Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Betting Tips 7/27/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres Preview

San Diego and Baltimore will face off in an interleague matchup at 4:05 PM ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD. The Orioles are favored on the money line (-116), while the Padres are sitting at -103. The over/under line is at 9 runs.

FS1 will be televising this one, and the Orioles are 1st in the AL East with a record of 61-42, while the Padres are 2nd in the NL West with a record of 56-50. San Diego will be looking to keep their 6-game winning streak alive. Saturday’s starting pitching matchup features Michael King for the Padres and Dean Kremer for the Orioles.

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Baltimore Orioles vs. San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats

• 5-0 is the record of Padres in their last five road games. They have also gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Orioles have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
• In their previous ten games, Padres have won 7-3 as favorites and 6-4 as underdogs.
• The Orioles have a 3-7 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 5-5.

San Diego rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Padres vs. Orioles series. The Padres scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 9th, picking up a 6-4 win. Heading into the game, the Padres were at +170 on the money line.

Baltimore wasted a good outing from Grayson Rodriguez, as he gave up just two earned runs in five innings of work for the Orioles. Craig Kimbrel took the loss. Robert Suarez got the win out of the bullpen for the Padres as Adam Mazur went just 2 2/3 innings.

Jurickson Profar and Xander Bogaerts each homered for the Padres, while Jordan Westburg went deep for the Orioles. Profar, Jackson Merrill, Luis Campusano, and Ha-Seong Kim each had two RBIs for San Diego’s offense.

Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres Prediction

San Diego is on a six-game winning streak, and they are 56-50 overall this season. In the NL West, they trail the Dodgers by 6.5 games. So far, they have gone 15-17 in divisional games. The Padres have won six straight on the road and are 30-22 for the year away from home.

This season, the Padres have been the favorite in 60 of their games, and they are 31-29 in those matchups. As for their games as the underdog, they are 25-21. San Diego’s overall series record is 19-13-3, and they have won two straight series.

San Diego has been a strong run line bet on the road this season, going 37-15. They’ve been especially hot of late, covering in six straight road games. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog than as the favorite, going 32-14 vs. the run line as the underdog compared to 24-36 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8, and their average run margin in losing games is -3.6.

San Diego has been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. The Padres have a 55-50 over/under record on the year, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, they are 3-4. Overall, only 11.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.

Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces off against the Orioles on the road. So far this season, he has made 20 starts and has a record of 8-6. King’s ERA is 3.28, along with a WHIP of 1.19. In his 20 starts, he has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings. King’s last outing came on July 21st, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.

San Diego comes into the game as the league’s top hitting team, with a team batting average of .262. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the best slugging percentage in the league. Jurickson Profar has been leading the way in terms of power, as his 18 homers are 13th in the league, and his 66 RBIs are 10th in the MLB. Profar has also been hot of late, going 10/36 with four homers over his last eight games.

Profar isn’t the only Padres player who has been swinging a hot bat, as Xander Bogaerts comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak and is hitting .500 over his last eight games. Luis Arraez has also been playing well of late, as he is on a seven-game hitting streak and is batting .310 for the season.

The Orioles are 61-42 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL East. Currently, they hold a two-game lead over the Yankees for the division lead. Baltimore has gone 20-9 against other teams in the AL East. They have not been playing well recently, going 4-6 over their last 10 games.

So far, the Orioles have been slightly better on the road than at home. At home, they are 30-23 this season. As the favorite, the Orioles are 49-34 this year, and they are 12-8 when listed as the underdog. At home, they have dropped two straight series.

The Orioles have been a solid run line bet this season, going 55-48 overall. They have been particularly strong on the road, going 30-20 against the run line. They have been a profitable run line bet as an underdog, going 15-5. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.8, while it’s -3.5 in losses.

The Orioles have been a high-scoring team this season, with their games averaging 9.1 runs per game. They have gone over the total in 54 of their 93 games this season, and their games have an average total of 8 runs. When the total has been set at 9 runs, they have gone over the total in 10 games, under in 11, and pushed in 3. Their games have gone over the total in each of their last four games.

Right-hander Dean Kremer is starting for the Orioles today as he faces the Padres at home. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 4-6 with an ERA of 4.43. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is 1.22, and opponents are batting .215 off him this year. In his 13 starts, Kremer has turned in three quality starts and is coming off a rough outing where he gave up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. The right-hander has a 6.83 ERA at home compared to 3.49 on the road.

As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 2nd in the league in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .253 as a team, which is the 5th best mark in the league. One area they will need to improve on is their team walk rate, as they are currently 22nd in that category.

Anthony Santander has been on a tear for the Orioles, hitting six homers over his last eight games while batting .343. For the season, he is batting .244 with 29 home runs. Gunnar Henderson is also having a strong season at the plate, as he is batting .284 with 28 homers.

Our prediction for today’s Orioles vs. Padres matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line at -116. We have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 6-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 9 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Michael King going four innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Dean Kremer, he is projected to finish with three strikeouts and going five innings.

Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres Betting Tips

• We like the Orioles on the moneyline (-116)
• The Orioles are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

San Diego Padres Injury Report