the Rays in the most recent game of this series, but still picked up a 9-5 win. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -161 on the money line.
Baltimore’s two-through-four hitters did the most damage, as Ryan Mountcastle, Jordan Westburg, and Anthony Santander each homered and combined for eight RBIs. Mountcastle and Santander each scored three times.
Tampa Bay’s offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. After that, the Rays were held in check, scoring just one run in the 3rd and not scoring another run until putting up two in the top of the 9th.
Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
The Rays are 28-31 overall, and they are 12.5 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. Currently, they are 5th in the AL East and have gone just 9-13 in divisional games. Tampa Bay is on a two-game losing streak, and they have dropped three of the first four games of their road trip.
So far, the Rays have gone 17-18 at home compared to 11-13 on the road. As the underdog, Tampa Bay is 10-12 this year, and they are 18-19 when favored. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 8-8-2, and they have won two straight series on the road. Their overall record in series this year is 8-8-2.
When the Tampa Bay Rays are on the road this season, they have been a .500 team against the run line at 12-12. They are 23-36 overall against the run line, and they are 11-24 against the run line at home. The Rays’ average run margin for the season is -0.9 runs per game.
The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road against the Baltimore Orioles today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.7 runs per game. The Rays have gone over the total in 30 of their 58 games this season, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total in 8 of 20 games.
Zack Littell will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Athletics, as he gets the start for the Rays today vs. the Orioles. In that last start, which came at home, he took the loss after giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Littell has finished with a no-decision in each one. Littell has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with a 3.46 ERA. Opponents are batting .266 off the right-hander this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.24 strikeouts compared to just 1.44 walks.
As a team, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been even worse in terms of power, as their 46 home runs are 20th in the league. Overall, the Rays are batting just .232, which is 18th in the league. However, they do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, including Jose Siri, who is 5/14 in his last four games and has two homers in that stretch.
Isaac Paredes has been the Rays’ top hitter this season, batting .292 with 10 homers and 32 RBIs. He is also on a four-game hitting streak. Randy Arozarena is 2nd on the team with eight homers but is batting just .160 for the season.
The Orioles are 37-19 overall and trail the Yankees by two games for the AL East lead. Baltimore has won three straight games, and they are 11-3 against other AL East teams this year. The Orioles have taken two straight games in this series vs. the Rays.
At home, the Orioles are 21-11 this year, and they have gone 16-8 on the road. Baltimore has won three straight games as the favorite, and they are 30-17 when favored this year. As the underdog, the Orioles are 7-2 this year. Their overall record over their last ten games is 8-2.
When the Orioles win, they win by an average of 3.6 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.1 runs per game. Their run line record is 32-24, and they are 18-14 against the run line at home. They are currently on a three-game run line win streak and are 3-0 against the run line in their last three games as the favorite.
When the Orioles play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the year is 28-21, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total in 10 of 17 games. Overall, 25% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Cole Irvin has been pitching well for the Orioles this season, coming into the game with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 2.84. He has made eight starts and three of them have been quality starts. In his last outing, Irvin didn’t allow a run and picked up the win. He went five innings in that outing and gave up four hits. Looking back at his last four outings, he has given up two earned runs in three of them. Opponents are batting .237 off Irvin this season. Per nine innings, he has 6.39 strikeouts and just 1.95 walks.
Adley Rutschman has been a key part of the Orioles offense so far this season, as he is batting .297 with 10 homers and 37 RBIs. His 37 RBIs are 2nd on the team and 12th in the league. Gunnar Henderson is also having a strong season at the plate, as he is 3rd in the league with 18 homers and is batting .258. However, he has struggled of late, going just 6/31 in his last eight games.
As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Currently, they are the top team in the league in isolated power.
Our prediction for today’s Rays vs. Orioles game is to take the Orioles on the money line at -142. We actually have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 6-5, which would give you a chance to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
If you’re looking for some potential player props, we could see the Orioles’ starter, Cole Irvin, finishing with four strikeouts. As for the Rays’ starter, Zack Littell, we have him finishing with just four K’s as well.
Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips
- Take the Orioles on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rays (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | Out | Triceps |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin | Out | Back |
| Josh Lowe | Out | Side |
| Wander Franco | Out | Personal |
| Drew Rasmussen | Out | Arm |
| Taylor Walls | Out | Hip |
| Jeffrey Springs | Out | Elbow |
| Colin Poche | Out | Back |
| Shane McClanahan | Out | Elbow |
| Jacob Waguespack | Out | Shoulder |
