Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Betting Tips 7/26/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres Preview

Adam Mazur will start for the Padres on Friday, as they are on the road to face the Orioles in Baltimore. The Orioles are 61-41 this season and they will be sending Grayson Rodriguez to the mound. Baltimore is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -203, while the Padres are at +169. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 7:05 PM ET, and MASN will be televising this interleague matchup. The Padres are currently on a five-game winning streak and are 2nd in the NL West, while the Orioles are 1st in the AL East.

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Baltimore Orioles vs. San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats

• 5-0 is the record of Padres in their last five road games. They have also gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Orioles have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Orioles have won 4-6 straight-up, and have a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
• Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Padres have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.

Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres Prediction

Heading into their last game vs. the Nationals, the Padres closed out the series with a 3-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -158. Offensively, the Padres scored their three runs on six hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Dylan Cease put together a great start for the Padres, going nine innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three walks and struck out nine Nationals batters. Ha-Seong Kim was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored and three RBIs.

San Diego is on a five-game winning streak, and they are 55-50 overall this season. The Padres will be on the road today, taking on the Orioles. In the NL West, they are 7.5 games behind the Dodgers.

The Padres have an overall series record of 19-13-3 this year, and they have won two straight series. As the road underdog, San Diego is 19-13 this season, and they have won five straight on the road overall. As the favorite, the Padres are 31-29 this year.

San Diego is 36-15 against the run line on the road this season, and they’ve covered in five straight road games. The Padres’ average run differential on the road is +1.1, and they’re 31-14 against the run line as an underdog.

The Padres are on the road against the Orioles today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. San Diego’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 54-50. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, they have gone 2-4. Only 11.4% of their games have had an over/under line set at 9 runs or higher this season.

Right-hander Adam Mazur gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 7.84. Opponents are batting .304 off Mazur this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.84. Mazur’s last outing came on July 9th, where he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had pitched at least five innings in three straight outings.

Heading into today’s game, the Padres are the league’s top hitting team, batting .262 as a group. They also have the league’s top on-base percentage and are 9th in slugging. Overall, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are 1-2 on the team in home runs, with 16 and 14, respectively.

Profar has been in a bit of a slump of late, going 8/35 in his last eight games, but he does have two homers in that stretch. Xander Bogaerts has been hot for the Padres, going 13/28 in his last seven games. He is also on a five-game hitting streak. Luis Arraez is also on a six-game hitting streak.

The Orioles’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Marlins, closing out their series with a 7-6 win. After allowing one run to the Marlins in the bottom of the first, the Orioles responded with a three-run inning of their own. Baltimore went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.

Corbin Burnes put together a good start for the Orioles, going 7 1/3 innings and giving up just three earned runs, and picking up the win. Baltimore’s offense was carried by Anthony Santander, who went 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.

With a record of 61-41, the Orioles lead the AL East by two games over the Yankees. The Orioles dropped two of three games in their most recent series vs. the Marlins. So far, they have been good vs. other AL East teams, going 20-9 in divisional games.

At home, the Orioles are 30-22 this season and have gone 31-19 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 49-33, and they are 12-8 as the underdog. Today, they are the home favorite vs. the Padres.

When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. This has led to a solid run line record of 55-47 on the season. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 30-20. They have been a favorite in 82 games, going 40-42 on the run line in those games. They have been an underdog in 20 games, going 15-5 on the run line.

The Orioles have been a high-scoring team this season, with a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record is 53-39, and their over streak is at three games. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 9-11-3. However, the average over/under line for their games this season has been set at 8 runs.

Grayson Rodriguez has been pitching well for the Orioles, as he has a record of 12-4 and an ERA of 3.83. In his 18 starts, Rodriguez has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 10.22 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his most recent outing, Rodriguez picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs against the Rangers. He finished with eight strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .232 off Rodriguez this season.

Anthony Santander has been one of the Orioles’ top power threats this season, as he is tied for the team lead with 28 homers and is 9th in the league with 67 RBIs. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/30 in his last seven games, including five homers. Santander is also on an 11-game hitting streak. Gunnar Henderson is also having a strong season at the plate, as he is batting .284 with a team-high 63 RBIs.

As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are 2nd in runs per game at 5 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they have the league’s top slugging percentage and are 2nd in OPS.

Our prediction for the Orioles vs. Padres matchup is to take the Orioles to pick up the win at home. However, with their money line odds at -203, we actually recommend taking the over, with the line sitting at 9 runs.

If you’re looking for a parlay, you could pair an Orioles win with an over, as we have the final score at 6-4 in favor of the Orioles. Looking at the starting pitchers, Adam Mazur is projected to finish with six strikeouts, compared to Grayson Rodriguez, who we have at four.

Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• The Orioles should also cover at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

San Diego Padres Injury Report